WEBVTT

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Oh, we got another comment.

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People hate this is interesting to the theory of humor.

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Some people hate our screwing up the intro.

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Like uh, like there's a comment on X where somebody's like, Well, what it's it's really

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interesting, actually.

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I don't know.

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I wonder why people get so pissed off about that.

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Yeah, I don't know.

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Yeah, I don't know.

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All right.

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Yeah.

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This is Evolutionary Psychology the Podcast.

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I'm David Pietrazuski.

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I'm David Pinsov, and this is actual evolutionary psychology.

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By actual evolutionary psychologists.

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David, I am really excited about this episode.

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Today we have two guests.

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Uh Christina Moya, who's returner, who is a guest co-host, and our

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guest proper is Rob Boyd.

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Yes.

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This was a really fun and interesting episode.

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Uh many tidbits about E.

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coli bacteria and Enola lizards and anecdotes from you know

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evolutionary biology, mathematics.

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What was so interesting about this is um there was some disagreements that we we navigated.

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Uh and we usually don't navigate too many disagreements on this podcast because um Dave and

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I are optimally rational agents who uh who cannot disagree on anything.

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Yes, and to the extent that we do we we we disagree, we we quickly realize largely that

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we're we're just exploring the larger space that we would both agree about from different

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perspectives.

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Yes, but uh Rob Boyd and Pete Richardson uh pioneered the study

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of cultural evolution, the the modeling of culture as its own kind of

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evolutionary process, and the story of how culture uh has been involved in the evolution of

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humanity and what role it has played uh in our preeminence

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on this planet.

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And I think we're still trying to reconcile how this analysis of

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culture can be fit into the Darwinian paradigm or the

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evolutionary behavioral sciences.

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I think Dave and I are of the camp that uh it can be reconciled, that this view of cultural

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evolution is compatible with even the most extreme Santa Barbara uh evolutionary

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psychology model of the mind.

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And we try to explore that, but at the end of the day, there may still be some

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disagreements, and that's part of what makes science fun and awesome is that we get to

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disagree with each other and do some research and get to the bottom of it.

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Yeah, I think I and I think this episode is a lovely example of Rob, is an incredibly

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brilliant.

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I mean, he is a giant whose uh shoulders we're all standing on.

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And a lot of what we take for granted, our our generation, meaning like David and I's uh

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generation, is because of John.

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Um, John and Lita and Rob and Joan and other folks like that.

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And I think Rob talked a lot.

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We talked also about that and just sort of the debates that were had um in their

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generation were sort of necessary for uh for coming to uh what you know uh

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you me and christina's uh view is now and not everybody agrees with us but that's that's

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part of the fun it's also a good example of uh not disagreeing to the point of vilifying

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but do the opposite of like we're all friends we can all be nice uh interpersonally but

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still disagree um uh or have debates we should that's the point of science yep absolutely.

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So it was it was a really fun time uh chatting with Rob and Christina about these big

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issues confronting the evolutionary social sciences and also the history of our field and

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how our field itself has evolved.

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Um I think you'll get a lot out of this conversation.

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Yeah, enjoy.

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Rob, it's really great to see you.

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Um thanks for being on.

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Um I wanted to start out by asking a simple question, which is um when

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I when I think of you and Pete's uh and other people's work, um the

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the sort of not by genes alone expression.

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Um so the idea of sort of uh biological evolution and gene uh gene

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selection um being adequate for an

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organism to be adapted or survive in an environment.

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My understanding is that one of the things that you did was

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to think about these other selective regimes that are on top of genetic

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selection, like cultural selection, as an additional mechanism.

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Is it accurate to say that that's something that you and the people around you really

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initiated and plugged in?

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Where did that idea come from?

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Um we Pete and I got started

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in the mid-1970s.

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And um it's hard to understand now, actually, um, or hard to

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behavioral ecology, um game theory, you know, evolutionary game theory was

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at best nascent.

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I mean, Hamilton had written these landmark papers in the 60s uh about

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kin selection, about senescence, um uh about sexual bunch of

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stuff.

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And and Maynard Smith had written, uh, and Parker and some other people had

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written these um taken basically the very surface ideas of

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game theory and and shown how they could be used to formalize the frequency dependent

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selection that arises when when you have social interactions of various kinds.

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But uh I mean the the textbook I went to graduate school in 1970 and

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the textbook that was the main textbook in ecology

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was a by a guy named Eugene Odom and it set out as its

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central premise that species evolve for the good of the species.

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And um and in the US, people just didn't think the

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same way that we do now about, you know, I mean, if you want to call it individual

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advantage or gene centered, there are various ways to think about it.

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But but and then in 1976 Wilson published sociobiology, which

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had a huge impact, uh, but was only sort of I mean, he

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never really completely understood, in my view, modern evolutionary theory.

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He was he kinda understood it, but you know, it he was

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still rooted, I think, in in to some degree in the older

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ecological, you know, Tinbergen style picture of things.

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Now things were somewhat different in Great Britain, where people were more centered in the

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in the modern way of thinking about things.

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Anyway, and then Dick Alexander, uh sort of, I think of Dick and

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and uh Wilson as kind of the fathers of American anyway, evolutionary

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thinking.

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And Dick wrote this long paper in uh the annual review of ecology

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and systematics.

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And unlike Wilson, it was completely rooted in the new way of thinking.

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And and was also full.

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I mean, Wilson famously had this last chapter where he said this is all going to change the

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social sciences.

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But it was kind of vague.

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And whereas Alexander got down to cases and I don't know if you ever met Dick but

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he was kind of a dark character in some ways but but very insightful

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guy and the the paper is just full of intriguing ideas about human

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evolution so people did the obvious thing they started thinking you know how how can we

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explain human evolution in evolutionary terms And there's a

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lot of enthusiasm.

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And both Pete and I, our initial reaction is yes, but

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it it doesn't, it's it's not enough that people are are as different from other

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vertebrates as you know uh multicellular organisms are from single cell.

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I mean it's and so anyway, that's why we started thinking about this.

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And so from the start, our idea was to try to understand.

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I mean, I mean, the obvious difference is different groups of people behave differently.

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It must have something to do with non-genetic transmission.

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Try to build a theory where that's something that could be favored by natural selection and

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at the same time lead to divergent results.

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And Mark Feldman and Luca Kowali-Sforza had written this book.

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Well, not a book yet, a bunch of papers in the early and mid-70s showing how you

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could use population genetic ideas, ideas from population genetics theories,

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to think about cultural transmission.

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They were not interested in the same questions we were.

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Mark was has been and still is very interested in genes and IQ and trying to make proper

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inferences from phenotypic variation, you know, amongst families and stuff.

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And only much later became interested in what I think of as the as the adaptationist

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questions, really not until the late 80s and 90s, but we were greatly

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benefited by what they taught, basically, in these papers about how you could use

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ideas in population genetics.

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And in our 84 book, I think what we mainly added was, well,

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two things.

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A bunch of ideas about directional processes that would lead to adapt culturally

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mediated adaptation.

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Because what it's got to be, you know, whatever it is, besides making things different,

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it's if it evolved, it's the system has to make has to be adaptive, the psychology has to

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pay.

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And also, uh, I think the thing that that we did that made people take

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notice was we said, okay, but yeah, how how can you make a system like that evolve

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from an organism that doesn't have a system like that?

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How can it produce fitness benefits?

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Um and then of course we're interested and at the same time you know lead to

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all the weird things that people do so that's uh we got started because we were interested

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in that question and uh we just kept plugging away uh what was the

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was the were the tools that these that was in the water that was new was it this

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frequency dependent the game theory or ESS analysis and then then that was

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the that was sort of the idea that was those were the tools.

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Is that correct?

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Or what would you say are were the well I think the the that was you needed those tools

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to do a proper job of asking what natural selection would do.

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You know, I mean you're making lots of simplifications like usual.

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But what Kavali Sforz and Feldman added and we added was seeing

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that uh once you have sufficiently accurate social

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learning, however that works, it creates another system which carries

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information through time, creates history.

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And in most organisms, I mean there are a bunch of things.

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There's succession and and you know all this extended evolutionary synthesis stuff.

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You know, so Pete Pete was raised on a farm and he likes farming examples.

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And uh if you think about transmitting farms, that's a kind of example of

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how you can have a non-genetic transmission.

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If you inherit a farm, your the behaviors that are good for you, everything else, is

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different than if you don't inherit a farm.

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But farms can't spread the way the idea about how to farm can spread.

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Because energetically small things, you know,

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knowing when to plant and knowing how to fertilize and stuff like that, they can spread

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extremely rapidly because they don't the the information itself doesn't count for much.

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Uh so I think that's personally, I think that's what makes culture different than other

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forms of.

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I mean, fins are a good example, but how you get from fins to legs, um

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uh knowing something about development and knowing something about

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homeobox genes and all these things that that encode developmental rules

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gives you a lot of purchase and understanding.

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So you know the story of TikTolic, this I think it's still the oldest fit, uh

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oldest land vertebrate.

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And this this guy whose work I'm uh what's his name?

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Uh your inner fish um I can't remember his name.

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This is a the hazard of old age.

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But anyway, I can't remember anything from the screen.

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My my proper noun module is failing on me.

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But but um so if you look at the you know, invertebrates, the uh uh

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landvertebrates, the you know, you get one bone in the upper arm, two bones in the next

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length, and then all kinds of little bones.

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You don't get any of that in fish.

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You just get this.

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and the question is, how do you get from fish to land

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vertebrates?

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And this guy whose name I will remember eventually, um he was

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he's a paleontologist.

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He worked on yep in North Greenland on these sediments that had um, you know, uh

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500 million year old um no, that's not right, must be more like 300 million year old,

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anyway, early land vertebrates, and um and he and he found these

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forelimbs of these early fishy um land vertebrates.

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And to understand how you got there from fins, you really do need to understand.

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Well, I don't know if you need, but it it's immensely it makes it much easier to understand

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what happens if you understand how limb development works.

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And so, you know, um, you know, the phenotypic

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gambit gets you why these organisms needed rigid forelimbs and and a bunch

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of other stuff, but it doesn't tell you why they're built the way they are.

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Yeah, no, no, no, for sure.

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It's not the whole picture and it's not satisfying for explaining what what which part of

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organism space to to use the talk.

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Exactly.

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It's yeah evolution is depends on where the variation is.

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And the phenotype gamba just essentially says, I don't know about that, so I'm not going to

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worry about it.

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Exactly.

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And I think this is actually something Christina and I have talked a lot about over the

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decades that that also, you know, you simplify what's not relevant for your particular

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um right goals.

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Right.

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Um and I think, you know, and one of the other things too is, you know, I uh obviously I

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was a student of Lita Cosby's and John Tube.

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Yeah.

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And I know there was a history of, you know, it was sort of uh love and conflict in the

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sense of you both had uh there were similar missions of evolutionizing the human behavioral

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sciences, using evolution to understand human behavior.

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But then there was um and yeah I know Rob, you and I have had conversations over the years

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too.

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Um uh yeah I mean maybe the well yeah and Christina no

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exactly.

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Um uh I mean do you I don't even know where to start with that.

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I don't I don't know if I even have a question, but like that might lead into um yeah I

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think it the contrast I think is um uh

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is useful.

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Uh I mean, and I wouldn't have said was, Lita's still around and right, still working, is

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that right?

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Yeah, no, Lita, yes, of course.

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Yeah, no, Lita's and we spent six months together at a

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institute in Germany and um and uh I would say we're

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friends, but um or were with John and but

00:17:05.690 --> 00:17:10.970
definitely pretty deep disagreements about uh how to think about

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both evolution and um and then about human evolution

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in particular.

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Um I was my evolution training came uh

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at UC Davis, which in those days was the

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heartland of selectionist biology.

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And then I did a postdoc at the University of Chicago, um, where

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the there was a renaissance.

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Uh it didn't last that long, but uh in uh monitative

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genetics and genetics of characters that are affected by genes at many loci.

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And and I would say that John and I had real disagreements about,

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forget about culture, about how evolution worked.

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And um, I mean, I still think I'm right or was right, but but I'm sure he thought the

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same.

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Uh he had a very fisherian view of of i and i don't really know i never talked to lead

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about this very much but s selection being acting on dragging

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genes slowly and he put a lot of emphasis on species as a real thing and i think

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they're at best an abstraction uh and the picture of evolution that that i think is

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is correct is that m most evolution now

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isn't always true.

00:18:41.190 --> 00:18:47.190
Sometimes it does work in a fisheron way, but but it's working on standing variation.

00:18:47.750 --> 00:18:53.510
So I don't know if you take uh so I mean there's been a lot of

00:18:53.510 --> 00:18:59.460
water under the bridge since, but um so this guy, John Losos, I don't know if you

00:18:59.460 --> 00:19:00.260
know his work at all.

00:19:00.420 --> 00:19:05.460
He works on anoles in in um the Caribbean.

00:19:05.700 --> 00:19:11.140
And um so it turns out that on each of the Caribbean islands there are

00:19:11.460 --> 00:19:15.700
a whole community of these lizards, anoless lizards.

00:19:15.860 --> 00:19:19.780
And there's big ones that live in the top of the trees and the little skinny ones that run

00:19:19.780 --> 00:19:25.230
along branches, and other ones that hold, you know, and And they've got typical

00:19:25.230 --> 00:19:29.710
phenotypic, these are mainly morphological color differences.

00:19:29.950 --> 00:19:33.710
And none of the of these guys on the different islands are related.

00:19:33.950 --> 00:19:39.630
On each island, these um morphs evolved from some

00:19:39.630 --> 00:19:44.430
generalist that made it to the island and then differentiated into all these things.

00:19:44.750 --> 00:19:48.120
Okay, not so radical already.

00:19:48.280 --> 00:19:53.400
They've done experiments where they in Loso says, and this is there's lots of work like

00:19:53.400 --> 00:19:58.600
this now, where they introduce lizards to islands with no lizards.

00:19:59.000 --> 00:20:04.520
And within five years, you begin to see

00:20:04.840 --> 00:20:10.760
these species first track the ones that run the little branches end up being having shorter

00:20:10.760 --> 00:20:14.440
legs, and the ones that live higher up in the trees have longer legs.

00:20:15.350 --> 00:20:16.470
but five years.

00:20:16.630 --> 00:20:22.470
This isn't gene new mutations happening and being dragged slowly across to fixation.

00:20:22.710 --> 00:20:28.630
This is taking standing variation that affects morphology and rapidly

00:20:28.630 --> 00:20:29.110
shifting.

00:20:29.190 --> 00:20:35.110
And there's lots and lots of examples like this coloration in deer mice, um

00:20:35.750 --> 00:20:41.500
uh coloration in guppies, life history variables in guppies.

00:20:41.660 --> 00:20:47.420
So you can so in Guppies, there are these

00:20:47.420 --> 00:20:49.900
rivers in Trinidad where all this work has been done.

00:20:50.060 --> 00:20:54.540
And as you go up the river, eventually you get to a pond above a waterfall where there are

00:20:54.540 --> 00:20:55.820
no predators.

00:20:56.060 --> 00:21:02.060
And the guppies up there are have slow life histories, and the guppies just below the

00:21:02.060 --> 00:21:04.140
waterfall have fast life histories, right?

00:21:04.220 --> 00:21:06.380
Because they got to get going before they get eaten.

00:21:06.700 --> 00:21:12.370
And so this guy Dave Resnick, who's at at Riverside,

00:21:12.530 --> 00:21:17.730
um put various predators, two different kinds of predators in these things above the

00:21:17.730 --> 00:21:18.130
things.

00:21:18.210 --> 00:21:23.250
And within three or four years, you've got faster life histories.

00:21:23.570 --> 00:21:29.250
And um so can I ask if if the implication of this difference

00:21:29.960 --> 00:21:35.880
in thinking is that evolution can happen much quicker if it's acting on standing

00:21:35.880 --> 00:21:36.520
variation.

00:21:36.840 --> 00:21:42.040
But is it also something about the nature of the variation, like that these are something

00:21:42.040 --> 00:21:46.680
like packages of traits, something going back a little bit to the phenotypic problems of

00:21:46.680 --> 00:21:48.040
the phenotypic gambit?

00:21:48.360 --> 00:21:48.600
Yeah.

00:21:49.470 --> 00:21:50.590
don't yeah.

00:21:50.750 --> 00:21:54.110
Are there constraints that you think are important to consider or no?

00:21:55.470 --> 00:21:58.670
There are, I'm certain, but I don't think we know what they are.

00:21:58.990 --> 00:22:04.750
I think um so resnik also, I mean, so these are all pretty simple

00:22:04.750 --> 00:22:09.230
changes, although life history, I don't think we really understand exactly what's going on

00:22:09.230 --> 00:22:09.550
there.

00:22:09.790 --> 00:22:15.560
Um but uh he he did uh in the same genus as guppies, but not

00:22:15.560 --> 00:22:16.200
guppies.

00:22:16.520 --> 00:22:21.480
Um he worked on um the evolution of live birth.

00:22:21.880 --> 00:22:26.360
So um uh a lot of fish have live birth.

00:22:26.440 --> 00:22:29.000
They retain the eggs inside their bodies.

00:22:29.320 --> 00:22:35.270
The the little developing embryos feed on the yolk, and then they have

00:22:35.270 --> 00:22:35.910
live birth.

00:22:35.990 --> 00:22:37.430
That's not such a big deal.

00:22:37.670 --> 00:22:43.030
But there are three species in this genus that have

00:22:43.030 --> 00:22:46.390
evolved placentas, basically.

00:22:46.550 --> 00:22:50.710
So they they lay eggs with hardly any yolk.

00:22:50.950 --> 00:22:56.710
And then they have uh an organ that uh it's not like our placenta

00:22:56.790 --> 00:23:02.390
particularly, it's designed differently, but still it's a complex organ whose job it is

00:23:02.710 --> 00:23:08.480
to provide nutrients to these little developing embryos

00:23:08.480 --> 00:23:10.640
that don't have any yolk to eat.

00:23:11.040 --> 00:23:16.080
And uh at a minimum, they've evolved that those have evolved in

00:23:16.080 --> 00:23:21.760
250,000 years in one of the species, maybe a million in the other two.

00:23:21.920 --> 00:23:22.800
And that's a minimum.

00:23:22.880 --> 00:23:27.760
That's from the last common ancestor that doesn't that doesn't have this tray.

00:23:28.160 --> 00:23:33.970
Um, So I don't think we really know about the evolution of I mean

00:23:34.130 --> 00:23:37.810
simple things like morphology, we know for sure that can evolve fast.

00:23:38.450 --> 00:23:44.130
And it it evolves fast, not because it's one gene, it evolves fast because it's many

00:23:44.130 --> 00:23:46.290
genes, each with small effect.

00:23:50.050 --> 00:23:54.610
You make a wolf into a Pekinese and you know, in hardly any time at all.

00:23:54.860 --> 00:24:00.860
And and I don't think we know about um but I do think it makes you think

00:24:00.860 --> 00:24:06.460
twice about the EEA and and th that our mind

00:24:06.780 --> 00:24:12.780
is a or our brain is a series of modules that were designed to deal

00:24:12.780 --> 00:24:16.460
with things ten thousand years ago and haven't changed since.

00:24:16.620 --> 00:24:22.470
Uh I actually think this is a problem that so my colleague here, um uh

00:24:22.630 --> 00:24:27.510
Kevin Langergraber has has argued that chimps have menopause.

00:24:27.590 --> 00:24:32.470
Uh and that's hugely controversial right this second, and people argue back and forth.

00:24:32.630 --> 00:24:34.710
I don't want to get in the middle of that one.

00:24:35.110 --> 00:24:40.550
But menopause, uh, people have measured the heritability of menopause.

00:24:40.820 --> 00:24:43.380
I had a student a long time ago, Jocelyn Pichet.

00:24:43.540 --> 00:24:44.820
You knew Jocelyn, didn't you?

00:24:45.060 --> 00:24:46.100
No, it was before my time.

00:24:46.420 --> 00:24:46.900
Before your time.

00:24:48.500 --> 00:24:51.620
She measured the heritability of menopause about 0.3.

00:24:52.180 --> 00:24:57.700
And her there were some problems with her work, but it's been done twice since,

00:24:58.020 --> 00:25:00.660
and estimates are about the same.

00:25:00.980 --> 00:25:06.340
So what that tells you is if there were a selected, so now you have peasant populations,

00:25:06.500 --> 00:25:11.370
agricultural populations, where, you know, women could keep having kids.

00:25:11.530 --> 00:25:13.450
Why aren't they keep having kids?

00:25:13.690 --> 00:25:18.330
Um and if you I mean the selective advantage ought to be pretty big.

00:25:18.570 --> 00:25:24.090
You could move menopause, this is the age of menopause, which in most populations is around

00:25:24.090 --> 00:25:27.290
50, pretty easily in a few thousand years.

00:25:27.450 --> 00:25:28.090
Not even that.

00:25:28.170 --> 00:25:33.480
I mean, and we know a thousand years, well, we know historical evidence, let's say, that

00:25:33.480 --> 00:25:37.800
suggests it hasn't changed much in the age of menopause in 2000 years.

00:25:37.960 --> 00:25:43.320
Now that's not very good data, but so anyway, I think there are I I don't have an answer to

00:25:43.320 --> 00:25:43.720
this question.

00:25:43.960 --> 00:25:49.720
I mean, in the end, uh I'm more of a agnostic about these things than than Lita and John

00:25:49.960 --> 00:25:50.200
were.

00:25:50.360 --> 00:25:52.250
And uh yeah, go ahead.

00:25:52.570 --> 00:25:55.450
Maybe like one of their arguments would be, or maybe not them.

00:25:55.530 --> 00:25:55.770
I don't know.

00:25:55.850 --> 00:26:00.810
I've seen Ed Hagen recently, like Yeah, it's a good good foil because he's so smart.

00:26:02.330 --> 00:26:03.530
Be so careful, right?

00:26:03.850 --> 00:26:03.930
Yeah.

00:26:04.090 --> 00:26:09.930
And I my understanding of some of their argument is that um complex adaptations, which is

00:26:10.170 --> 00:26:13.210
I mean, it is a complex adaptation because like now we're talking about, you know,

00:26:13.290 --> 00:26:19.050
quantitative traits that have multiple those sides, multiple phenotypes, but that um you

00:26:19.080 --> 00:26:24.440
know, I guess it's not arguable to say that the human brain is a complex adaptation, but

00:26:24.440 --> 00:26:25.800
there might be diff, you know, differences.

00:26:25.960 --> 00:26:31.480
Obviously, there's genetic variation in various cognitive, but I'm sure memory is I'm sure

00:26:31.560 --> 00:26:32.120
so so many things.

00:26:32.360 --> 00:26:32.760
Yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:26:33.320 --> 00:26:34.120
What isn't?

00:26:34.360 --> 00:26:40.120
Um, but that like the fundamental kind of um questions about human cognition that are like

00:26:40.360 --> 00:26:46.290
more species typical are unlikely to have changed as much in the last,

00:26:46.370 --> 00:26:48.610
I don't know, 10,000 years or something like that.

00:26:48.770 --> 00:26:49.730
Um, what do you make?

00:26:50.050 --> 00:26:56.050
I guess obviously it can't be any kind of um categorical

00:26:56.050 --> 00:27:02.050
break um in terms of what has and hasn't changed, but I guess there is,

00:27:02.210 --> 00:27:08.050
you know, there there's the equivalent of um biological anthropologists who look at kind

00:27:08.050 --> 00:27:14.000
of lumbar morphology and bipedalism and how it kind of works generally in humans.

00:27:14.320 --> 00:27:18.960
And I guess maybe their argument, but you guys might represent it better, would be

00:27:18.960 --> 00:27:22.560
something like there's the the equivalent attempt at doing something like that for the

00:27:22.560 --> 00:27:23.440
human mind.

00:27:23.760 --> 00:27:29.520
Um and and I think, you know, yeah, I there are things like lumbar morphology that are

00:27:29.600 --> 00:27:34.870
species typical in humans, but there's a lot of other stuff that's, you know, family

00:27:34.870 --> 00:27:40.630
typical and and uh you know so uh and and I don't think

00:27:40.870 --> 00:27:46.870
uh you know how much of I No what's exactly species also but

00:27:47.190 --> 00:27:52.230
yeah we are very, very you know uh living as I am living amongst

00:27:52.230 --> 00:27:56.160
paleoanthropologists these days, um uh No mess.

00:27:56.800 --> 00:28:02.640
Well, you know, I mean my my the director of the Institute of Human Origins, uh

00:28:02.720 --> 00:28:08.400
Johannes Heile Selassie, has just published in Nature a few weeks

00:28:08.400 --> 00:28:13.280
ago this species of Australopithecus uh

00:28:13.440 --> 00:28:14.560
Deridimata.

00:28:14.880 --> 00:28:16.080
Derridimata.

00:28:16.240 --> 00:28:18.480
When he first published it, I thought, ah, come on.

00:28:18.560 --> 00:28:19.840
You know, is that really that different?

00:28:20.000 --> 00:28:20.720
Is that as well?

00:28:21.120 --> 00:28:22.130
How the heck do we know?

00:28:22.290 --> 00:28:24.930
Living at exactly the same time as Aphorensis?

00:28:25.090 --> 00:28:29.010
And now he's got pretty good evidence that it had a significantly different mode of

00:28:29.010 --> 00:28:35.010
locomotion, that it had a opposable, semi-opposable toe and and um much

00:28:35.010 --> 00:28:36.290
longer arms.

00:28:36.530 --> 00:28:38.770
And you know, is that a species?

00:28:38.930 --> 00:28:43.490
Uh you know, I mean, all dogs are the same species, right?

00:28:43.570 --> 00:28:49.380
But if but if people found those fossils in the fossil record, Actually,

00:28:49.460 --> 00:28:54.500
this goes back to a story when Lyle visited Darwin in the

00:28:54.500 --> 00:28:55.940
mid-1850s.

00:28:56.020 --> 00:28:58.340
And you know, Darwin was a pigeon.

00:28:58.420 --> 00:29:04.020
He he kept pigeons of and and people had bred all these and you know, just as

00:29:04.020 --> 00:29:06.180
diverse as dogs, basically.

00:29:06.500 --> 00:29:12.070
And Lyle said, you know, shuddered that this

00:29:12.150 --> 00:29:17.030
basically wrecked everything because if we found these pigeons in the fossil record, they'd

00:29:17.030 --> 00:29:18.150
be different families.

00:29:18.310 --> 00:29:21.030
Yeah, more from based on their morphology.

00:29:21.270 --> 00:29:25.110
So you know, so I don't know how I got there exactly.

00:29:25.670 --> 00:29:29.910
As a very short person, oftentimes, like with towering people around me, I think how

00:29:29.860 --> 00:29:35.060
paleontologic would have surely classified as a but I'm not enough of a paleontologist to

00:29:35.060 --> 00:29:35.140
know.

00:29:35.460 --> 00:29:38.020
I mean maybe if they only got like my humorous or something like that.

00:29:38.260 --> 00:29:39.060
Yeah, exactly.

00:29:39.300 --> 00:29:45.060
Joan says that uh uh if you don't know David, Joan's about the same height

00:29:45.140 --> 00:29:47.860
as Christina, roughly, don't you think, Christina?

00:29:48.020 --> 00:29:49.380
I think maybe she has an inch on me.

00:29:49.460 --> 00:29:50.340
So I'm 4'11.

00:29:50.580 --> 00:29:51.460
Oh, she's five feet.

00:29:51.540 --> 00:29:51.700
Yeah.

00:29:51.940 --> 00:29:53.540
Those inches really make yeah, yeah.

00:29:54.100 --> 00:29:55.860
So she claims five feet.

00:29:55.940 --> 00:30:00.130
Uh and um she says all people are tall.

00:30:00.210 --> 00:30:05.970
You know, I can't tell a difference between okay.

00:30:06.050 --> 00:30:08.130
So I I don't know about John and Lita.

00:30:08.290 --> 00:30:14.290
I mean, I uh their method required them

00:30:14.450 --> 00:30:20.440
that there were these modules and by looking at contemporary behaviors, because they

00:30:20.440 --> 00:30:24.680
were the result of modules or some kind of enclosed I know you've written about modules.

00:30:24.920 --> 00:30:28.760
Yeah, but I mean but I mean it doesn't I don't mean modules in that technical psychological

00:30:28.920 --> 00:30:29.080
sense.

00:30:29.400 --> 00:30:35.400
Yeah yeah uh but that you could map particular input output relations back

00:30:35.560 --> 00:30:37.320
to some problem in the police.

00:30:38.120 --> 00:30:42.200
If you can't do that you've got problems, right?

00:30:42.360 --> 00:30:48.050
And I'm skeptical about that and uh you know uh and I'll I'll rat

00:30:48.610 --> 00:30:49.570
Pete out here.

00:30:49.650 --> 00:30:54.450
Uh Pete and I have ferocious arguments about this,

00:30:55.170 --> 00:30:56.130
basically.

00:30:56.290 --> 00:30:59.890
Um, he thinks there are none, no modules.

00:31:00.050 --> 00:31:04.450
And he bases this on, he's read a lot more than I have, of

00:31:05.250 --> 00:31:06.530
neurobiology.

00:31:06.770 --> 00:31:12.080
And um, there was a paper in Nature um some nature

00:31:12.080 --> 00:31:17.840
reviews a few a year or two ago uh which argued basically human brains

00:31:17.840 --> 00:31:23.760
just have more of the same they're just chimp brains with more of everything and no special

00:31:23.760 --> 00:31:29.760
f features i i can't i have no idea how to evaluate those kind of arguments

00:31:30.150 --> 00:31:32.870
And so I say, Pete, what about birds' nests?

00:31:33.030 --> 00:31:35.270
What about you know, beaver dams?

00:31:35.430 --> 00:31:37.270
Those look like modules to me.

00:31:37.510 --> 00:31:43.350
And you know, beavers, I've read quite a bit about beavers and uh little beavers.

00:31:43.510 --> 00:31:49.510
So beavers live in ponds where the everybody behind the dam is fairly closely

00:31:49.510 --> 00:31:49.990
related.

00:31:50.150 --> 00:31:56.070
The ecologists have studied them, you know, the averages are like 0.3 or 0.4 or

00:31:56.070 --> 00:31:56.630
something like that.

00:31:56.790 --> 00:32:00.680
So, and you know, pretty impressive, actually.

00:32:01.000 --> 00:32:06.760
But when the little beavers leave, they disperse, and they beavers build different

00:32:06.760 --> 00:32:12.040
kinds of structures and different kinds of aquatic environments.

00:32:12.280 --> 00:32:18.200
Sometimes they build little canals back to a pond they make for themselves.

00:32:18.280 --> 00:32:21.190
Sometimes they just build lodges on the side of streams.

00:32:21.270 --> 00:32:22.630
Sometimes they build dams.

00:32:22.790 --> 00:32:26.790
They build dams in different ways depending on how much water pressure there is.

00:32:26.950 --> 00:32:32.070
And those little beavers seem to know how to do that without ever having seen a dam being

00:32:32.070 --> 00:32:32.390
built.

00:32:32.550 --> 00:32:34.550
There's no social learning involved.

00:32:34.710 --> 00:32:36.790
And the same thing is true of birds' nest.

00:32:36.950 --> 00:32:42.630
Uh there uh so weaver birds, people have done raised weaver birds uh without

00:32:42.820 --> 00:32:46.900
any um exposure to nest building.

00:32:47.060 --> 00:32:50.100
And they build now, they don't do there is learning involved.

00:32:50.180 --> 00:32:55.620
So the first nest a weaver bird built is not as good as the second nest that he builds.

00:32:55.780 --> 00:33:00.260
And they are all the men or the males are building the nest, so he is okay.

00:33:00.420 --> 00:33:06.180
But um so there's some kind of information encoded in weaver

00:33:06.180 --> 00:33:09.940
bird brains and in beaver brains that tells them how to build a nest.

00:33:10.350 --> 00:33:16.350
Uh and so that makes me skeptical of the neurobiological arguments.

00:33:16.590 --> 00:33:20.350
Uh and I can't convince Pete.

00:33:20.430 --> 00:33:25.790
He's he's really really gone over to the everything is is um

00:33:26.030 --> 00:33:27.870
plastic kind of picture.

00:33:28.030 --> 00:33:30.190
And it's based on, you know, he's not stupid.

00:33:30.270 --> 00:33:34.430
He doesn't think it's a blank slate, but but he thinks it's there are these general

00:33:34.820 --> 00:33:38.660
motivational and embodied principles.

00:33:38.820 --> 00:33:41.060
And then that's where all the details come from.

00:33:41.220 --> 00:33:42.500
And I don't know.

00:33:42.740 --> 00:33:48.740
So I I just know that I'm I can't, I'm not convinced that anybody knows the answer

00:33:48.740 --> 00:33:49.140
to that.

00:33:49.300 --> 00:33:53.380
So do you think it's like an ontogenetic phylogenetic distinction?

00:33:53.460 --> 00:33:57.630
Like, I mean, do you think the people are saying it's just more of they're looking at the

00:33:57.630 --> 00:34:03.390
ontogeny and then the sort of to to to be really glossy about it, like John

00:34:03.630 --> 00:34:08.590
and Lita are thinking about sort of the the phylogenetic design on the developmental system

00:34:08.750 --> 00:34:10.830
to kind of bring it back to what we talked about before.

00:34:10.990 --> 00:34:15.150
But they weren't emphasizing that because they weren't studying the developmental system.

00:34:15.470 --> 00:34:16.430
Yeah, I don't know.

00:34:16.590 --> 00:34:22.380
I mean, uh uh every time I read neurobiology, I think, you know, they don't know what

00:34:22.380 --> 00:34:25.500
they're talking about, but at the same time they know a huge amount of stuff.

00:34:25.660 --> 00:34:27.660
And uh so I don't know.

00:34:27.820 --> 00:34:33.420
I just don't, you know, I I I never have had the enough background or

00:34:33.420 --> 00:34:39.340
ambition to um really and I don't think my own guess is I mean I bet

00:34:39.660 --> 00:34:43.180
my career on this kind of that it's not there yet.

00:34:43.260 --> 00:34:48.220
They don't know enough to know how it all works and um and uh

00:34:49.150 --> 00:34:54.590
and firm conclusions one way or the other, yeah, uh are dubious.

00:34:54.670 --> 00:35:00.350
But yeah, I I remember uh Randy Gallstell gave his talk because he's got that Gallastel um

00:35:00.590 --> 00:35:04.350
uh and I can't think of the other person's name because I can't think of nouns either.

00:35:04.510 --> 00:35:09.310
Um, but uh but they've got this book about you know memory requires addressable read write

00:35:09.470 --> 00:35:09.870
format.

00:35:10.030 --> 00:35:10.350
Yeah.

00:35:10.510 --> 00:35:15.550
And uh, you know, neural conductance changes don't doesn't buy you that.

00:35:15.820 --> 00:35:19.580
And I remember he gave a talk at Yale when I was a postdoc and he gave the talk in front of

00:35:19.580 --> 00:35:23.180
the neuroscientists at Yale and he gave this like hour long talk and they went crazy.

00:35:23.500 --> 00:35:25.980
And actually he was like the nobody had a good answer.

00:35:26.060 --> 00:35:31.100
And really when it came down to literally one of the people said, Yeah, but it's hard.

00:35:32.220 --> 00:35:34.380
So yeah, so I think your career is fine, Rob.

00:35:34.460 --> 00:35:35.260
I think they don't know.

00:35:35.900 --> 00:35:36.300
We don't know.

00:35:36.380 --> 00:35:37.260
No, we don't know anything.

00:35:37.340 --> 00:35:38.860
None of us know how this stuff works.

00:35:39.420 --> 00:35:43.610
I will tell you a Randy Gallstall anecdote, which is on the same theme.

00:35:43.770 --> 00:35:49.370
So I was at a conference in Paris, and and uh I was sitting next to Randy, who is a has a

00:35:49.370 --> 00:35:50.970
wicked sense of humor.

00:35:51.210 --> 00:35:54.890
And um uh and it's kind of a contrary, you know.

00:35:55.130 --> 00:36:00.730
And uh so this guy was giving this, you know, it was kind of a typical um

00:36:01.050 --> 00:36:02.410
neurobiology talk.

00:36:02.570 --> 00:36:07.160
He was an anatomist, and he was, you know, this is kind of like the old song, you know, the

00:36:07.160 --> 00:36:08.840
thigh bones connected to the neck bones.

00:36:09.000 --> 00:36:14.040
They have all these circuits in the brain and and different pieces are connected.

00:36:14.200 --> 00:36:19.240
And he had done a whole bunch of fancy work to to learn how, you know,

00:36:19.720 --> 00:36:24.680
information, we presume, is being transmitted between these uh

00:36:25.880 --> 00:36:28.520
uh anatomically different parts of the brain.

00:36:28.760 --> 00:36:34.450
And so somebody, and I don't know who raised their hand and said, Uh can you

00:36:34.450 --> 00:36:40.210
explain uh how the information that's transmitted all along these circuits is encoded?

00:36:40.770 --> 00:36:46.770
And Randy leaned over to me and he said, Now a glimpse into the abyss.

00:36:47.010 --> 00:36:52.880
And and and uh so uh

00:36:53.040 --> 00:36:54.160
and the guy had no answer.

00:36:54.240 --> 00:36:55.520
I said, We have no idea.

00:36:55.680 --> 00:36:58.640
And uh no, this is 20 years ago, but yeah.

00:36:59.280 --> 00:37:00.640
Well, at least it was an honest answer.

00:37:00.720 --> 00:37:04.480
Yeah, no, I mean, and that's yeah, I think that's I mean, I I appreciate that about all of

00:37:04.480 --> 00:37:09.920
us here is you know, I don't know, it's a good thing to Didn't you say I Rob, I feel like

00:37:09.920 --> 00:37:13.120
this is a story you told about John Maynard Smith where something somebody said something,

00:37:13.280 --> 00:37:14.400
Oh, you changed your mind once.

00:37:14.480 --> 00:37:15.600
And he said, Of course I did.

00:37:15.680 --> 00:37:16.560
I I knew the data.

00:37:16.640 --> 00:37:18.480
Like, is that no, I don't know that story.

00:37:18.720 --> 00:37:19.360
Okay, yeah, yeah.

00:37:19.440 --> 00:37:24.050
But I think that yeah, thinking that feeling like you have to know something is is a curse

00:37:24.050 --> 00:37:25.170
of the ac the account.

00:37:25.410 --> 00:37:25.730
Yeah, yeah.

00:37:25.810 --> 00:37:31.650
No, he was uh John is my intellectual hero and um and uh

00:37:32.610 --> 00:37:35.090
he was an honest guy that way.

00:37:35.330 --> 00:37:35.570
Yeah.

00:37:35.810 --> 00:37:36.850
Did you know him?

00:37:37.170 --> 00:37:38.690
Um kind of.

00:37:38.930 --> 00:37:44.780
Uh I uh I met him at various conferences and then we we got

00:37:44.780 --> 00:37:47.580
invited to this, both got invited to this.

00:37:47.980 --> 00:37:53.820
Uh that it's in Steyr, um, Austria, every year they

00:37:53.820 --> 00:37:59.820
have a kind of a school on on um some topic.

00:38:00.140 --> 00:38:06.140
And uh uh the I got invited to give a bunch of lectures on, and and they invite a

00:38:06.140 --> 00:38:09.810
bunch of students for a week, and then the last day a bunch of big shots show up.

00:38:10.050 --> 00:38:15.890
And uh so I wasn't a very big shot, but I they talked me into giving lectures

00:38:15.890 --> 00:38:21.810
about game theory and kin selection to all these students, you know, four

00:38:21.810 --> 00:38:24.850
days, hour and a half lecture every day.

00:38:25.170 --> 00:38:30.210
And uh so I get there, and who's in the audience but John Maynard Smith?

00:38:30.290 --> 00:38:31.490
Holy crap!

00:38:31.730 --> 00:38:37.540
And uh and um so unlike the other big shots, he showed up the

00:38:37.540 --> 00:38:41.780
first day, listened to the whole thing, talked to the students.

00:38:42.100 --> 00:38:43.540
Uh, he was great.

00:38:43.700 --> 00:38:47.460
And it turned out that like me, he's an early riser.

00:38:47.620 --> 00:38:53.460
So, you know, at 6 30 every morning, he and I were there at the beginning of the line to

00:38:53.460 --> 00:38:53.940
get breakfast.

00:38:54.020 --> 00:38:56.180
And so I had breakfast with him every morning for the week.

00:38:56.260 --> 00:38:57.300
And I hung out with them.

00:38:57.380 --> 00:39:00.950
We got to be, you know, we were hanging out together a lot.

00:39:01.110 --> 00:39:01.270
Yeah.

00:39:01.430 --> 00:39:03.510
And then I met him some other times.

00:39:03.670 --> 00:39:09.510
And I I mean, he was a prickly guy, but I thought great.

00:39:09.750 --> 00:39:15.510
And um and um you know, not a modest fellow,

00:39:15.590 --> 00:39:18.950
but but uh I don't think he probably had good reason not to be honest.

00:39:19.430 --> 00:39:20.470
That's that that is true.

00:39:20.710 --> 00:39:26.000
Um I I wanna see if I could so uh it'll probably be um of interest to our listeners to see

00:39:26.000 --> 00:39:31.360
if we could really nail down on what the disagreements are between uh you and Lita and

00:39:31.360 --> 00:39:31.520
John.

00:39:31.680 --> 00:39:35.120
So in discussing these differences about how evolution works, it's gonna really make me

00:39:35.120 --> 00:39:35.840
fess up here now.

00:39:35.920 --> 00:39:36.720
But okay sorry.

00:39:38.000 --> 00:39:42.000
No I think it's important for us to get a handle on precisely what the disagreements are

00:39:42.000 --> 00:39:43.040
and whether they even exist.

00:39:43.120 --> 00:39:45.790
Because I think there are some people who think that we can all just get along and these

00:39:45.790 --> 00:39:49.710
disagreements are just kind of narcissism of petty differences.

00:39:49.950 --> 00:39:55.710
Um but uh so in

00:39:55.710 --> 00:40:00.430
talking about your your differences between Lita and John, you mentioned rapid evolutionary

00:40:00.430 --> 00:40:02.110
change and guppies and lizards.

00:40:02.190 --> 00:40:05.950
You talked about uh the evolution of menopause, how it has surprisingly low heritability

00:40:06.030 --> 00:40:08.750
and how there may have been surprisingly high heritability.

00:40:08.990 --> 00:40:09.470
Oh, you think?

00:40:09.630 --> 00:40:09.710
Okay.

00:40:09.960 --> 00:40:10.520
Regardless of the thing.

00:40:10.760 --> 00:40:16.760
0.3 means that if you get a one standard deviation change due to selection, you get

00:40:16.760 --> 00:40:20.600
a three tenths of a standard deviation change per generation.

00:40:20.840 --> 00:40:21.720
Do the math.

00:40:21.880 --> 00:40:23.640
You get Yeah, that's true.

00:40:24.760 --> 00:40:29.640
Um but nevertheless, uh I I believe the suggestion was that um, you know, there could have

00:40:29.640 --> 00:40:33.800
been selection for uh increased menopause in recent human evolutionary history, but the

00:40:33.800 --> 00:40:37.750
fact that we didn't see that suggests that there's some kind of constraint to um to

00:40:37.990 --> 00:40:38.630
adaptiveness.

00:40:38.790 --> 00:40:39.430
Is that the same thing?

00:40:39.590 --> 00:40:44.870
No, or that, or that for some reason a 50-year-old menopause is is fitness

00:40:44.870 --> 00:40:45.830
maximized.

00:40:45.990 --> 00:40:47.110
Uh okay.

00:40:47.430 --> 00:40:47.750
All right.

00:40:47.910 --> 00:40:51.190
Um well so the I I'm still trying to nail down what the disagreement is then.

00:40:51.270 --> 00:40:56.710
Is it just that um uh there's been more recent uh evolution than perhaps Tubian

00:40:56.790 --> 00:40:57.590
Cosmodies think?

00:40:57.750 --> 00:41:02.070
That uh maybe the EEA is more recent than they they might have thought, or is it is the

00:41:02.070 --> 00:41:06.960
point that there are constraints on optimality that limit the utility of adaptationist

00:41:06.960 --> 00:41:07.360
analysis.

00:41:07.520 --> 00:41:13.120
What what what is Yeah, no, I uh all this is secondary.

00:41:13.280 --> 00:41:18.800
Uh um uh the real disagreement between John,

00:41:19.360 --> 00:41:25.200
Lita, Pete and I uh is I think about

00:41:25.920 --> 00:41:31.360
um cultural evolution and its role in explaining

00:41:31.600 --> 00:41:32.480
behavior.

00:41:33.040 --> 00:41:38.830
Um Pete and I think that uh, well, to put it

00:41:38.830 --> 00:41:44.270
as bluntly as possible, that in humans, selection has favored a

00:41:44.270 --> 00:41:50.190
psychology that does stuff that causes people to do stuff that they

00:41:50.190 --> 00:41:55.000
see people around them doing, even though they have no uh

00:41:55.480 --> 00:41:59.080
adaptive reason to think that's the correct thing to do.

00:41:59.800 --> 00:42:03.480
And uh I've got models, of course, that show that's possible.

00:42:03.720 --> 00:42:09.560
Now that's you know, why maybe as as Pete's kid used to say.

00:42:09.800 --> 00:42:13.400
Um and uh uh uh

00:42:14.920 --> 00:42:20.680
philosophers use talk about why possibly, that's what models but I like why maybe better.

00:42:20.840 --> 00:42:26.770
Um and uh I mean I think, I mean, I've talked to

00:42:26.770 --> 00:42:27.890
John about this.

00:42:28.050 --> 00:42:33.810
Uh he just I had never talked to Lita about this, but uh uh

00:42:34.050 --> 00:42:39.810
he thought that was impossible, that our psychology couldn't be

00:42:39.810 --> 00:42:45.560
built in a way that uh you would learn to be

00:42:45.560 --> 00:42:51.560
celibate, or you would learn to risk your life climbing mountains, or you would learn all

00:42:51.560 --> 00:42:57.080
those things would have to arise from motivations and information

00:42:57.080 --> 00:43:02.360
processing that would have been favored by selection in a

00:43:02.360 --> 00:43:04.360
hunter-gatherer existence.

00:43:04.680 --> 00:43:08.040
Um small bubble bands, et cetera, et cetera.

00:43:08.200 --> 00:43:13.630
And I just think that's wrong that that selection has created a

00:43:13.630 --> 00:43:18.270
psychology that causes us to be susceptible to

00:43:19.630 --> 00:43:24.350
the social environment, informational environment in which we live.

00:43:24.830 --> 00:43:30.510
And because it it it's so social

00:43:30.670 --> 00:43:32.670
learning is a two-edged sword.

00:43:33.340 --> 00:43:39.100
It gives us immense adaptive power, much greater adaptive power

00:43:39.100 --> 00:43:41.020
than any other vertebrate.

00:43:43.580 --> 00:43:48.140
Since now I'm giving a speech, but I'll give the speech anyway.

00:43:53.500 --> 00:43:57.260
It depends who you listen to, emerged from Africa.

00:43:57.580 --> 00:44:02.390
And they spread across the world in a few thousand years.

00:44:02.790 --> 00:44:07.190
So this is a a um a

00:44:08.310 --> 00:44:14.070
vertebrate uh a tropical forager living

00:44:14.390 --> 00:44:19.910
in warm environments with a particular mix of of adaptations that are

00:44:19.910 --> 00:44:20.470
necessary.

00:44:20.710 --> 00:44:26.320
And it looks like within a few thousand years they're living north of the Arctic

00:44:26.320 --> 00:44:32.000
Circle, and in which the suite of adaptations

00:44:32.240 --> 00:44:36.800
necessary to make a living is immensely different.

00:44:37.680 --> 00:44:42.720
And you need clothing, you need housing, you need all kinds of stuff.

00:44:43.040 --> 00:44:48.970
And uh this people were able to acquire all these adaptations for

00:44:48.970 --> 00:44:54.810
all the different parts of the world they lived in because they could evolve

00:44:54.810 --> 00:45:00.250
culturally and acquire inf so it's not

00:45:00.250 --> 00:45:03.290
individual humans that adapt.

00:45:03.690 --> 00:45:09.120
Human populations adapt because they can share information

00:45:09.680 --> 00:45:13.520
and they can it only works if you

00:45:15.120 --> 00:45:21.040
adopt adaptations that you don't understand why they're

00:45:21.040 --> 00:45:22.240
the way they are.

00:45:23.680 --> 00:45:25.360
Credulity, yeah, like the kayakism.

00:45:26.080 --> 00:45:27.600
Yeah, so you have to be credulous.

00:45:28.320 --> 00:45:32.170
And what you get for that is this

00:45:33.770 --> 00:45:39.690
huge adaptive machine that gives you things that individual

00:45:39.690 --> 00:45:44.250
cognition, as smart as we are, is grotesquely

00:45:45.210 --> 00:45:47.370
underpowered to acquire.

00:45:47.690 --> 00:45:53.620
And uh but that means that you're prone to picking up ideas that

00:45:53.700 --> 00:45:55.860
you know aren't that sensible sometimes.

00:45:56.020 --> 00:46:01.060
And so I think it's a it's like lots of stuff in evolution, there's a trade-off.

00:46:01.140 --> 00:46:06.500
There's a trade-off between having cultural adaptation, and I'll say just as an aside,

00:46:06.740 --> 00:46:12.340
David, uh I think selection's important, but so are non-selective processes.

00:46:12.580 --> 00:46:16.580
So it it it it it cultural selection is only part of the story.

00:46:16.820 --> 00:46:22.690
Um I mean transformative processes like spurber and all those guys

00:46:22.850 --> 00:46:24.610
are are for sure important.

00:46:25.410 --> 00:46:31.250
And um uh uh and we can talk about that if you want.

00:46:31.410 --> 00:46:36.690
But but so uh and I think I mean maybe I'm

00:46:36.690 --> 00:46:42.530
caricaturizing caricaturing um uh John and Lita, but

00:46:42.530 --> 00:46:47.540
I I think and I've talked more to John about this than Lita.

00:46:47.860 --> 00:46:49.540
He just thought that was nonsense.

00:46:49.780 --> 00:46:55.380
That uh that um um people were smart.

00:46:55.460 --> 00:46:59.700
They had all these domain-specific adaptations and

00:47:01.220 --> 00:47:07.220
um it it seems like though that there's a compatibility between the two

00:47:07.220 --> 00:47:07.620
views.

00:47:07.700 --> 00:47:12.990
I the only disagreement that I can pick up on is on the extent of of credulity about this

00:47:12.990 --> 00:47:14.110
cultural information.

00:47:14.270 --> 00:47:19.230
But it seems like you could get that kind of cultural adaptation with a fair amount of

00:47:19.230 --> 00:47:23.550
credulity and a fair amount of scrutiny of the different cultural variants and a fair

00:47:23.550 --> 00:47:28.110
amount of sensitivity to, say, the success of a particular hunting practice or a particular

00:47:28.110 --> 00:47:31.550
person who's adopting that practice or the particular social benefits.

00:47:31.710 --> 00:47:35.870
You know, all of these, the psychology could be sensitive to all of these variables, and

00:47:35.870 --> 00:47:37.630
you could still get this cultural adaptation.

00:47:37.710 --> 00:47:41.300
And in fact, it could even facilitate this cultural adaptation if you have these

00:47:41.300 --> 00:47:42.580
psychological sensitivities.

00:47:42.900 --> 00:47:43.300
Of course.

00:47:43.460 --> 00:47:43.780
Yeah.

00:47:43.860 --> 00:47:48.500
I mean, this is um, you know, what people say about scientific theories.

00:47:48.580 --> 00:47:52.580
Um uh the first the first reaction is well, that's complete nonsense.

00:47:52.660 --> 00:47:54.020
How could that possibly be?

00:47:54.180 --> 00:47:58.980
The second reaction is, well, maybe under particular circumstances, and the third reaction

00:47:58.980 --> 00:48:00.660
is that's what we thought all along.

00:48:01.140 --> 00:48:07.110
And um, and uh, you know, uh I maybe I think maybe

00:48:07.110 --> 00:48:11.990
there's a sociological pr point here to make which is that like I think for the point of

00:48:12.230 --> 00:48:16.630
showing the novelty and the of of being able to make new predictions.

00:48:16.790 --> 00:48:22.070
Um I think you know culturalists have often pointed to really amazing things that are weird

00:48:22.070 --> 00:48:27.680
in humans, like you mentioned celibacy, like sacrificing for and Kind of the

00:48:27.680 --> 00:48:28.400
in-group.

00:48:28.640 --> 00:48:32.080
And I do bet that like some people don't think that that's, you know, there are different

00:48:32.080 --> 00:48:35.680
explanation people propose different explanations for those extreme examples.

00:48:35.840 --> 00:48:41.440
Um, but I think that that has maybe sometimes lended to be characterized as like uh people

00:48:41.440 --> 00:48:47.360
are dumb perspective, or that like the the credit like that's the extreme

00:48:47.360 --> 00:48:48.560
level of credulity, right?

00:48:48.720 --> 00:48:51.200
Like that is credulous, yeah.

00:48:51.520 --> 00:48:51.760
Right.

00:48:51.840 --> 00:48:57.590
I I I mean, um so if you think people are endowed with a

00:48:57.910 --> 00:49:03.510
so the thing is well, I mean, celibacy is an interesting one

00:49:03.670 --> 00:49:06.070
because people obviously like sex, right?

00:49:06.310 --> 00:49:10.630
And um and so the question is, how could it be?

00:49:10.790 --> 00:49:16.580
I mean, I've not just from John Alita, I mean Dick Alexander and all

00:49:16.580 --> 00:49:17.060
those people.

00:49:17.140 --> 00:49:21.700
Come on, you know, I mean try to find an adaptation like people know what they're doing

00:49:21.860 --> 00:49:27.380
right now that it's worth and the thing is uh the

00:49:28.020 --> 00:49:33.460
selection can't I mean in my view, selection can't endow us with you know have sex no

00:49:33.460 --> 00:49:37.700
matter what, because uh there are always trade-offs.

00:49:38.020 --> 00:49:43.730
So um it I mean uh to take an example,

00:49:43.890 --> 00:49:49.730
uh in in uh the Maasai, um young

00:49:50.050 --> 00:49:55.650
men, Maran E, uh are the warriors were supposed to be

00:49:55.650 --> 00:49:56.530
celibate.

00:49:57.010 --> 00:50:02.900
And um when they graduated from that age set, then they could get married

00:50:02.900 --> 00:50:03.700
and have sex.

00:50:03.860 --> 00:50:09.300
And of course, big surprise, sometimes they had sex, but you know, as Murani,

00:50:09.700 --> 00:50:11.860
not as as as seniors.

00:50:12.180 --> 00:50:14.180
But it was costly, right?

00:50:14.260 --> 00:50:17.940
There were norms in place that people imposed costs.

00:50:18.100 --> 00:50:23.780
And so people, sure, they like sex, but they're also sensitive to, you know.

00:50:23.940 --> 00:50:26.100
And so where do the norms come from?

00:50:26.580 --> 00:50:32.450
The norms on John Alita's account, I would say, have to come from some module

00:50:32.530 --> 00:50:33.010
somewhere.

00:50:33.570 --> 00:50:39.570
And um on my account, they can evolve all over the place because we don't know.

00:50:40.050 --> 00:50:44.450
It we're not very good at figuring out how society should be organized.

00:50:44.770 --> 00:50:47.810
That's another thing we don't understand very well.

00:50:48.290 --> 00:50:52.520
I mean, I I've argued sort of endlessly that

00:50:53.800 --> 00:50:59.000
selection of cultural differences between groups is one force that shapes norms.

00:50:59.160 --> 00:51:02.680
I am surely that can't be the only thing.

00:51:02.840 --> 00:51:04.520
It doesn't explain a lot of change.

00:51:04.680 --> 00:51:05.480
It's too slow.

00:51:05.640 --> 00:51:10.120
There are a lot of reasons why it can't be the main, the only main process, and I don't

00:51:10.120 --> 00:51:15.810
think we're very good at at there's some papers by Lehman and Powers and some other people

00:51:15.810 --> 00:51:17.410
about bargaining.

00:51:17.970 --> 00:51:22.850
I I think there are problems with that way of looking at it, but I think within group

00:51:22.850 --> 00:51:25.170
processes uh must be important.

00:51:25.490 --> 00:51:28.210
And um and so we got to figure that out.

00:51:28.370 --> 00:51:34.370
But it's I I think that the fact that these things are heritable at the group level,

00:51:34.530 --> 00:51:40.240
that they meaning that groups persist, you ship shift environments

00:51:40.400 --> 00:51:44.240
and and they'll shift eventually, but there it often is quite slow.

00:51:44.400 --> 00:51:49.680
And you can predict a lot about what people's norms are from what language they speak.

00:51:50.000 --> 00:51:55.680
And all these things are not the signatures of a

00:51:55.680 --> 00:52:01.520
universal psychology mapping environment, meaning the ecological

00:52:01.680 --> 00:52:05.770
physical environment, onto social behavior.

00:52:05.930 --> 00:52:10.650
It's there's some history and and um if

00:52:11.290 --> 00:52:15.050
evolutionary psychologists want to th say that's what we believe, fine.

00:52:15.930 --> 00:52:16.810
I've won.

00:52:18.490 --> 00:52:21.050
But uh and I think that's right.

00:52:21.130 --> 00:52:24.170
I mean to just put it like you know like I think Christina and I have these conversations.

00:52:24.330 --> 00:52:27.930
I think I like you know I wonder when you and John were talking, I think we're we're

00:52:28.090 --> 00:52:32.330
hindsight is 2020 and I think we wouldn't have the understanding we have if you and John

00:52:32.490 --> 00:52:36.660
hadn't had that debate, but I mean one thing I appreciate as a John Lita student was you

00:52:36.660 --> 00:52:42.580
know the kayak example where you don't just to to caricature the the

00:52:42.660 --> 00:52:48.420
the the the the john and leita uh my training would be sort of there's no account of

00:52:48.420 --> 00:52:53.460
kayak design right in the mind right that that there's you can have to explain that

00:52:53.460 --> 00:52:59.110
complexity and that adaptation and why that kayak does so well what I like about this.

00:52:59.510 --> 00:53:00.230
Or bicycle.

00:53:00.390 --> 00:53:01.510
Yeah, or bicycle or anything.

00:53:01.590 --> 00:53:01.910
Exactly.

00:53:01.990 --> 00:53:02.150
Yes.

00:53:02.230 --> 00:53:03.270
I prefer bikes as we know.

00:53:03.350 --> 00:53:03.430
Yeah.

00:53:03.590 --> 00:53:03.990
Yeah, exactly.

00:53:05.990 --> 00:53:11.750
But um, yeah, no, I I mean I like that there's an extra thing to explain, which is

00:53:11.750 --> 00:53:15.830
this uh shorter time span, the trial and error.

00:53:15.990 --> 00:53:19.110
Everything is trial and error, you just don't see the error all the time, but it's you

00:53:19.110 --> 00:53:24.870
know, just variance in the world, and there's selective retention of variation in the

00:53:24.870 --> 00:53:25.350
design.

00:53:25.510 --> 00:53:30.920
And I think, you know, Christina and I, my feeling is that now evolutionary

00:53:30.920 --> 00:53:36.760
psychologists are often thinking about like, what's the EEA of the class of things

00:53:36.760 --> 00:53:41.800
that are like kayak design, exactly in the day way that David's talking about it, where

00:53:41.800 --> 00:53:47.640
there's sort of there are entries for I'm gonna accept something with credulity,

00:53:47.880 --> 00:53:48.200
right?

00:53:48.600 --> 00:53:54.310
Um because this has been an aspect that has recurrently been so I actually think

00:53:54.310 --> 00:54:00.070
we've come, I believe we've come to completely both both being

00:54:00.070 --> 00:54:04.070
integrated, but I think we didn't we couldn't have gotten there if you guys hadn't had that

00:54:04.390 --> 00:54:06.630
argument because I do think it was missing.

00:54:06.710 --> 00:54:10.920
You know, I will say that as a student of John Leader, like I do think that the extra um I

00:54:10.920 --> 00:54:12.360
mean, I think the the idea was there.

00:54:12.440 --> 00:54:17.080
I mean the true to be DeVore paper had that idea, but I don't I do think it was under

00:54:17.480 --> 00:54:18.120
emphasized.

00:54:18.200 --> 00:54:20.520
And I do think you we needed to have that argument.

00:54:20.680 --> 00:54:25.320
Maybe that's maybe that's my buffalo everybody can get along upbringing, but I but that's

00:54:25.320 --> 00:54:25.800
my opinion.

00:54:25.880 --> 00:54:26.920
That's my two cents about it.

00:54:27.080 --> 00:54:29.480
I don't know what Christina uh thinks about it.

00:54:29.640 --> 00:54:35.110
Um I think that there's a method I'm not we've been skirting around like the methodological

00:54:35.110 --> 00:54:35.830
difficulty of it.

00:54:35.990 --> 00:54:39.190
I mean I I generally agree that they're compatible, Rob, for what it's doing with.

00:54:39.590 --> 00:54:42.310
And I don't, and maybe historically they weren't.

00:54:42.470 --> 00:54:48.470
Um but there's a methodological difficulty as well in like parsing out, you

00:54:48.470 --> 00:54:53.800
know, no, if we all agree that the kayak isn't the EEA, but there's like a kayak-like

00:54:54.760 --> 00:54:54.920
things.

00:54:55.320 --> 00:54:59.720
There's no kayak module, but there's maybe is like, you know, a cock, there has to be a

00:54:59.720 --> 00:55:03.240
cognition that's capable of accepting and processing kayak-like things.

00:55:04.120 --> 00:55:06.280
And what is the category of kayak-like things?

00:55:06.520 --> 00:55:11.720
The difficulty is that, like, I'm not sure that we the kayak is a is a good or bicycle is a

00:55:11.720 --> 00:55:15.080
good example of that because we know it's like technological evolutionary history.

00:55:15.320 --> 00:55:19.160
But things like kinship structures or social systems, we have no idea.

00:55:19.320 --> 00:55:24.930
And then it becomes, I think, a much harder process of like disentangling of like,

00:55:25.090 --> 00:55:29.890
well, you know, is the reason that we have these kinds of like intuitions about kinship or

00:55:29.890 --> 00:55:34.050
about um, I don't know, maybe reciprocity or maybe about fatherhood?

00:55:34.210 --> 00:55:35.810
Like, is that like a kayak?

00:55:36.050 --> 00:55:36.370
I see.

00:55:36.450 --> 00:55:36.610
Yeah.

00:55:36.690 --> 00:55:42.210
So you're just don't have like the the historical knowledge of when this kind of fatherhood

00:55:42.210 --> 00:55:45.010
institution or this social system evolved?

00:55:45.250 --> 00:55:49.860
Or is that really a deep seated part of human cognition?

00:55:50.420 --> 00:55:51.860
Well, I mean, kinship.

00:55:52.020 --> 00:55:55.300
We know that there's a lot of cultural variation in kinship, yeah.

00:55:55.460 --> 00:56:00.580
And and we've got some idea of the timescales on which um

00:56:01.460 --> 00:56:02.340
those systems are.

00:56:02.820 --> 00:56:06.660
I guess with like phylogenetic kind of from Ruth Mace kind of stuff.

00:56:06.900 --> 00:56:07.060
Yeah.

00:56:07.220 --> 00:56:07.540
Yeah.

00:56:07.780 --> 00:56:12.990
And so I mean, throughout Western

00:56:13.710 --> 00:56:18.830
central Australia, all the dry bits basically, people had these

00:56:18.910 --> 00:56:23.230
incredibly complicated eight-section kinship systems.

00:56:23.310 --> 00:56:24.350
Do you guys know about those?

00:56:24.830 --> 00:56:26.030
Yeah, Christina knows.

00:56:26.110 --> 00:56:26.590
She's around.

00:56:27.710 --> 00:56:28.670
Yeah, exactly.

00:56:28.910 --> 00:56:33.230
And uh there's I tried to learn that it's really complicated.

00:56:34.190 --> 00:56:39.960
And and you know, that's evolved on something like 10,000 year timescales,

00:56:40.120 --> 00:56:40.280
right?

00:56:40.440 --> 00:56:46.040
Um and well we know from the geographical extent, I think, that

00:56:46.360 --> 00:56:48.920
and linguistic correlation that we don't really know.

00:56:49.080 --> 00:56:54.920
But but I mean it's not like bicycles,

00:56:55.000 --> 00:56:56.440
it's not the last hundred years.

00:56:56.520 --> 00:57:01.110
It's it's uh and kayaks we don't really know.

00:57:01.350 --> 00:57:07.190
I mean, I wish we did, but we the history of kayaks, there's some toy kayaks from about

00:57:07.190 --> 00:57:08.150
4,000 years ago.

00:57:08.230 --> 00:57:11.910
They look like the modern ones, but and that's about all we have.

00:57:11.990 --> 00:57:14.550
Uh, and then some that are a few hundred years old.

00:57:14.790 --> 00:57:18.230
Um, so we don't really know very much about the time scale.

00:57:18.550 --> 00:57:24.320
Um and surprisingly, people on the north coast of Asia

00:57:24.880 --> 00:57:30.720
and Kamcheka and places like that, which you'd think present pretty similar

00:57:30.720 --> 00:57:32.080
ecological problems.

00:57:32.240 --> 00:57:36.880
They do build skin boats, but they're really crude compared to the skin boats of people in

00:57:36.880 --> 00:57:37.680
North America.

00:57:37.840 --> 00:57:40.400
So I wish we knew more about that.

00:57:40.560 --> 00:57:46.550
And um the only good examples I think we really have are

00:57:46.710 --> 00:57:49.670
uh pretty recent um things.

00:57:49.830 --> 00:57:55.670
Uh there's a gor there's this guy whose name I forget again, sorry, who English guy who

00:57:55.670 --> 00:57:59.510
um studies the evolution of looms in East Asia.

00:57:59.750 --> 00:58:01.510
Uh they're fantastic.

00:58:01.750 --> 00:58:07.190
He really understands the history and the phylogenetic patterns, and there's a bunch of

00:58:07.190 --> 00:58:12.780
horizontal transmission, which makes, I mean, horizontal not in the between group

00:58:12.780 --> 00:58:14.060
transmission of ideas.

00:58:14.140 --> 00:58:15.180
And anyway.

00:58:15.740 --> 00:58:17.580
So I don't think we know.

00:58:17.980 --> 00:58:22.940
But I guess what I was trying to argue, Rob, is that like we know that we we we have good

00:58:22.940 --> 00:58:26.860
reason to believe that like 50,000 years ago we didn't have kayaks everywhere.

00:58:27.020 --> 00:58:28.540
Uh I don't buy that.

00:58:29.580 --> 00:58:29.740
Okay.

00:58:29.820 --> 00:58:29.900
Okay.

00:58:30.220 --> 00:58:31.100
No, I don't buy that at all.

00:58:31.260 --> 00:58:33.980
So so there could have been like we could have, I mean, I know there's debate about like

00:58:33.980 --> 00:58:39.180
Neanderthals also doing some level of like seafaring or Oh, I think the evidence evidence

00:58:39.180 --> 00:58:45.010
for seafaring uh and the first people who got to actually of all people, Kristen Hawks

00:58:45.090 --> 00:58:48.370
has a paper, uh, Kristen and Jim O'Connell.

00:58:48.690 --> 00:58:54.130
Um, quite good, I think, for my taste, quite good evidence that the earliest

00:58:54.130 --> 00:58:57.650
settlers of Australia had ocean-going boats.

00:58:57.810 --> 00:58:58.610
Oh, wow, okay.

00:58:58.850 --> 00:59:04.660
Um they get this from the settlement of offshore islands, which are which

00:59:04.980 --> 00:59:08.500
would have been you know 50 or 100 kilometers.

00:59:08.900 --> 00:59:11.140
Or maybe there is a kayak module.

00:59:11.700 --> 00:59:13.780
No, but they weren't the same boats.

00:59:13.860 --> 00:59:17.780
You know, the uh all the details about how to make the kayak.

00:59:18.100 --> 00:59:18.820
No, I agree.

00:59:19.140 --> 00:59:25.060
You know, it it's there may be some boat module, possibly.

00:59:25.140 --> 00:59:30.990
I I'm skeptical actually, but but um uh But more more plausibly there

00:59:30.990 --> 00:59:32.990
are folk physics modules.

00:59:33.150 --> 00:59:36.670
I mean, I don't like the term module, but there are systems that have intuitions or

00:59:36.750 --> 00:59:40.830
expectations about the physical world and how objects interact.

00:59:41.150 --> 00:59:46.030
Surely there are there are probably uh you know folk engineering or tool use modules where

00:59:46.030 --> 00:59:49.070
we have a concept of what a tool is and that it has a specific function.

00:59:49.630 --> 00:59:53.390
That's what this guy uh o Suriak, this French guy.

00:59:53.550 --> 00:59:55.060
Uh Anyway, sorry to interrupt.

00:59:55.300 --> 01:00:00.580
Yeah, no, and and Clark Barrett has argued this in his book Um Uh The Shape of Thought.

01:00:00.820 --> 01:00:06.660
So it seems to me that even the extreme uh Santa Barbara

01:00:06.660 --> 01:00:11.700
school picture of the mind, which is filled with these context sensitive, specialized

01:00:11.700 --> 01:00:12.740
modules, right?

01:00:12.980 --> 01:00:17.060
Is totally compatible with cultural evolution and cultural adaptation.

01:00:17.620 --> 01:00:19.460
Do you see any kind of incompatibility there?

01:00:19.540 --> 01:00:22.710
Because it seems like those those two pictures of the mind could both be true.

01:00:22.870 --> 01:00:27.990
We could both have really sophisticated minds with complex specialized adaptations, and we

01:00:27.990 --> 01:00:32.070
could have cultural evolution and culturally adaptive processes at the same time.

01:00:32.150 --> 01:00:36.230
And it may be even be the case that the two complement each other, that you're more likely

01:00:36.230 --> 01:00:40.390
to get cultural evolution in a more adaptive direction if you have the the the

01:00:40.550 --> 01:00:43.910
sophisticated mind to evaluate the different outputs of culture.

01:00:44.310 --> 01:00:48.800
But then you can't Yes, I agree with everything you just said.

01:00:49.040 --> 01:00:49.360
Okay.

01:00:49.520 --> 01:00:53.200
Um, but that's not what John Alita said.

01:00:53.440 --> 01:00:53.760
Okay.

01:00:54.000 --> 01:00:59.680
Uh they wanted to go from stories about I

01:01:00.000 --> 01:01:01.760
that's pejorative, I shouldn't say that.

01:01:02.640 --> 01:01:08.480
They wanted to go from hypotheses about uh life

01:01:08.480 --> 01:01:13.840
in mobile foraging bands in um the late Pleistocene,

01:01:14.400 --> 01:01:20.270
and make inferences about how people should behave now.

01:01:21.070 --> 01:01:26.670
And that means that there's a direct correspondence between some

01:01:26.750 --> 01:01:32.270
adaptive, I mean, I'm quoting them now almost, some adaptive problem that people

01:01:32.590 --> 01:01:38.030
faced in these Pleistocene societies and how

01:01:38.190 --> 01:01:41.870
behavior is expressed now in response to cues that people get.

01:01:42.430 --> 01:01:45.940
And uh I'm sure that's true to some extent.

01:01:46.100 --> 01:01:51.620
I mean, but um I also think there's a huge range of

01:01:51.620 --> 01:01:55.220
behavior, which that doesn't help you with.

01:01:55.380 --> 01:01:59.140
But John John, I think, thought that got you the whole package.

01:01:59.620 --> 01:02:03.940
I mean it well, it could it could well get you the whole like what if some of those modules

01:02:03.940 --> 01:02:09.810
involve evaluating potential uh tools or uh uh potential uh foraging strategies

01:02:09.970 --> 01:02:13.810
or potential social norms in terms of whether they advocate for one's interests or through

01:02:13.970 --> 01:02:19.570
the norm or the tool should be like correct they don't but they could nevertheless

01:02:20.130 --> 01:02:21.570
right I think that's that's true.

01:02:21.730 --> 01:02:23.090
That that's the key difference, right.

01:02:23.330 --> 01:02:27.730
But it seems like i if if we're assuming that they don't tell you the content of the norms

01:02:27.810 --> 01:02:32.100
or the content of the tool, then it seems like they're entirely compatible perspectives

01:02:32.100 --> 01:02:36.740
that you could yeah yeah but we got to fill in the details and you know uh

01:02:39.060 --> 01:02:42.740
yeah I don't think we're very close to that actually and I think Christina's point I mean

01:02:42.900 --> 01:02:47.780
just want to echo Christina's point it also then means that there is this issue of at what

01:02:47.780 --> 01:02:53.380
level of abstraction and the the concern would be that you're looking at um something

01:02:53.700 --> 01:02:58.410
that so just to be clear, like we were talking about like where does the evolved psychology

01:02:58.410 --> 01:03:02.170
end and where does the information stored in the environment begin?

01:03:02.970 --> 01:03:08.970
And Christina's point, if I understood it, was that you it's hard to know, and there may

01:03:08.970 --> 01:03:14.490
be cases where we think something is so well designed that uh

01:03:14.650 --> 01:03:19.770
we're really looking at it as like this is something that's in the phenotype, that's you

01:03:19.770 --> 01:03:25.440
know, reliably developing, and that's why it has the problem-solving and form

01:03:25.680 --> 01:03:27.600
fit relationship we do.

01:03:28.080 --> 01:03:33.840
But then there's this other thing of once we once we accept that cultural

01:03:33.840 --> 01:03:39.280
selection can create form-fit relationships, then we might be

01:03:39.280 --> 01:03:45.280
inferring, for just for lack of a better way of putting it, like genetic selection

01:03:45.600 --> 01:03:50.250
systems, where in fact it's more cultural selection systems.

01:03:50.410 --> 01:03:53.930
It's oh when we know the clear distinction, like Christina always talks about like reading,

01:03:54.010 --> 01:03:57.530
I think is a good example where you know if we didn't know about the history of reading, we

01:03:57.530 --> 01:03:59.450
might think it's just it's a module.

01:03:59.770 --> 01:04:00.330
It's a module.

01:04:00.410 --> 01:04:01.450
I mean maybe not.

01:04:01.530 --> 01:04:02.170
I don't I don't know.

01:04:02.250 --> 01:04:04.010
Like 'cause the fact that not everybody learns to read.

01:04:04.090 --> 01:04:07.210
Like I I I you know like any example has its issues.

01:04:07.370 --> 01:04:09.050
But I think that's a fair point, Christine.

01:04:09.130 --> 01:04:11.720
I want to make sure like that like is that fair, Christina?

01:04:11.960 --> 01:04:16.360
Yeah, and I think that so I was trying to also I not to be like material versus social is

01:04:16.360 --> 01:04:21.160
like a clear distinction, but I think that the social world is fuller of that ambiguity.

01:04:21.320 --> 01:04:24.200
Like we don't know very much about about Paleolithic social life.

01:04:24.280 --> 01:04:25.880
It probably was super diverse.

01:04:26.040 --> 01:04:31.080
Um we don't know what it was like two million years ago, three million years ago, like

01:04:31.330 --> 01:04:32.610
forget it, right?

01:04:32.850 --> 01:04:38.690
Um, and like to to do a parallel to the reading example, like almost every society has

01:04:38.690 --> 01:04:39.410
marriage today.

01:04:39.570 --> 01:04:41.010
I know there are exceptions.

01:04:41.410 --> 01:04:46.610
Um, and so we might infer that there's like a marriage-like modular world cognition that

01:04:46.610 --> 01:04:50.210
really favors marriage when you know we have good theoretical reasons to believe that

01:04:50.210 --> 01:04:51.890
that's probably a cultural institution.

01:04:52.050 --> 01:04:56.450
Like, yes, you know, partly driven by like psychological motivations that are patent human

01:04:56.530 --> 01:05:02.260
and so forth, but I think it's a real challenge to disentangle those, and more so when we

01:05:02.260 --> 01:05:07.700
don't have like a good paleontology or archaeology to kind of help with our intuition about

01:05:07.860 --> 01:05:07.940
it.

01:05:08.100 --> 01:05:08.660
Yeah, yeah, yeah.

01:05:08.900 --> 01:05:13.700
The idea that our brain is just uh you know a shapeless mass with no

01:05:13.700 --> 01:05:17.860
predispositions, that's just obviously stupid.

01:05:18.180 --> 01:05:24.100
And um I you know, Steve Pinker's book, The Blank Slate.

01:05:24.790 --> 01:05:29.750
I mean, I know there are lots of social scientists who believe in the blank slate, but

01:05:30.630 --> 01:05:33.110
they're just not thinking hard about things.

01:05:33.270 --> 01:05:33.910
It can't be.

01:05:34.070 --> 01:05:38.790
It just it just no matter what, they can't be, you know,

01:05:39.910 --> 01:05:43.830
and so it's always about how does it work exactly.

01:05:44.150 --> 01:05:50.140
And um or I completely agree with you Christina maybe exact we're never

01:05:50.140 --> 01:05:55.260
going to get to exactly but maybe a little bit of structure uh and um

01:05:56.140 --> 01:06:02.140
and uh I so what I would say is questions

01:06:02.140 --> 01:06:07.870
are not about whether there's evolved stuff in the human

01:06:07.870 --> 01:06:12.270
brain that shapes the way we respond to cues in the environment.

01:06:12.350 --> 01:06:13.790
That's gotta be, right?

01:06:14.110 --> 01:06:19.550
But there are questions about, you know, quantitative questions about where we sit on

01:06:20.030 --> 01:06:21.150
a kind of continuum.

01:06:21.230 --> 01:06:27.150
And my picture is um, because we're predisposed strongly to

01:06:27.150 --> 01:06:32.960
think what people around us do must be sensible, um uh uh we

01:06:32.960 --> 01:06:38.800
get a lot of stuff from that and um and i i

01:06:38.800 --> 01:06:44.160
if that's the way that evps psych is going i'm pleased i mean that's um

01:06:44.720 --> 01:06:49.600
uh uh you know you know when there's gonna be disagreements you know we're scientists right

01:06:49.680 --> 01:06:55.650
that's the business we're in but but uh but on the other side of things coming from like

01:06:55.810 --> 01:07:01.650
what um what questions might have influenced cultural evolutionary theorists

01:07:01.730 --> 01:07:06.930
um coming from like the more cynical like economists or of psych side, do you think that

01:07:06.930 --> 01:07:12.450
there's been any shift in like thinking about what that credulity has to look like?

01:07:12.770 --> 01:07:15.090
Or like what the limits of that credulity are?

01:07:15.410 --> 01:07:16.850
Yeah, it's a good question.

01:07:17.090 --> 01:07:22.580
Um I mean I think of it more uh I

01:07:22.580 --> 01:07:28.180
mean so so I talk to Sarah Matthew quite a bit, and

01:07:28.740 --> 01:07:34.580
she and I differ about um how likely it

01:07:34.580 --> 01:07:40.370
is that evolved motivations, I would call them about kinship and

01:07:40.370 --> 01:07:44.850
stuff, structure, cultural evolution.

01:07:45.890 --> 01:07:48.290
And, you know, she could be right.

01:07:48.450 --> 01:07:50.770
I mean, um, I could be right.

01:07:50.850 --> 01:07:53.090
Uh these are things that we're gonna learn.

01:07:53.170 --> 01:07:59.010
But I wouldn't say uh I I think of it as a bunch of specific stuff, not

01:07:59.010 --> 01:08:04.610
some general limitation about how credulous we are, but how

01:08:04.610 --> 01:08:10.480
strongly we're motivated in by different kinds of things we experience in

01:08:10.480 --> 01:08:15.760
the environment to to um to think well no yeah

01:08:16.960 --> 01:08:22.720
uh there's this xkcd cartoon that that um the

01:08:22.720 --> 01:08:28.530
mother is asking the kid you know um Are you, you know, the

01:08:28.530 --> 01:08:32.290
kid says, I I'm, you know, you you're doing this just because all your friends are doing

01:08:32.290 --> 01:08:32.370
it.

01:08:32.450 --> 01:08:37.970
And the kid says, is, yeah, that would what would I I I always succumb to kin pressure.

01:08:38.130 --> 01:08:40.130
And the mother says, why would you do that?

01:08:40.210 --> 01:08:43.250
You know, suppose you were on a on a burning bridge.

01:08:43.410 --> 01:08:49.170
And uh, and the kid says, Well, if 50 of my friends, well informed,

01:08:49.330 --> 01:08:51.640
jump off the bridge, who am I?

01:08:51.800 --> 01:08:56.120
You know, what's the newspaper the next day gonna say about the people who stayed on the

01:08:56.120 --> 01:08:56.680
bridge?

01:08:56.920 --> 01:08:59.320
And but that depends on the cue.

01:08:59.480 --> 01:09:02.280
It depends on what inferences you can make from the environment.

01:09:02.440 --> 01:09:04.120
You know, maybe all those people were stupid.

01:09:04.280 --> 01:09:08.840
They jumped off the bridge, and you're the smart person who who made the calculation to do

01:09:08.840 --> 01:09:09.880
it correctly.

01:09:10.120 --> 01:09:15.790
Um something that makes me super anxious about our enterprise here

01:09:15.950 --> 01:09:20.190
is that I think I think we can largely agree that there about like certain basic

01:09:20.190 --> 01:09:21.310
motivations that we have, right?

01:09:21.390 --> 01:09:25.390
Like motivations like hunger is motivating, um, sex is motivating, so forth.

01:09:25.870 --> 01:09:29.550
And you know, you might think on a good day, like, okay, we just need to find like the

01:09:29.550 --> 01:09:33.950
order in which the prior like the algorithm that prioritizes some motivations or the other,

01:09:34.030 --> 01:09:37.230
including the motivation to conform to others, might be like, I think there might be a

01:09:37.230 --> 01:09:42.940
little bit of a debate about how much that's in an uh bit of motivation to conform to what

01:09:42.940 --> 01:09:43.500
others do.

01:09:43.740 --> 01:09:44.060
Yeah.

01:09:44.220 --> 01:09:49.820
Um but on my nihilistic days, I think what's crazy is that those motivations themselves

01:09:49.820 --> 01:09:50.940
culturally evolve.

01:09:51.260 --> 01:09:51.740
For sure.

01:09:52.060 --> 01:09:57.900
So that makes kind of coming up with like a well, but look, I

01:09:57.900 --> 01:10:00.220
mean motivations to conform, culturally.

01:10:00.460 --> 01:10:04.620
You're prone to these kinds of motivated by hunger, right?

01:10:04.780 --> 01:10:10.350
Or like how much you should be motivated by yeah but you're prone to these depressive uh

01:10:10.670 --> 01:10:16.510
uh uh feelings Christine I've known you this long uh think of where we've come in the last

01:10:16.830 --> 01:10:22.110
75 years even 50 years you know I wouldn't we're much less confused now.

01:10:22.270 --> 01:10:22.830
I'm sorry.

01:10:22.990 --> 01:10:28.750
Yeah yeah I I wouldn't frame that as the motivation to conform evolving itself.

01:10:28.910 --> 01:10:30.430
That doesn't really make a lot of sense to me.

01:10:30.510 --> 01:10:35.560
What might make sense is that the costs of not conforming might vary from place to place.

01:10:35.720 --> 01:10:39.560
Well, I think the power imbalances and the alliance structure might be such that there are

01:10:39.560 --> 01:10:42.840
really powerful people who are really going to do bad things to you if you violate the

01:10:42.840 --> 01:10:43.080
norms.

01:10:43.240 --> 01:10:47.400
And in some environments the power structure is different and those costs aren't as high.

01:10:47.640 --> 01:10:50.680
But I wouldn't explain that as culture shaping the motivation to conform.

01:10:50.840 --> 01:10:55.080
I would just explain that in terms of, you know, the mind making cost benefit calculations

01:10:55.080 --> 01:10:58.600
about what what is going to be the likely course of action in this particular social

01:10:58.600 --> 01:10:58.920
context.

01:10:59.160 --> 01:10:59.320
Yeah.

01:10:59.400 --> 01:11:01.560
You're a real evolutionary psychologist.

01:11:01.960 --> 01:11:06.990
Uh uh there's quite a bit of evidence that in other

01:11:07.150 --> 01:11:12.030
creatures that uh there's an innate conformist propensity.

01:11:12.110 --> 01:11:16.270
It's got nothing to do with norms or other people's punishments.

01:11:16.430 --> 01:11:21.710
Uh some evidence in people, it's somewhat conflictual, conflicting, um,

01:11:22.190 --> 01:11:27.440
but models show that in the right kind of environment, having an

01:11:27.440 --> 01:11:32.880
intrinsic motive to conform can make you better off.

01:11:32.960 --> 01:11:33.280
Yeah.

01:11:33.520 --> 01:11:35.760
And uh in the fitness sense.

01:11:36.000 --> 01:11:40.080
And uh now it hangs on being hard to figure out what the right answer is.

01:11:40.320 --> 01:11:46.080
And um and uh so and I think I mean

01:11:46.160 --> 01:11:52.030
now this is I won't live long enough to find out what

01:11:52.030 --> 01:11:57.710
the answer to this question is, but uh I think we are innately

01:11:58.030 --> 01:12:03.470
predisposed, or innately, we have, you know, reliably developing whatever you want to call

01:12:03.470 --> 01:12:08.590
it, uh um propensity to obey social norms.

01:12:09.230 --> 01:12:15.150
Um we don't do a cal well, we do do calculations, but we don't need to.

01:12:15.470 --> 01:12:21.340
We're we uh all other things being equal

01:12:21.740 --> 01:12:27.340
if if the norm is to um you know

01:12:27.580 --> 01:12:33.580
play the game a particular way lime in the corn sure yeah so you know these these

01:12:33.580 --> 01:12:39.500
experiments that Mike Tomasalo has done i watch the videos he te they teach

01:12:39.500 --> 01:12:45.340
some little German kid a new game Daxing and um and then the

01:12:45.430 --> 01:12:51.190
kid learns how to play the game, and then they have a f a Schill who then

01:12:51.190 --> 01:12:52.950
plays the game wrong.

01:12:53.190 --> 01:12:58.710
And the kids, Nick, not not not Daxing, he says in German, you know, he gets gets really

01:12:58.710 --> 01:12:59.190
agitated.

01:12:59.430 --> 01:13:00.310
That's his verboten.

01:13:00.470 --> 01:13:00.550
Yeah.

01:13:02.310 --> 01:13:07.750
And uh you know, I don't think uh evolutionary

01:13:07.750 --> 01:13:13.180
psychology um i i think our

01:13:13.660 --> 01:13:19.340
our sense that some things are right and some things are wrong there's morality and uh

01:13:19.580 --> 01:13:24.860
and we feel intrinsically motivated about uh moral

01:13:24.860 --> 01:13:30.780
violations that's not in my view now this is a hypothesis not a fact

01:13:31.020 --> 01:13:36.350
uh uh a calculation based on the cost and benefits of powerful people.

01:13:36.590 --> 01:13:42.590
It's something we feel and I can make models that show how such a thing

01:13:42.590 --> 01:13:43.230
could evolve.

01:13:43.390 --> 01:13:44.990
Doesn't mean evolve that way.

01:13:46.430 --> 01:13:52.190
And it again depends on uh on the difficulty

01:13:52.190 --> 01:13:54.270
of doing the calculations.

01:13:54.350 --> 01:14:00.180
Uh and um um so uh I think uh

01:14:00.420 --> 01:14:03.620
that one is one which we're gonna make progress on, actually.

01:14:03.780 --> 01:14:06.500
That uh uh yeah, totally.

01:14:06.580 --> 01:14:07.780
You you you may be right there, Rob.

01:14:08.020 --> 01:14:12.740
There may be a real disagreement here, but I want to push you and and uh to acknowledge

01:14:12.740 --> 01:14:14.180
that maybe there is no disagreement.

01:14:14.260 --> 01:14:18.980
We're just talking past each other because even your model of norms is built on the

01:14:18.980 --> 01:14:20.020
foundations of punishment.

01:14:20.180 --> 01:14:24.710
What a norm is is something that people are punished for doing and the non-punishers are

01:14:24.710 --> 01:14:25.750
punished, right?

01:14:26.070 --> 01:14:29.910
And so the the punish the idea of punishment, the infliction of costs, is built into the

01:14:29.910 --> 01:14:30.150
model.

01:14:30.390 --> 01:14:35.590
That's it's built into the evolutionary model, not the contemporary why people do it model.

01:14:36.150 --> 01:14:40.230
So that explains why we have a norm psychology.

01:14:40.390 --> 01:14:46.230
Once you've got a norm psychology, you know, the reason that you're outraged that oh, what

01:14:46.390 --> 01:14:49.910
it was some outrage at the Olympics recently about uh some rule.

01:14:49.990 --> 01:14:53.900
But anyway, um uh or I mean seriously.

01:14:54.380 --> 01:14:58.460
But doesn't it presuppose that you have to know what's being punished and what's not being

01:14:58.460 --> 01:14:58.700
punished?

01:14:59.020 --> 01:14:59.580
No, no, no.

01:14:59.660 --> 01:15:01.180
You just need to know what the norm is.

01:15:01.500 --> 01:15:05.420
But then how but how do you know what what the norm is if unless you're observing because

01:15:05.660 --> 01:15:07.660
people teach you, because you see what everybody does.

01:15:07.980 --> 01:15:08.860
How are they teaching you though?

01:15:08.940 --> 01:15:13.100
Presumably they have to, you know, threaten you with punishment or actually punish you,

01:15:13.180 --> 01:15:13.260
right?

01:15:13.580 --> 01:15:14.300
No, no.

01:15:14.540 --> 01:15:17.820
Uh so I I don't even think you believe this.

01:15:17.980 --> 01:15:23.150
Um uh uh so uh is it okay to beat your wife?

01:15:23.550 --> 01:15:24.670
I mean, obviously not.

01:15:24.750 --> 01:15:26.350
And well, some I call it.

01:15:26.430 --> 01:15:27.310
I think it's fine.

01:15:27.550 --> 01:15:31.470
Uh yeah, when we did this fieldwork in Fiji, um

01:15:33.310 --> 01:15:39.230
uh Fijian norms uh uh have it that if you don't beat your wife when she's

01:15:39.550 --> 01:15:45.460
talks back or does some uppity thing, uh you're a not just that

01:15:45.460 --> 01:15:47.700
you don't get what you want, you're a bad person.

01:15:48.100 --> 01:15:53.860
And uh okay, so one of our field assistants was a

01:15:53.860 --> 01:15:55.940
couple, a married couple.

01:15:56.260 --> 01:16:01.780
And um uh the guy, you know,

01:16:02.100 --> 01:16:05.140
beat his wife pretty severely one night.

01:16:05.460 --> 01:16:07.060
So what do you do about that?

01:16:07.220 --> 01:16:12.610
Uh you're living in a culture where um that's the right thing to do.

01:16:12.850 --> 01:16:15.410
Uh we told him he couldn't do it.

01:16:15.490 --> 01:16:20.930
And so these moral beliefs, by the time you get to be mine, sure are strongly held.

01:16:21.010 --> 01:16:26.770
And they've got nothing to do with the calculation of of my long-term

01:16:26.770 --> 01:16:27.410
benefit.

01:16:27.570 --> 01:16:29.330
Uh I I might disagree there.

01:16:29.490 --> 01:16:34.960
I mean, like uh it I think if you ask anyone, you know, uh what will happen if you are seen

01:16:34.960 --> 01:16:39.200
as a domestic abuser, they will say that you will you will suffer horrible reputational

01:16:39.200 --> 01:16:39.760
consequences.

01:16:40.240 --> 01:16:45.840
But we pay we took this guy who was our field assistant and we paid a

01:16:45.840 --> 01:16:51.840
substantial cost to yell at him and tell him he couldn't do that in a culture where

01:16:51.840 --> 01:16:54.320
everybody thought what he was doing was fine.

01:16:54.930 --> 01:16:59.330
I think there may be presumably people understand that there are reputational costs for

01:16:59.330 --> 01:17:00.770
engaging in certain behaviors.

01:17:00.850 --> 01:17:04.210
And that was where was the reputational cost to me?

01:17:04.610 --> 01:17:10.450
Uh I I don't uh I mean maybe to be super cynical, maybe you know it was

01:17:10.450 --> 01:17:13.570
gonna get back to your colleagues that you had a wife beater already.

01:17:13.890 --> 01:17:15.890
Yeah I mean that's the argument you'd have to make.

01:17:16.690 --> 01:17:18.690
But can I subject I don't believe that argument.

01:17:18.850 --> 01:17:23.170
I I I I mean to give you another example from my

01:17:24.760 --> 01:17:30.760
failed field work um uh uh in Fiji there's a very strong norm

01:17:30.920 --> 01:17:36.600
that women must be covered from head to toe in the village and uh

01:17:36.680 --> 01:17:42.600
and Fijian guys gossip endlessly about shoulders and ankles uh and uh

01:17:42.760 --> 01:17:48.360
uh you know they never see anything else young guys that is and uh so

01:17:48.600 --> 01:17:54.010
we spent three months in this village and we went to the um to um

01:17:54.810 --> 01:18:00.730
uh we got at the village boat, took us you know several hours down

01:18:00.730 --> 01:18:06.570
the archipelago and dropped us at this beach where a tourist boat would come and pick us

01:18:06.570 --> 01:18:06.890
up.

01:18:07.210 --> 01:18:12.250
And so we're sitting on the beach having lunch, and a tourist walks by, a woman, and she's

01:18:12.250 --> 01:18:13.290
in a bikini.

01:18:13.370 --> 01:18:19.220
And I had this overwhelming that woman needs to put

01:18:19.220 --> 01:18:20.340
some clothes on.

01:18:20.660 --> 01:18:23.780
She is not dressed properly.

01:18:24.180 --> 01:18:29.700
And um there you did adapt to the local circumstances.

01:18:30.260 --> 01:18:31.460
I did, absolutely.

01:18:31.540 --> 01:18:34.340
Uh but it was, I didn't realize that adapted.

01:18:34.820 --> 01:18:40.420
You know, it was um this is not science, this is you know, it's my I'm giving

01:18:41.540 --> 01:18:46.330
anecdot that living in a place where

01:18:47.610 --> 01:18:52.170
people thought it was wrong for women, and this is all brand new in Fiji.

01:18:52.410 --> 01:18:54.170
This is only 150 years old.

01:18:54.330 --> 01:19:00.090
Uh um, and she was dressed completely fine by

01:19:00.250 --> 01:19:05.050
you know, we got on this boat and it's covered with college age tourists, all of them

01:19:05.290 --> 01:19:09.530
bikinis, and in 45 minutes I didn't feel that way anymore.

01:19:09.770 --> 01:19:15.740
But uh uh um but I speak to like three different timescales at least at

01:19:15.740 --> 01:19:19.820
which like things like punishment and I mean we could there's a whole debate about what

01:19:19.820 --> 01:19:22.380
kinds of social costs these are might be acting.

01:19:22.540 --> 01:19:24.300
So mainly not punishment, I think.

01:19:24.460 --> 01:19:26.620
Mainly loss of social standing.

01:19:26.700 --> 01:19:26.940
Yeah.

01:19:29.420 --> 01:19:31.420
That's a kind a kind of p a kind of cost, yeah.

01:19:31.740 --> 01:19:34.790
Well, but it doesn't it's not costly punishment, it doesn't cost right.

01:19:34.950 --> 01:19:39.670
If if you deprive people of costly services, you'd have to give them with because they were

01:19:39.670 --> 01:19:42.550
good people, then it actually pays you to punish them.

01:19:42.630 --> 01:19:47.190
But so there are models that are like this is about intergenerational evolutionary

01:19:47.190 --> 01:19:48.390
timescales that we're talking about.

01:19:48.470 --> 01:19:54.310
And this endowed us with some sort of like genetically evolved intuition for conforming to

01:19:54.310 --> 01:19:59.110
whatever we see other people around us to do in order to avoid those social costs.

01:19:59.270 --> 01:20:02.540
Then there's a possibility and these are not mutually exclusive because it seems like even

01:20:02.540 --> 01:20:04.540
your experiences are at different timescales, right?

01:20:05.100 --> 01:20:05.820
Two different timescales.

01:20:06.140 --> 01:20:06.940
Two different timescales.

01:20:07.180 --> 01:20:11.980
Another one is that like you in you like currently there are institutions that ostracize

01:20:11.980 --> 01:20:14.860
you, punish you, whatever, for not conforming.

01:20:14.940 --> 01:20:20.220
And so you learn about that early in childhood, let's say, and you kind of develop these in

01:20:20.220 --> 01:20:23.650
internalized ideas about what is morally right and wrong.

01:20:23.810 --> 01:20:27.490
And then like if the social environment changes for you like in adulthood, it's not going

01:20:27.490 --> 01:20:30.130
to change very quick like those intuitions aren't going to change very quickly.

01:20:30.530 --> 01:20:33.010
They're shallow, the diff the the things yeah.

01:20:33.170 --> 01:20:36.850
I I think the only thing there is a third there is a third though, just to be complete.

01:20:37.010 --> 01:20:40.050
Like there is a third possibility, I don't know if anybody believes this, but that it's

01:20:40.130 --> 01:20:42.050
like very much in the moment, right?

01:20:42.130 --> 01:20:47.250
That like the current incentive structures shape in the moment throughout your life.

01:20:47.410 --> 01:20:48.770
Like what is right and what is wrong.

01:20:48.930 --> 01:20:50.640
And I don't know how credible that is.

01:20:51.280 --> 01:20:53.280
I mean this is these are questions, right?

01:20:53.360 --> 01:20:54.080
Good questions.

01:20:54.320 --> 01:20:59.840
Uh um I mean the only thing I would add to to the to the

01:21:00.800 --> 01:21:06.720
is that once you've internalized that beating your wife is wrong, then when

01:21:06.720 --> 01:21:11.280
you do the calculation about should I beat my wife?

01:21:11.520 --> 01:21:17.190
Um uh I mean on David's account, and I I certainly think

01:21:17.190 --> 01:21:22.230
that's part of it, is I'm thinking about what'll happen to me if I get caught beating my

01:21:22.230 --> 01:21:22.710
wife.

01:21:23.030 --> 01:21:29.030
But I'm also have feelings that affect my trade-off that that

01:21:29.030 --> 01:21:30.390
this is not the right thing to do.

01:21:30.470 --> 01:21:36.470
I I I I get negative, you know, displeasure, whatever it is, um

01:21:37.720 --> 01:21:43.720
Because I grew up in a society and and so that tips, that changes the

01:21:43.720 --> 01:21:46.280
way I do the the the calculation.

01:21:46.600 --> 01:21:51.400
And um you know, I so anyway.

01:21:51.560 --> 01:21:55.720
So yeah, I think some of the issue too is I think with all of these conversations, one of

01:21:55.720 --> 01:22:01.650
the problems is uh the entire conversation we've had, natural selection or

01:22:01.650 --> 01:22:05.570
selective selection based thinking of cultural things.

01:22:05.890 --> 01:22:11.410
We we lack a good nat, we don't have a natural vocabulary of what are the entities, right?

01:22:11.490 --> 01:22:17.010
Like, is it a piece of um culture design, uh

01:22:17.330 --> 01:22:18.290
a module?

01:22:18.610 --> 01:22:22.690
And now we're talking about sort of emotions, and you know, there's sort of well, like cost

01:22:22.770 --> 01:22:23.330
benefit.

01:22:23.410 --> 01:22:26.120
There's a sense in which I can calculate the cost benefit.

01:22:26.200 --> 01:22:30.200
Like Rob, I think the other thing I do is I get really angry when people cross uh

01:22:30.360 --> 01:22:33.560
pedestrian no walks now after living in Germany.

01:22:33.880 --> 01:22:34.280
Exactly.

01:22:34.520 --> 01:22:38.120
And that's like a very that's like how many times do you get yelled at in Germany from

01:22:38.600 --> 01:22:40.040
violating some rule you didn't know?

01:22:40.680 --> 01:22:42.600
Which I yeah, I I I loved it actually.

01:22:42.760 --> 01:22:44.840
I was dispositionally German.

01:22:44.920 --> 01:22:49.930
Uh but anyway, um but uh uh but but then like there, but there's another sense of which

01:22:50.010 --> 01:22:51.770
David, you know, even the emotions, right?

01:22:51.850 --> 01:22:55.290
Like maybe the emotions baked into the emotions are cost benefit.

01:22:55.450 --> 01:23:00.170
But of course, there's a difference between the kind of rational cost benefit that sort of

01:23:00.170 --> 01:23:05.450
like goal or planning systems are considering in this very short time scale versus maybe

01:23:05.450 --> 01:23:07.770
these longer timescale emotional systems.

01:23:08.010 --> 01:23:13.820
So I think in a lot of ways, um what typically is failing us is that there's

01:23:13.820 --> 01:23:19.580
just distinctions that are not made in the natural language that we all sort of have as

01:23:19.580 --> 01:23:23.500
organisms or just as cultural beings in the 21st century now.

01:23:24.220 --> 01:23:25.500
English speakers in the 21st century.

01:23:25.820 --> 01:23:26.780
Exactly, yeah, precisely.

01:23:26.860 --> 01:23:27.500
Yeah, exactly.

01:23:27.580 --> 01:23:31.830
And that's uh yeah, we had Clark on recently and he was making a point that um, you know,

01:23:31.990 --> 01:23:35.670
it that's is also useful to talk to other people from different cultural backgrounds

01:23:35.750 --> 01:23:39.990
because they'll make different distinctions that we might be able to use, you know, or or

01:23:39.990 --> 01:23:41.590
at least see like our cultural bias.

01:23:41.750 --> 01:23:47.350
But I think, like for me at least, uh there there's a sense in which all of these

01:23:47.670 --> 01:23:53.670
debates can be resolved, but they really hang on making more distinctions, and

01:23:53.670 --> 01:23:57.430
you can't start to make those more distinctions till you maybe you have the debates to

01:23:57.430 --> 01:23:57.910
begin with.

01:23:58.150 --> 01:23:59.110
Yeah, I agree with that.

01:23:59.190 --> 01:24:04.880
Yeah, I think um uh you know we've made

01:24:04.880 --> 01:24:05.280
progress.

01:24:05.600 --> 01:24:06.240
That's good.

01:24:06.400 --> 01:24:11.520
Uh and science is the you know series of

01:24:11.520 --> 01:24:13.680
hypotheses now refuted.

01:24:13.840 --> 01:24:18.560
And also, you know, Mox Planck said science progresses one funeral at a time.

01:24:18.800 --> 01:24:21.680
Um, and I think there's some truth to that too.

01:24:21.920 --> 01:24:27.710
Um Rob just to push on like I mean for Pete's argument that it's sort of

01:24:27.710 --> 01:24:33.630
all very general he'll allow motivations yeah but no

01:24:33.790 --> 01:24:39.390
that can be quite specific motivations but there aren't any um

01:24:40.430 --> 01:24:46.270
I'm not actually sure how he parses this out but but uh uh there's

01:24:46.270 --> 01:24:52.220
nothing in there that tells you um what would be good examples I mean, obviously

01:24:52.380 --> 01:24:53.500
technological examples.

01:24:53.580 --> 01:24:56.620
There's nothing we're you know, like birds' nests.

01:24:56.860 --> 01:25:02.780
Uh and um maybe like no propensities

01:25:02.780 --> 01:25:05.980
to think about taxonomic categories in a yeah, yeah, exactly.

01:25:06.060 --> 01:25:07.580
That'd be a good thing.

01:25:07.740 --> 01:25:13.490
Uh uh that we don't we aren't innately Linnaean in our taxonomic

01:25:13.570 --> 01:25:16.050
um right way of thinking.

01:25:16.130 --> 01:25:19.170
Uh and I think the evidence is pretty good we aren't.

01:25:19.410 --> 01:25:25.170
Uh uh the Fijians put dolphins and and fish in the

01:25:25.170 --> 01:25:31.010
same category, but um uh yeah, and

01:25:31.010 --> 01:25:35.420
they don't and you know so they don't have any animals they care about.

01:25:35.500 --> 01:25:40.860
They're pigs and chickens and and you know and they just don't think about

01:25:40.860 --> 01:25:44.380
vertebrates very much, but I mean land vertebrates, but anyway.

01:25:44.620 --> 01:25:44.780
Yeah.

01:25:44.940 --> 01:25:49.420
But do you think I mean I do the I mean like we all I think we all do this, and I think

01:25:49.420 --> 01:25:54.940
this is something I learned from Christina, which is this notion of you make the

01:25:54.940 --> 01:26:00.550
tentative Almost like a gambit or like a assumption that's

01:26:00.550 --> 01:26:03.270
helpful for your own carving up the world, right?

01:26:03.350 --> 01:26:08.710
So, like I, as a as a John and Lita adaptationist, I don't want to study the

01:26:08.710 --> 01:26:13.590
complexities of like developmental programs or like genetic pleotropy.

01:26:13.830 --> 01:26:15.510
Like, I want to I want to assume that away.

01:26:15.590 --> 01:26:16.550
And so I do.

01:26:16.790 --> 01:26:21.190
And there's an argument in sense which like that's fair of me because of what I'm studying.

01:26:21.350 --> 01:26:26.880
Somebody else later, even though I'm wrong about saying it doesn't matter if I say that, it

01:26:26.880 --> 01:26:31.680
does matter, I can assume it away because for what the slice of the world is that I'm

01:26:31.680 --> 01:26:35.120
studying, I have to assume it away at least for now.

01:26:35.360 --> 01:26:39.360
Does is Pete what is is Pete assuming he's a hundred percent with that?

01:26:39.520 --> 01:26:44.950
I mean I I mean I we think of ourselves as com full adaptationists.

01:26:45.030 --> 01:26:45.350
Yeah.

01:26:45.510 --> 01:26:51.430
And and uh but we just see the adaptive problem as different

01:26:51.510 --> 01:26:56.630
than I see it differently than than maybe John and Lita did.

01:26:57.430 --> 01:27:03.350
And uh you know in our in Nobajin Salon we have this example of the

01:27:03.350 --> 01:27:09.340
avocado slicer that uh I was, you know,

01:27:09.580 --> 01:27:15.340
the the adaptationist paradigm is uh it's not a paradigm,

01:27:15.420 --> 01:27:16.540
it's a heuristic.

01:27:16.780 --> 01:27:22.460
And uh it is an extremely powerful heuristic, which sometimes leads you

01:27:22.460 --> 01:27:23.260
astray.

01:27:23.580 --> 01:27:29.100
And um uh and depends on a bunch of ancillary

01:27:29.410 --> 01:27:34.290
hypotheses about trade-offs and costs and benefits and a bunch of other stuff.

01:27:34.450 --> 01:27:39.970
And um uh and I, you know, I have no time whatsoever

01:27:40.290 --> 01:27:46.130
for Goodian or or um uh the guy

01:27:46.130 --> 01:27:52.050
that studied Tiktalic, this fish, he's a big believer in, you

01:27:52.420 --> 01:27:53.620
developmental constraints.

01:27:53.780 --> 01:27:55.860
I I don't think they're constraints.

01:27:56.020 --> 01:28:01.860
I think there are developmental pathways that affect the

01:28:01.860 --> 01:28:07.780
patterns of variation that can that do exist now and that will exist

01:28:07.940 --> 01:28:11.460
in the future if we make if we make some changes.

01:28:11.700 --> 01:28:13.380
And they're obviously important.

01:28:13.460 --> 01:28:17.860
And the extent that they're important, they make the adaptation as paradigm.

01:28:22.570 --> 01:28:26.170
Because if you don't know what those developmental um

01:28:29.850 --> 01:28:34.090
couldn't is this a I'm thinking something about why you wouldn't call this a constraint.

01:28:34.570 --> 01:28:37.610
Um like a pathway versus a constraint.

01:28:38.330 --> 01:28:44.220
Um maybe it comes from my background is doing I did for three years did

01:28:45.180 --> 01:28:51.100
optimization mathematics as a you know to design things like power plant systems and stuff.

01:28:51.260 --> 01:28:57.260
And a constraint is something is a relationship between variables that you're trying to

01:28:57.260 --> 01:28:58.860
adjust that is fixed.

01:28:59.660 --> 01:29:05.490
So either, you know, temperature is related to volume and there's a curve and

01:29:05.490 --> 01:29:11.090
then you have to travel along that curve or um or

01:29:11.330 --> 01:29:17.250
uh there's a constraint the you know something can't be greater than uh less than zero,

01:29:17.410 --> 01:29:18.210
say or something like that.

01:29:18.450 --> 01:29:18.610
Right.

01:29:18.690 --> 01:29:23.250
If you make the the smokestack higher with less concrete, it would be better, but it's not

01:29:23.250 --> 01:29:24.130
gonna stay up to the state.

01:29:24.370 --> 01:29:25.250
There is no smokestack.

01:29:25.520 --> 01:29:25.840
Yeah.

01:29:25.920 --> 01:29:26.560
It's a constraint.

01:29:26.720 --> 01:29:26.880
Yeah.

01:29:27.040 --> 01:29:32.080
And I think most of the things we ha we see in biology are

01:29:32.640 --> 01:29:38.480
things that shape the patterns of variation that selection can work

01:29:38.480 --> 01:29:38.800
on.

01:29:38.960 --> 01:29:44.160
They don't say it can't go there, but they affect the

01:29:44.320 --> 01:29:49.650
likelihood that new variants um are produced.

01:29:50.050 --> 01:29:53.570
And so sometimes it can be absolutely crucial, you know.

01:29:53.730 --> 01:29:58.370
So do you guys know the Lensky experiments with with um E.

01:29:58.530 --> 01:29:58.850
coli?

01:29:59.650 --> 01:30:02.050
Yeah, like lots of different evolutionary trajectories, right?

01:30:02.210 --> 01:30:02.450
Yeah.

01:30:02.610 --> 01:30:04.450
So Lensky did experiments.

01:30:04.530 --> 01:30:10.130
I think he's got 14 replicants now 65,000 plus

01:30:10.370 --> 01:30:11.010
generations.

01:30:11.410 --> 01:30:17.090
Uh in the same it puts them in a new environment 65,000 generations ago and

01:30:17.880 --> 01:30:19.240
watches what happens.

01:30:19.560 --> 01:30:22.680
At first, um, they diverge.

01:30:22.840 --> 01:30:28.440
Some of them uh they go in the same average direction, they get bigger, the individual E.

01:30:28.600 --> 01:30:34.360
coli get bigger, uh, they do a bunch of other things, but some lines are

01:30:34.360 --> 01:30:35.960
doing better than other lines.

01:30:36.040 --> 01:30:39.770
So, and he can prove this because he he's got them in the freezer.

01:30:39.930 --> 01:30:41.050
He's got fossil E.

01:30:41.210 --> 01:30:42.490
coli in the freezer.

01:30:42.650 --> 01:30:47.610
And he creates competition experiments between a thousand generations ago and now.

01:30:47.930 --> 01:30:51.370
And sure enough, the new ones always beat the old ones.

01:30:51.610 --> 01:30:52.970
Okay, so this is all great.

01:30:53.050 --> 01:30:58.730
And then after 20 or 30,000 generations, a lot of that variation disappears.

01:30:59.130 --> 01:31:04.730
And they are all pretty much on the same, not quite, but almost on the same trajectory.

01:31:05.050 --> 01:31:08.280
And now these are not eukaryotes, right?

01:31:08.360 --> 01:31:11.640
So they don't have full-blown recombination.

01:31:11.800 --> 01:31:13.080
They have some recombination.

01:31:13.240 --> 01:31:15.160
But so it takes a while.

01:31:15.320 --> 01:31:20.520
My picture of this and his picture is that it takes a while for you know the order in which

01:31:20.520 --> 01:31:22.760
mutations occur matters, right?

01:31:22.920 --> 01:31:28.040
Both because mutations potentiate other mutations and all this kind of stuff.

01:31:28.440 --> 01:31:33.720
But then at like 50,000, I don't know the exact number, but in about 50,000 generations,

01:31:34.200 --> 01:31:37.210
all of a sudden, one of the lines

01:31:40.090 --> 01:31:42.970
just beats the crap out of everybody else.

01:31:43.690 --> 01:31:46.010
So the typical, you know, how this experiment works?

01:31:46.170 --> 01:31:51.210
He puts he puts in some glucose in the morning.

01:31:51.530 --> 01:31:55.290
The population expands to carrying capacity, then they shut down.

01:31:55.450 --> 01:31:57.530
The next morning gives them more glucose.

01:31:57.610 --> 01:31:59.770
And that goes on for 40,000 generations.

01:31:59.850 --> 01:32:01.770
And they get better at that environment.

01:32:01.900 --> 01:32:07.660
Now there's citrate in the medium, and it's very well known in E.

01:32:07.820 --> 01:32:09.820
coli biology that E.

01:32:09.980 --> 01:32:14.060
coli cannot digest citrate in the presence of oxygen.

01:32:14.300 --> 01:32:19.580
The enzyme that's necessary to do the job is inactivated in the presence of oxygen.

01:32:19.740 --> 01:32:24.930
This is something that people who do, It was thought to be true of all E.

01:32:25.170 --> 01:32:27.810
coli, but not at 50,000 generations.

01:32:29.250 --> 01:32:35.090
A series of neutral mutations had occurred, and then eventually, and those are

01:32:35.090 --> 01:32:40.610
all improbable that they drift to high enough frequency, and then a new

01:32:40.610 --> 01:32:45.740
mutation that Coupled with those neutral ones,

01:32:46.380 --> 01:32:47.180
allowed the E.

01:32:47.260 --> 01:32:50.540
coli to digest citrate in the presence of oxygen.

01:32:50.940 --> 01:32:54.140
And all of a sudden, all bets are off.

01:32:54.220 --> 01:32:58.940
It completely annihilated the the previous um

01:32:59.900 --> 01:33:01.740
50,000 generations.

01:33:01.820 --> 01:33:07.630
You know, in humans, that goes back, you know, to the Mesozoic practically,

01:33:07.710 --> 01:33:07.950
right?

01:33:08.030 --> 01:33:13.630
I don't know exactly how far, but but 60,000 times 10 is

01:33:13.630 --> 01:33:18.110
600,000 gen uh uh no 600,000 years.

01:33:18.590 --> 01:33:23.710
Yeah, so it doesn't go back to the Mesozoic, but it goes back well before people, and um,

01:33:24.030 --> 01:33:29.320
so there is this kind of stuff you would never have predicted that on an

01:33:29.320 --> 01:33:34.520
adaptationist program if you took this

01:33:34.840 --> 01:33:36.840
species-specific property of E.

01:33:37.000 --> 01:33:43.000
coli, namely they can't digest citrate in the presence of oxygen as a fix as a

01:33:43.000 --> 01:33:44.040
constraint, right?

01:33:44.200 --> 01:33:49.800
And um, and it wasn't a constraint, there just wasn't any variation in the necessary

01:33:51.530 --> 01:33:56.490
genes which gave rise to the necessary phenotypic variation for that to happen.

01:33:56.650 --> 01:34:02.490
And the series of mutations and events, namely drift, that had to occur for that to

01:34:02.490 --> 01:34:06.090
happen, um are very improbable.

01:34:06.570 --> 01:34:12.320
So I you know I think you know the

01:34:12.320 --> 01:34:18.000
adaptation is it hypothesis extremely powerful, but sometimes it gets you the wrong

01:34:18.000 --> 01:34:18.400
answer.

01:34:18.560 --> 01:34:19.040
Yeah.

01:34:19.360 --> 01:34:24.960
So what do you make of some people are really um kind of concerned about making equilibrium

01:34:25.200 --> 01:34:29.280
type arguments, which is kind of maybe another version of the phenotypic gambit?

01:34:29.520 --> 01:34:29.920
I don't know.

01:34:30.080 --> 01:34:36.000
Just that um even if we're adaptations, like the world is constantly changing and no time

01:34:36.160 --> 01:34:37.360
more than today.

01:34:37.600 --> 01:34:42.670
Um, does this I think Pete has actually made some arguments to this effect and some of his

01:34:42.670 --> 01:34:47.310
students that like equilibrium thinking is just at odds with what we know about the human

01:34:47.310 --> 01:34:47.950
experience.

01:34:50.110 --> 01:34:54.910
Does this give us pause for making adaptationist kinds of we should think about the

01:34:54.910 --> 01:34:57.310
timescale on which variation takes place?

01:34:57.470 --> 01:35:01.710
And and I know Pete knows all about this, but he likes to argue.

01:35:02.030 --> 01:35:04.830
I have not argued with Pete about this particular item.

01:35:05.070 --> 01:35:09.240
Uh I mean there's variation on all kinds of timescales, right?

01:35:09.400 --> 01:35:15.160
And um and uh on some time scales, I

01:35:15.160 --> 01:35:19.800
think you know that technically, so if we have variation on

01:35:20.920 --> 01:35:26.440
um say we have an organism that has a one-year generation time and and we have

01:35:27.110 --> 01:35:29.910
temporal variation on 100-year timescales.

01:35:30.230 --> 01:35:36.070
Um, it's never going to reach an equilibrium, but uh, but there'll be a

01:35:36.070 --> 01:35:38.950
stationary distribution of types, right?

01:35:39.190 --> 01:35:45.190
And um it'll respond to some temporal average or in spatial, you know,

01:35:45.270 --> 01:35:48.150
it's all these averages in population genetics.

01:35:49.360 --> 01:35:55.280
I think that's clearly of great importance to get the right timescale on which you

01:35:55.280 --> 01:35:58.240
think adaptation is responding.

01:35:58.560 --> 01:36:00.320
But it's not an imprinciple thing.

01:36:00.400 --> 01:36:05.040
It's just one of the things you have to take into account when it's, you know, it's there

01:36:05.040 --> 01:36:06.160
are trade-offs, right?

01:36:06.240 --> 01:36:09.840
And and um if only we knew.

01:36:10.400 --> 01:36:15.680
Well, I think, yeah, uh I I'm more of an optimist than you are, Christina.

01:36:18.590 --> 01:36:18.910
Yeah.

01:36:19.950 --> 01:36:25.790
I think so Pete and I have argued that agriculture didn't evolve uh during

01:36:25.790 --> 01:36:31.790
the Pleistocene because not because you couldn't grow plants, because you know, wheat was

01:36:31.790 --> 01:36:32.830
growing somewhere for sure.

01:36:32.910 --> 01:36:35.870
It didn't just appear magically 10,000 years ago.

01:36:36.110 --> 01:36:41.700
Um uh but because the timescale of fluctuations during the last

01:36:41.700 --> 01:36:47.380
glacial was too short for the and I, you know, we would

01:36:47.380 --> 01:36:52.580
support that with so if you look at the spread of agriculture across the world,

01:36:53.140 --> 01:36:56.260
agriculture didn't spread, agriculturalists spread.

01:36:56.500 --> 01:37:02.100
So, um, and so populations which already had the norms, you know,

01:37:02.340 --> 01:37:07.950
women's roles, you have to be willing when you're an agriculturalist, you've got to be able

01:37:07.950 --> 01:37:08.910
to save stuff.

01:37:09.070 --> 01:37:11.230
And so sharing norms have to change.

01:37:11.390 --> 01:37:14.670
There's a whole bunch of stuff that has to change.

01:37:15.470 --> 01:37:20.030
And our argument would be that that doesn't change on 500-year timescales.

01:37:20.270 --> 01:37:25.230
And um, you know, um, now that might be wrong.

01:37:25.390 --> 01:37:29.870
Um I have to say, archaeologists haven't taken it very seriously.

01:37:30.030 --> 01:37:35.720
Um, but uh but um that's a case where

01:37:35.720 --> 01:37:41.240
our picture of the temporal scale on which norms evolve is

01:37:41.480 --> 01:37:46.680
related to the temporal scale on which the environment's evolving.

01:37:46.760 --> 01:37:51.320
And if you you know, I mean I could go on and on, but but the the the environmental

01:37:51.320 --> 01:37:56.680
variation in the Pleistocene was staggering compared to the to the Holocene.

01:37:56.920 --> 01:38:02.910
I mean, um, you know, you could be a hunter-gatherer living in what would

01:38:02.910 --> 01:38:08.590
be now the south coast of France, and 500 years later you're living in northern Norway

01:38:08.670 --> 01:38:10.990
someplace without having moved at all.

01:38:11.150 --> 01:38:17.070
That was this that was the scale and and the amplitude and timescale of and now

01:38:17.070 --> 01:38:21.390
the place, the Holocene is this happy, warm, stable world.

01:38:21.550 --> 01:38:26.060
Uh, and um, I really think we really ought to think about that.

01:38:26.140 --> 01:38:30.060
And and uh uh Eric Smith thinks.

01:38:30.380 --> 01:38:35.340
So I Pete and I published this paper, this shows you, you know, how you get hoisted on your

01:38:35.340 --> 01:38:36.220
own petard.

01:38:36.620 --> 01:38:42.140
Um uh we published this paper a couple years ago about large-scale cooperation in

01:38:42.140 --> 01:38:43.740
Holocene Hunter-gatherers.

01:38:43.820 --> 01:38:49.420
That I would argue shows there's plenty of large-scale cooperation in,

01:38:49.580 --> 01:38:55.030
and we argue, see, These ethnographic studies of the Kung and the

01:38:55.030 --> 01:38:58.870
Hadza and so on are not good models for the Pleistocene.

01:38:58.950 --> 01:39:04.790
That um that uh if you think about Pleistocene cooperation, you could you should think

01:39:04.790 --> 01:39:08.070
about large-scale cooperation amongst non-relatives.

01:39:08.230 --> 01:39:12.150
And Eric said, Oh yeah, but uh

01:39:13.500 --> 01:39:18.940
Pleistocene climate variation was so great that the social institutions necessary to

01:39:18.940 --> 01:39:24.460
support large-scale cooperation couldn't have evolved, so they were just like the Hodsa.

01:39:26.860 --> 01:39:28.380
I thought that was mean.

01:39:29.900 --> 01:39:30.940
Full circle, yeah.

01:39:31.420 --> 01:39:33.100
At least he cited you, right?

01:39:33.740 --> 01:39:35.180
He was one of the reviewers.

01:39:35.260 --> 01:39:36.060
That's how I know.

01:39:36.140 --> 01:39:37.900
It wasn't that he wrote a paper about this.

01:39:37.980 --> 01:39:43.710
It's that so we we quoted him in the paper and and uh

01:39:44.110 --> 01:39:49.950
and we got permission to use his name because Eric is a very smart guy and thoughtful.

01:39:50.030 --> 01:39:50.430
But yeah.

01:39:50.910 --> 01:39:54.670
Rob, this is a slight change of or topic, just methodological for a second.

01:39:54.750 --> 01:39:58.030
I know uh like do you what is your opinion about sort of computer technology?

01:39:58.110 --> 01:40:01.550
Because a lot of the stuff we're talking about is also like there's you can do if you

01:40:01.550 --> 01:40:06.160
understand the concepts, you can do the math, but then there's also a lot of computational

01:40:06.160 --> 01:40:07.360
modeling of things.

01:40:07.680 --> 01:40:13.040
Do you view the sort of analytic or you know math um thinking about

01:40:13.040 --> 01:40:16.240
ESSs versus modeling and simulations?

01:40:16.800 --> 01:40:20.480
Do you view that as still separate?

01:40:20.720 --> 01:40:26.720
And is there a cost of losing the first to the second with all the technology?

01:40:26.800 --> 01:40:28.640
Or what's your st what's your take on that?

01:40:28.960 --> 01:40:29.280
You know?

01:40:29.680 --> 01:40:32.400
I I I think they've always been complementary.

01:40:32.720 --> 01:40:38.390
Um I think they're the the you know the cheapness and

01:40:38.390 --> 01:40:44.230
speed of of computing has made agent based simulations better and more

01:40:44.230 --> 01:40:45.110
practical.

01:40:45.350 --> 01:40:51.030
Um I think that agent based simulations uh there's a temptation to over

01:40:51.430 --> 01:40:57.040
specify uh that people because it's easy, people have a

01:40:57.040 --> 01:41:02.160
tendency to to build what they think of as realism into the models.

01:41:02.400 --> 01:41:05.600
And you know, all models are wrong, some are useful.

01:41:05.680 --> 01:41:07.600
That's a famous aphorism.

01:41:10.640 --> 01:41:16.400
And I think that done right, um analytic

01:41:16.400 --> 01:41:22.290
models and um Computer simulations should be used

01:41:22.290 --> 01:41:27.570
together to understand things, especially things where random

01:41:27.570 --> 01:41:33.410
factors are important, like climate change or small population effects, or any of

01:41:33.410 --> 01:41:34.210
those things.

01:41:36.290 --> 01:41:42.050
I will say that for kind of sociological reasons, I think, or

01:41:42.050 --> 01:41:47.600
maybe cultural evolutionary reasons, when I publish an

01:41:47.600 --> 01:41:53.440
analytical result, the the uh I put nowadays, I didn't used to, but all the math

01:41:53.440 --> 01:41:57.440
is in the, you know, the the uh what do they call that?

01:41:57.520 --> 01:42:01.680
The supplementary the supplementary material, but somebody can follow it.

01:42:01.840 --> 01:42:02.000
Yeah.

01:42:02.240 --> 01:42:02.880
That's not true.

01:42:03.200 --> 01:42:08.400
There's no, you know, people always say I put my code in the in you know the supplementary,

01:42:08.480 --> 01:42:14.160
but it might as well be on the moon because we don't have any conventions about how to

01:42:14.400 --> 01:42:17.910
to to and I will tell you a story.

01:42:18.150 --> 01:42:24.070
Um uh I like stories, but um uh Herb Gintis and I, this

01:42:24.070 --> 01:42:29.910
2001 paper that's been cited more than any other paper I've ever written, and I actually

01:42:29.910 --> 01:42:35.190
think is maybe not such a great paper, um where we looked at uh

01:42:35.430 --> 01:42:37.270
cultural group selection.

01:42:37.590 --> 01:42:42.880
Um uh Well, the details are important.

01:42:43.200 --> 01:42:48.800
But for reasons I don't really remember, Herb and I decided to do um

01:42:49.680 --> 01:42:52.560
uh uh clean room simulations.

01:42:52.880 --> 01:42:58.800
So we both wrote simulations, we clearly specified what the model should be

01:42:58.800 --> 01:43:04.570
like, and then we wrote the simulations and they did completely different things

01:43:05.130 --> 01:43:10.570
and um uh it took us a month of hard work to

01:43:10.810 --> 01:43:16.250
find out where they diverged and why they diverged and it was all

01:43:16.250 --> 01:43:20.890
stupid reasons none of it had was conceptual and

01:43:21.900 --> 01:43:23.340
nobody does that, right?

01:43:23.420 --> 01:43:27.500
The only people who do that are people writing programs to fly airplanes and stuff like

01:43:27.500 --> 01:43:27.740
that.

01:43:28.060 --> 01:43:33.980
And um uh I think this is a big problem actually, that that the

01:43:34.060 --> 01:43:39.020
the reliability of analytical stuff is better than the

01:43:39.020 --> 01:43:44.780
reliability of simulations because you know I write

01:43:44.780 --> 01:43:47.180
simulations and I, you know, I've never done that since.

01:43:47.340 --> 01:43:53.030
It took and uh so I don't know how we're gonna solve that, uh,

01:43:53.190 --> 01:43:54.150
but we will, I think.

01:43:54.230 --> 01:43:59.750
We'll we'll come up with and it's gonna make simulations a lot harder, uh, I think uh to to

01:43:59.750 --> 01:44:01.030
to make sure they're right.

01:44:01.190 --> 01:44:06.870
And um you might be able to ask AI today what's the difference between those and herbs.

01:44:07.510 --> 01:44:12.950
Maybe maybe I I I ask AI to look at I I've been doing some simulation so

01:44:13.510 --> 01:44:16.550
Moshi and I, you remember those conversations we had.

01:44:16.710 --> 01:44:22.620
Moshi and I got in this argument about um uh the the

01:44:22.620 --> 01:44:28.300
paper that minwa and i and christin and uh about continuous

01:44:28.300 --> 01:44:33.660
norms and uh so mo she said well blah blah blah blah and

01:44:34.060 --> 01:44:40.060
uh i couldn't the um the uh programming that minwa

01:44:40.220 --> 01:44:45.420
had written couldn't be modified very easily to to address most these questions so i

01:44:45.420 --> 01:44:51.150
rewrote an agent based model which fortunately produced the same results that

01:44:51.150 --> 01:44:56.990
Benoit's produced, um, and was way faster, and so I'd forced Benoit to do all

01:44:56.990 --> 01:44:59.870
this work because I thought the other way it'd be faster.

01:45:00.110 --> 01:45:05.870
Anyway, uh and so then I I thought, well, I should ask

01:45:05.870 --> 01:45:11.820
Chat GPT to look at this code, and and and and it had

01:45:11.820 --> 01:45:13.740
all kinds of stupid suggestions.

01:45:13.980 --> 01:45:19.980
Uh uh, so I I this was now t how long ago was it that we were arguing

01:45:19.980 --> 01:45:20.540
with Moshi?

01:45:20.780 --> 01:45:22.060
Two or three years ago, something like that.

01:45:22.380 --> 01:45:23.020
Two years ago.

01:45:23.180 --> 01:45:23.740
Yeah.

01:45:23.980 --> 01:45:26.140
Uh and it may be that it's a lot better.

01:45:26.220 --> 01:45:31.340
I mean, they're making and I know that from my daughter that that it is getting better.

01:45:31.420 --> 01:45:32.860
So maybe it would work now.

01:45:33.020 --> 01:45:38.730
But then it just had uh I thought it it it

01:45:38.970 --> 01:45:44.890
it made a bunch of suggestions that would have made the code five percent faster and

01:45:46.410 --> 01:45:49.130
a thousand percent harder to understand what it did.

01:45:49.850 --> 01:45:55.130
And uh um so anyway, that's my anecdote about

01:45:55.130 --> 01:45:56.410
ChatGPT.

01:45:57.050 --> 01:45:58.810
It has no conceptual understanding.

01:45:58.890 --> 01:46:04.060
Yeah, just do you think that's Yeah, it doesn't it at least then it didn't care about how

01:46:04.060 --> 01:46:05.100
expressive the code was.

01:46:05.420 --> 01:46:05.660
Right.

01:46:05.740 --> 01:46:05.980
Yeah.

01:46:06.540 --> 01:46:12.380
Do do you think we ought to be using more just basic analytic models, basic

01:46:12.380 --> 01:46:15.740
algebra relative to agent based simulations?

01:46:16.380 --> 01:46:18.380
Is that part of the the argument you're making?

01:46:18.460 --> 01:46:21.420
That that that way of thinking is kind of underplayed?

01:46:22.060 --> 01:46:27.970
It's harder and um uh I think, yeah, I do think it's not

01:46:27.970 --> 01:46:29.090
enough of it being done.

01:46:29.250 --> 01:46:35.170
And I think part of the problem is, I mean, this is another cultural evolutionary thing.

01:46:37.250 --> 01:46:42.290
The people who do it, analytical work, are mainly

01:46:42.930 --> 01:46:47.570
physicists and mathematicians that are looking for another job.

01:46:47.890 --> 01:46:53.540
And they place a big store on the you know my

01:46:53.540 --> 01:46:56.980
equations are longer than your equations kind of competition.

01:46:57.220 --> 01:47:01.860
And uh and so this is really clear in reciprocity theory.

01:47:02.020 --> 01:47:07.620
So um Rus I I just Sarah and I have just written a review of

01:47:07.620 --> 01:47:12.100
reciprocity theory for um for um ticks.

01:47:12.660 --> 01:47:18.310
And um I would say since 2005, maybe

01:47:18.470 --> 01:47:24.470
somewhere in there, 95% of modeling and reciprocity

01:47:25.030 --> 01:47:28.790
is responding to previous models of reciprocity.

01:47:29.190 --> 01:47:34.550
And almost none of it is in

01:47:34.550 --> 01:47:39.720
response to questions about observed behavior.

01:47:39.960 --> 01:47:45.720
And that's because I work with a mathematician, Bertha Schoenmann, who was a

01:47:45.720 --> 01:47:50.360
wonderful person and a good colleague, but too sensitive to work in the evolutionary

01:47:50.360 --> 01:47:51.080
biology world.

01:47:51.160 --> 01:47:53.080
He quit because we were so mean.

01:47:53.800 --> 01:47:55.320
Reviewers were so mean.

01:47:55.560 --> 01:48:01.550
Anyway, uh, he said mathematicians, to be a successful mathematician, you have to find

01:48:01.550 --> 01:48:07.390
a problem that is not too easy, so anybody

01:48:07.390 --> 01:48:10.670
could do it, and not so hard, so you can't do it.

01:48:10.910 --> 01:48:14.670
But this sweet spot in between is something you can make progress on.

01:48:14.830 --> 01:48:18.990
There's a lot of interesting developments, and that's what reciprocity theory is.

01:48:19.150 --> 01:48:24.780
It's a really nice problem, a lot of possibilities, and I think mainly a waste of time.

01:48:25.180 --> 01:48:31.100
Uh um uh and this is uh oh what few friends I have left in that field

01:48:31.180 --> 01:48:33.580
I'm not gonna have any more after we publish this paper.

01:48:33.740 --> 01:48:39.580
But um that's why John Minor Smith is my my intellectual hero.

01:48:40.060 --> 01:48:42.700
Um he never did anything complicated.

01:48:43.020 --> 01:48:43.260
Yeah.

01:48:43.580 --> 01:48:47.100
Look at the f the classic, you know, Hamilton's rule, the classic Trevor's paper.

01:48:47.180 --> 01:48:49.980
This is all this is just basically has no math in it.

01:48:50.060 --> 01:48:52.150
But but there's a little bit of a little bit of it.

01:48:52.230 --> 01:48:57.990
But yeah, I I well he he says Bill Hamilton told me that that you could represent this as

01:48:57.990 --> 01:48:59.270
a prisoner's dilemma.

01:48:59.510 --> 01:49:00.790
Here's what Hamilton said.

01:49:01.030 --> 01:49:07.030
I just you know I've read that paper recently so I'm it's easy for me to be an expert here.

01:49:07.110 --> 01:49:13.000
But but um uh uh and that paper is full of bad

01:49:13.000 --> 01:49:15.080
confusions, the Tververs paper.

01:49:15.240 --> 01:49:21.240
But uh you know, he he well, I won't go into that, but but you know we should have a

01:49:21.240 --> 01:49:22.360
two hour episode about Trivers.

01:49:22.840 --> 01:49:27.400
He's one of our you know powerful ancestors, but he's not a clear thinker.

01:49:27.560 --> 01:49:33.400
He he's uh he's uh extremely brilliant, intuitive thinker, but you

01:49:33.800 --> 01:49:35.240
you gotta check, right?

01:49:35.400 --> 01:49:41.210
I mean um you know the key is to find simple

01:49:41.210 --> 01:49:46.410
enough representations of some problem that you can make analytical progress.

01:49:46.570 --> 01:49:49.050
And there are some problems you just can't do that way.

01:49:49.210 --> 01:49:54.810
I mean, you know, uh anything involving random drift-like features.

01:49:54.970 --> 01:49:59.210
I mean, there is analytical stuff, but it's hopelessly complicated and it can't do

01:49:59.210 --> 01:49:59.690
anything.

01:49:59.850 --> 01:50:03.370
Well, there's lots of interesting stuff it can't do very easily.

01:50:03.530 --> 01:50:09.240
Uh Anything, any model in which selection varies in

01:50:09.240 --> 01:50:12.280
time or space, and it isn't white.

01:50:12.440 --> 01:50:18.280
So if there's any correlations in time and space, there's no analytical method to deal with

01:50:18.280 --> 01:50:18.440
that.

01:50:18.520 --> 01:50:22.760
That's completely opaque to analytical approaches.

01:50:22.840 --> 01:50:24.280
And it's quite easy to deal with.

01:50:24.360 --> 01:50:26.440
John Gillespie did a lot of work on that.

01:50:27.000 --> 01:50:29.400
And so, and that's obviously a question of importance.

01:50:29.480 --> 01:50:31.240
So we ought to do a lot of simulations.

01:50:33.090 --> 01:50:35.810
but if we can do the analytical stuff, it's very powerful.

01:50:35.890 --> 01:50:39.730
It gives you intuitions that are hard to get out of the simulations.

01:50:39.890 --> 01:50:45.650
You can get them, but it's harder because the equations talk to you.

01:50:45.730 --> 01:50:50.290
You know, they when you look at the equations, they tell you things without actually having

01:50:50.290 --> 01:50:51.410
to solve them.

01:50:51.810 --> 01:50:57.540
And um And as yet, I think we'll fix this, but as

01:50:57.540 --> 01:51:03.380
yet, our simulation tools don't do this.

01:51:03.540 --> 01:51:09.380
Um I've been working with a couple of Spaniards uh uh uh economists

01:51:09.620 --> 01:51:15.620
who do simulations of repeated prisoners' dilemma of all things, but I just

01:51:15.620 --> 01:51:17.060
got done criticizing.

01:51:17.300 --> 01:51:22.950
And um they use this thing that's often thought of as kind of a

01:51:22.950 --> 01:51:25.910
child's play programming language, net logo.

01:51:26.550 --> 01:51:32.310
And um I'm really impressed to the extent to which they're able to get

01:51:32.950 --> 01:51:38.470
intuitions out of the way how easy it is.

01:51:38.920 --> 01:51:44.280
It's very slow and a kind of stupid language and as a computer science kind of project.

01:51:44.520 --> 01:51:49.080
But in terms of teaching stuff, I'm very impressed.

01:51:49.160 --> 01:51:50.280
I'm gonna try to learn it.

01:51:50.360 --> 01:51:53.560
And anyway, so I think this is technological, a lot of it.

01:51:53.640 --> 01:51:56.840
We just haven't we haven't been doing it long enough to to be good at it.

01:51:57.000 --> 01:52:02.970
And um the the Asian-based simulation says, But

01:52:02.970 --> 01:52:08.810
the idea is that uh the anal the analysis so far or the formulas are

01:52:09.050 --> 01:52:15.050
you're forced to know what your the concepts and the relationships in a way that you could

01:52:15.050 --> 01:52:18.810
sort of be agnostic um about in a simulation.

01:52:18.890 --> 01:52:23.130
Like you might run a simulation where like, well, yeah, I don't know what that I don't know

01:52:23.130 --> 01:52:25.080
why, I don't know what the relationship is.

01:52:25.240 --> 01:52:26.680
I just know I got an outcome.

01:52:26.920 --> 01:52:30.360
And I don't really know what all the things that I fit into what mattered or didn't.

01:52:30.440 --> 01:52:36.440
It's just in in compared to the analysis or the formula where or the analytic math, you

01:52:36.440 --> 01:52:42.360
have to know what the entity is and what the relationships are,

01:52:42.440 --> 01:52:44.200
or otherwise you're not able to do that.

01:52:44.360 --> 01:52:45.560
Oh, I I I disagree with that.

01:52:45.720 --> 01:52:46.040
Okay, yeah.

01:52:50.650 --> 01:52:52.410
Asian-based simulation.

01:52:52.810 --> 01:52:56.490
So, in an analytical model, typically you've got a bunch of state variables, you know,

01:52:56.570 --> 01:52:58.970
frequencies of genes or whatever it is.

01:52:59.210 --> 01:53:05.210
And you write down a dynamical system in which you posit relationships based on some in my

01:53:05.210 --> 01:53:08.250
way of thinking, and Christina was forced to go through all this.

01:53:08.410 --> 01:53:13.370
In my class, you write down a life cycle and you ask what happens to individuals, and you

01:53:13.530 --> 01:53:19.100
and then you use the law of large numbers to then ask to create

01:53:19.100 --> 01:53:21.420
relationships for the state variables.

01:53:21.740 --> 01:53:27.580
Um I think agent-based simulations are exactly the same in the sense you have to

01:53:27.580 --> 01:53:31.740
write down a life cycle, you have to write down state variables, but now the state

01:53:31.740 --> 01:53:36.780
variables aren't these aggregate ones, they're ones at the individual level, you know, what

01:53:36.780 --> 01:53:39.020
it knows, how big it is, whatever it is.

01:53:39.340 --> 01:53:44.870
And so your space of possibilities is much bigger.

01:53:45.510 --> 01:53:51.510
But I think in at least the way I think about things,

01:53:51.750 --> 01:53:56.950
uh there's a quantitative difference between them, but

01:53:56.950 --> 01:53:59.430
conceptually they're exactly the same.

01:54:00.150 --> 01:54:06.080
There's nothing uh you have to specify ahead of time

01:54:06.640 --> 01:54:08.800
what the possibilities are.

01:54:09.280 --> 01:54:10.560
Uh you can't have unknown.

01:54:10.800 --> 01:54:16.080
And I there was a physicist at S of I when I was there who went on and on about what was

01:54:16.080 --> 01:54:21.120
wrong with evolutionary theory, is that it specified the possibilities in advance, and

01:54:21.120 --> 01:54:23.360
evolution really didn't do that.

01:54:23.520 --> 01:54:28.450
It could go, and I think this is really an argument about how big the space is.

01:54:28.610 --> 01:54:32.290
And if the space gets big enough, then um

01:54:34.850 --> 01:54:39.810
yeah, that lends itself to I think I have seen agent-based models that don't give a good

01:54:39.810 --> 01:54:44.930
intuition at the end, even in the article of or have I I have seen articles where they

01:54:44.930 --> 01:54:47.890
don't give a good intuition of why it resulted the work that they did.

01:54:48.050 --> 01:54:53.250
And I do think that's rare in analytical models because I mean I think it could still

01:54:53.250 --> 01:54:53.490
happen.

01:54:53.890 --> 01:54:56.770
It happens, but it's much I agree, it's much rarer.

01:54:56.900 --> 01:55:02.660
It it it um there's like a they because part of the process of publishing the analytical

01:55:02.660 --> 01:55:08.100
model is like walking you through why the next thing right and and and also the analytical

01:55:08.100 --> 01:55:14.100
model because the intern internal works of the um of

01:55:14.100 --> 01:55:19.860
the simulation model aren't visible to you in the same way, uh it's much harder to

01:55:19.860 --> 01:55:21.780
figure out what's happening.

01:55:22.100 --> 01:55:27.730
And um and I think we need to do I mean

01:55:29.010 --> 01:55:34.770
we we need to do a lot more exp of experimentation with with agent

01:55:34.850 --> 01:55:40.050
based models you know go in and do experiments look at intermediate values uh

01:55:41.490 --> 01:55:47.410
and I you know my bet is that over time referees and

01:55:47.410 --> 01:55:50.850
the scientific process will force people to do that.

01:55:51.010 --> 01:55:54.720
Uh Now I teach a version of that class, Rob T.

01:55:54.960 --> 01:55:55.360
Oh, do you?

01:55:56.960 --> 01:55:59.440
But I think that most of them don't want to be modelers.

01:55:59.520 --> 01:56:05.520
And so mo a lot of the time is spent just like so their final project is reading a model

01:56:05.680 --> 01:56:10.480
and making sure that they can understand why the results are the way that they are.

01:56:10.960 --> 01:56:13.600
It could be a simulation, it could be a mathematical one.

01:56:13.760 --> 01:56:18.030
Um, because that's what I think a lot of us well, a lot of the evolutionary social

01:56:18.030 --> 01:56:21.070
scientists who are not going to be modelers themselves still need that practice to be able

01:56:21.070 --> 01:56:25.550
to read that literature and understand why the results turn out that way, as opposed to

01:56:25.550 --> 01:56:27.950
take it for granted that there's going to be this relationship.

01:56:28.270 --> 01:56:34.030
I think that's actually led to a lot of confusion or taking at face value um kind of

01:56:34.030 --> 01:56:34.590
conclusions.

01:56:34.750 --> 01:56:35.150
Yeah.

01:56:35.470 --> 01:56:39.790
Without thinking about the conditions under which or the assumptions that allow those

01:56:39.790 --> 01:56:40.990
patterns to arise.

01:56:41.310 --> 01:56:41.470
Yeah.

01:56:41.710 --> 01:56:46.380
I think the I mean this is a problem with not just evolutionary social science but

01:56:46.380 --> 01:56:52.380
evolutionary biology more generally is that it's not a norm

01:56:53.020 --> 01:56:58.780
that practitioners understand the mathematical

01:56:58.780 --> 01:56:59.420
theory.

01:56:59.820 --> 01:57:05.820
Um and um it's not a norm that mathematical theorists are

01:57:05.820 --> 01:57:09.420
well versed in the empirical facts.

01:57:09.820 --> 01:57:15.170
And I mean, so if you interact with physicists or to a lesser extent with

01:57:15.170 --> 01:57:16.290
economists.

01:57:18.050 --> 01:57:22.610
Every empiricist knows the theory, at least at some level.

01:57:22.690 --> 01:57:27.010
I mean, really knows it in a in a substantial way.

01:57:27.570 --> 01:57:33.570
And um in economics, now economics has become very empirical.

01:57:33.730 --> 01:57:36.370
I mean, much more than it used to be.

01:57:37.330 --> 01:57:41.160
And you know, and it's deeply rooted in game theory.

01:57:41.320 --> 01:57:47.320
Now, my my own personal opinion is most of it is kind of crazy that it it's not

01:57:47.640 --> 01:57:53.000
very well coupled to anything about real humans, the game theory that, but anyway, be that

01:57:53.000 --> 01:57:58.890
as it may, when you talk to economists and you they're talking about econom uh I

01:57:58.890 --> 01:58:04.010
go three times a year to this group of listen, I'm part of this network, which has got, you

01:58:04.010 --> 01:58:09.770
know, Samoglu and Robinson and Myerson and all these Nobel Prize winning economists and

01:58:09.770 --> 01:58:15.370
various students and stuff, and they really understand exactly what

01:58:15.690 --> 01:58:21.080
how the models work, what they say, and they're not doing modeling themselves at all, the

01:58:21.080 --> 01:58:22.440
people that I'm listening to.

01:58:22.520 --> 01:58:26.920
They're doing, you know, mainly these big regression kinds of studies.

01:58:27.160 --> 01:58:30.520
And um, so that's their version of empiricism.

01:58:30.760 --> 01:58:36.760
Um, and it is, and then if you listen to biologists, let's forget about

01:58:36.760 --> 01:58:41.880
evolution or self-c, but they kind of pick and choose theory the way they want.

01:58:42.040 --> 01:58:44.200
They don't really understand the models that well.

01:58:44.490 --> 01:58:50.170
you know there this obviously varies from person to person but um um

01:58:51.130 --> 01:58:56.970
I think you know it's because when you teach this course you

01:58:56.970 --> 01:59:01.930
don't you can be a nobody's requiring this course whereas if if you're in physics or con

01:59:02.170 --> 01:59:07.210
economics you take a year in graduate school where they teach you all the same stuff you

01:59:07.210 --> 01:59:13.180
learned in undergraduate school all over again you know, theory of the firm, game theory,

01:59:13.260 --> 01:59:14.300
all this stuff.

01:59:14.860 --> 01:59:17.340
So they really got it deep.

01:59:17.980 --> 01:59:22.940
And um, you know, I think what a biologist would say, that's all a waste of time.

01:59:23.020 --> 01:59:26.620
We don't have enough theory to make that worthwhile.

01:59:26.780 --> 01:59:31.660
And I think there's some truth to that because the system hasn't developed, so that the

01:59:31.660 --> 01:59:36.300
theory and the empiricism is inextricably linked together.

01:59:36.540 --> 01:59:42.230
And um you know it's better integrated in economics the

01:59:42.470 --> 01:59:43.190
Oh yeah, much better.

01:59:43.430 --> 01:59:48.470
But like so, but is it inherent to the body of theory that they've developed that it's no,

01:59:48.550 --> 01:59:51.030
it comes it's it's just cultural evolutionary.

01:59:51.590 --> 01:59:51.990
Yeah, right.

01:59:52.230 --> 01:59:54.870
It's it has to do with the way the institution evolved.

01:59:55.430 --> 02:00:00.260
Um the it was so theoretical when I took graduate economics in

02:00:00.260 --> 02:00:02.580
1971, there was hardly any.

02:00:02.820 --> 02:00:06.420
I mean, empiricism was kind of like biology, this casual empiricism.

02:00:07.060 --> 02:00:12.660
And um then in the 90s uh and knots,

02:00:13.220 --> 02:00:18.340
uh, economics did this big shift to um

02:00:19.060 --> 02:00:24.820
so now hardly anybody gets a PhD um doing

02:00:24.820 --> 02:00:25.380
theory.

02:00:25.590 --> 02:00:29.910
The way you get a PhD is is, you know, it's like a biologist.

02:00:29.990 --> 02:00:35.830
You find some system that allows you to to test something, but you do that having

02:00:35.990 --> 02:00:41.910
you're absolutely deeply knowledgeable about game theory, but not game theory the way

02:00:41.910 --> 02:00:46.550
we do it, game theory the way economists do it, which I think is, well, you don't care what

02:00:46.550 --> 02:00:52.220
I think about it, but it it's kind of yeah it's you know

02:00:52.540 --> 02:00:53.420
wacky basic.

02:00:53.660 --> 02:00:55.660
I shouldn't say that on a podcast.

02:00:55.980 --> 02:00:56.940
It's a technical term.

02:00:57.020 --> 02:00:57.660
Yeah.

02:00:58.540 --> 02:01:03.260
You know, I mean their equilibrium concepts are not evolutionary.

02:01:03.340 --> 02:01:08.540
They're about you think that I think that you think that I think uh and um

02:01:09.490 --> 02:01:12.690
uh and they're deeply committed to those.

02:01:12.850 --> 02:01:18.610
And if you uh you know, I go to these meetings and I voice mild skepticism in people

02:01:19.010 --> 02:01:22.370
and they're very very ethnocentric about economics.

02:01:22.450 --> 02:01:26.850
They don't think the rest of the social sciences is worth listening to, except history,

02:01:26.930 --> 02:01:28.370
maybe hardly at all.

02:01:28.610 --> 02:01:33.980
And um, but you know I I figure I'm doing missionary work on yeah and uh

02:01:34.380 --> 02:01:35.900
fighting the good fight, yeah.

02:01:36.940 --> 02:01:40.380
You know, missionaries end up in the stewpot sometimes.

02:01:42.540 --> 02:01:47.100
Uh yeah, but I think I think the connection, I mean theory, I think theory to sort because

02:01:47.100 --> 02:01:52.220
we're wrapping up here, theory and empirics, I think, is a theme of sort of Rob, your

02:01:52.220 --> 02:01:57.470
contribution, and I think all the evolutionary sciences is that we've sort of, you know,

02:01:57.710 --> 02:02:00.670
for a while there was a lot of theory, not a lot of empirical work.

02:02:00.830 --> 02:02:04.750
Maybe we've swung to there's lots of empirical work, but not enough theory.

02:02:04.990 --> 02:02:10.830
But I think, I don't know, I mean, I think uh um I'm I'm at least heartened that

02:02:10.830 --> 02:02:16.830
we're we compared to a lot of human psychology, for example, and and uh I'm

02:02:16.990 --> 02:02:18.990
I'm speaking as a psychologist, yeah, yeah.

02:02:19.230 --> 02:02:24.580
Um, you know, there's a lot more theory we have at our disposal as a fish and and a lot of

02:02:24.580 --> 02:02:25.620
psychologists per se.

02:02:25.860 --> 02:02:31.620
Yeah, I think I mean Joe and Michael have written this paper about that and yeah and uh

02:02:31.780 --> 02:02:37.540
when I interact with the social psychologists here, Doug Kenrick and and uh

02:02:37.780 --> 02:02:40.020
um oh gosh.

02:02:40.180 --> 02:02:43.220
Anyway, um and Steve Newberg.

02:02:43.300 --> 02:02:46.660
Uh yeah, really smart, accomplished people.

02:02:46.820 --> 02:02:46.980
Yeah.

02:02:47.140 --> 02:02:49.930
But they they would do better if they had more theory.

02:02:50.010 --> 02:02:50.650
Yeah, I think.

02:02:51.050 --> 02:02:51.290
Yeah.

02:02:51.370 --> 02:02:51.530
Yeah.

02:02:51.770 --> 02:02:52.410
Different histories.

02:02:52.490 --> 02:02:52.650
Yeah.

02:02:52.730 --> 02:02:55.530
Different so as you said, different, different different institutions.

02:02:55.850 --> 02:02:58.170
Different institutional selection, different histories.

02:02:58.410 --> 02:02:58.890
Absolutely.

02:02:58.970 --> 02:02:59.450
Yeah.

02:02:59.690 --> 02:03:03.690
Um uh Christina, do you have any uh final questions?

02:03:03.930 --> 02:03:07.690
Uh oh, that's a really tough spot to put.

02:03:08.170 --> 02:03:08.730
Yeah.

02:03:09.050 --> 02:03:11.850
I mean we can always ask Rob if we should have asked him anything.

02:03:11.930 --> 02:03:12.970
That also is a tough before.

02:03:13.930 --> 02:03:19.620
I wanted to ask if there's anything that you've changed your mind about like over the last

02:03:19.620 --> 02:03:20.900
several decades.

02:03:21.620 --> 02:03:24.340
Um maybe based on the empirics or maybe better theories.

02:03:24.660 --> 02:03:29.460
Yeah, uh I used to be more gung-ho about cultural group selection than I am now.

02:03:29.700 --> 02:03:35.220
Um I'm more aware of the empirical um

02:03:36.230 --> 02:03:41.030
I mean a lot of the criticism of cultural group selection has kind of been in principle

02:03:41.190 --> 02:03:44.710
group selection can't work and that's wrong, right, for sure.

02:03:45.030 --> 02:03:50.950
But the problem is there are well, first of all, I worry a

02:03:50.950 --> 02:03:51.110
lot.

02:03:51.270 --> 02:03:57.190
I have been worried ever since 1985 about how fast it is and can

02:03:57.190 --> 02:03:58.550
it explain enough?

02:03:58.710 --> 02:04:02.630
Uh you know, it's a lot of norms we've got evolved, and is there enough cultural group

02:04:02.630 --> 02:04:03.030
selection?

02:04:03.190 --> 02:04:06.640
And um, And I worry about that actually.

02:04:06.880 --> 02:04:12.080
And I have come to think that within group processes

02:04:13.200 --> 02:04:18.960
have got to be more important, both based on that and based on lots of empirical

02:04:18.960 --> 02:04:22.960
examples, which just there's no there's no group selection involved, and yet there's lots

02:04:22.960 --> 02:04:23.920
of change.

02:04:27.330 --> 02:04:31.650
I am bothered by the fact that I can't think of a good theory.

02:04:31.890 --> 02:04:37.650
I I think the bargaining theories don't make sense because, or at least they can't

02:04:37.650 --> 02:04:43.490
explain the variation we see, because um the scale on which

02:04:44.370 --> 02:04:50.130
I mean small scale people can bargain on the scale of a few thousand people, maybe,

02:04:50.340 --> 02:04:56.100
and we see norms on the scale of continents and and so there has to be something else that

02:04:56.100 --> 02:04:58.980
causes successful norms to spread from one group to another.

02:04:59.140 --> 02:05:01.220
It can't all be within group bargaining.

02:05:01.300 --> 02:05:03.220
And I've got some ideas about that.

02:05:03.300 --> 02:05:06.020
But and Sarah has got some ideas about that.

02:05:06.180 --> 02:05:10.820
And I'm less convinced about conformism than I used to be

02:05:13.210 --> 02:05:14.970
as a learning strategy.

02:05:15.210 --> 02:05:19.850
Um is that because there are better ones out like basically we're gonna be able to do that.

02:05:20.010 --> 02:05:25.930
No, just because uh because the the the the data are ambiguous is what I

02:05:25.930 --> 02:05:27.210
would say mixed.

02:05:27.450 --> 02:05:33.210
Um uh the data for other animals surprisingly stronger are much stronger

02:05:33.290 --> 02:05:38.170
yeah so these wonderful experiments that Lucy Applin has done uh on

02:05:38.730 --> 02:05:43.360
bird learning, or you know, they're they they are conformists for sure.

02:05:43.600 --> 02:05:49.120
Um and interestingly, so the the the so a kind of

02:05:49.120 --> 02:05:54.320
psychology you might think, well, the number of instances is what people would respond to.

02:05:54.480 --> 02:05:58.800
But the theory tells you it's the number of individuals, not the number of instances,

02:05:58.960 --> 02:06:04.230
because that's well because that's what generates adaptive information and sure enough

02:06:04.310 --> 02:06:09.510
those birds don't care about instances they care about the number of individuals and can I

02:06:09.510 --> 02:06:13.590
can I put a pause and just say something that is like common knowledge according to like

02:06:13.590 --> 02:06:17.910
the rest of the social sciences if you repeat something more people will believe it.

02:06:18.070 --> 02:06:23.350
Yeah and that is that doesn't make sense to me like why but what are the what is the

02:06:23.510 --> 02:06:27.880
radical side but is the empirical side true As far as I'm aware, at least in humans, the

02:06:27.880 --> 02:06:29.640
empirical side hasn't been holding up on that.

02:06:30.200 --> 02:06:31.560
This is what they call it.

02:06:32.120 --> 02:06:32.360
Yeah.

02:06:32.600 --> 02:06:32.920
Yeah.

02:06:33.080 --> 02:06:38.600
And uh I think they need a theory to tell them what

02:06:39.080 --> 02:06:41.880
you know what kinds of repeats are important.

02:06:42.840 --> 02:06:46.600
And repeats across individuals are important.

02:06:47.000 --> 02:06:51.800
Repeats within individuals will matter in an environment which is changing on time scales

02:06:52.040 --> 02:06:53.240
that are fast enough.

02:06:53.480 --> 02:06:57.010
But anyway, um, so what else have I changed my mind about?

02:06:57.170 --> 02:07:02.930
Um and just to be clear, the the um slight increased skepticism about

02:07:02.930 --> 02:07:07.090
cultural group selection is just that it doesn't account for as many norm changes as you

02:07:07.090 --> 02:07:11.570
might have thought that they did because that um change is happening too quickly, culture

02:07:11.730 --> 02:07:12.530
change is happening too quickly.

02:07:13.090 --> 02:07:13.970
Too quickly.

02:07:14.210 --> 02:07:19.560
And you know, so the shift in norms about tobacco smoking in the US.

02:07:19.800 --> 02:07:19.960
Right.

02:07:20.120 --> 02:07:21.080
No group selection there.

02:07:21.160 --> 02:07:22.280
There, you know, it's, you know.

02:07:22.680 --> 02:07:25.320
They're running migrants to like the no smoking zone.

02:07:25.640 --> 02:07:25.800
Right.

02:07:25.880 --> 02:07:26.120
Right.

02:07:26.280 --> 02:07:28.760
It's it's it's it it's not that.

02:07:29.160 --> 02:07:35.160
Um and um uh now, well, I don't want to go in

02:07:35.160 --> 02:07:40.040
all the details, but this is an area which I thought when I first started, I thought I had

02:07:40.040 --> 02:07:41.000
the answer.

02:07:41.320 --> 02:07:43.640
Now I think it's part of the answer.

02:07:43.800 --> 02:07:45.400
Uh how big a part?

02:07:45.670 --> 02:07:46.390
I don't know.

02:07:46.630 --> 02:07:50.950
Um uh uh Joe gets really mad when I say that.

02:07:51.190 --> 02:07:55.430
But um uh at least I think he does.

02:07:55.590 --> 02:07:57.270
Um I mean it could be faster.

02:07:58.150 --> 02:07:59.030
You don't want to hear all this.

02:07:59.350 --> 02:08:02.710
It might have mattered more historically than it does now, like when there was so much lots

02:08:02.710 --> 02:08:04.230
of sort of variation.

02:08:04.470 --> 02:08:04.710
Yeah.

02:08:04.870 --> 02:08:08.310
Well, I think the main form is gonna be differential spread.

02:08:08.550 --> 02:08:08.790
Yeah.

02:08:09.040 --> 02:08:14.880
So I groups imitating successful other groups, individuals in imitating people and

02:08:15.040 --> 02:08:16.400
successful neighbors.

02:08:17.040 --> 02:08:19.600
But I still don't think that explains a lot of stuff.

02:08:19.760 --> 02:08:24.320
And um I don't know.

02:08:24.400 --> 02:08:26.160
I can't think of anything else off the top of my head.

02:08:26.240 --> 02:08:27.840
I've been right about so many things.

02:08:31.120 --> 02:08:34.160
You can't show that you're a good scientist if you're just right all the way.

02:08:34.560 --> 02:08:36.480
I have to I have to think of something.

02:08:37.910 --> 02:08:41.590
But I do think I mean Rob, just to say like as we're closing up too, like I do appreciate

02:08:41.590 --> 02:08:45.670
that, you know, as a student of John Alitas, like you've been very gracious over the years.

02:08:45.830 --> 02:08:51.750
And and I think talking about the evolved psychology explicitly, and I do think that you

02:08:51.750 --> 02:08:57.590
are part of the reason why for people like Christina and David,

02:08:57.830 --> 02:09:03.510
that the the the gap between sort of cultural evolution and evpsych, uh at least in

02:09:03.510 --> 02:09:08.940
principle, and maybe a lot of times in practice is very narrow and and and and nowadays

02:09:09.020 --> 02:09:11.980
this I don't even think most people I don't even I don't know.

02:09:12.140 --> 02:09:17.820
I mean I'm in my experience it's it's more in Christina language sort of people's uh

02:09:17.980 --> 02:09:23.660
um emphasis in terms of their methods, less thus than their sort of deep

02:09:23.660 --> 02:09:28.550
commitments um you know where I think somebody who's an evolutionary psychologist like yeah

02:09:28.630 --> 02:09:31.590
there's cultural evolution and somebody who's cultural evolutionist like oh yeah there's

02:09:31.590 --> 02:09:36.470
evolved psychology I may not use it in my model but you know that yeah yeah I unfortunately

02:09:36.470 --> 02:09:41.110
have another thing that I need to get to yeah so um but yeah it was this was great thank

02:09:41.110 --> 02:09:46.550
you Rob thank you for my pleasure yeah this was a lot of fun yeah thank you

02:09:48.070 --> 02:09:52.220
you never know what to say for the outro Thanks for listening.

02:09:52.460 --> 02:09:53.420
Yeah, this was great.

02:09:53.580 --> 02:09:55.180
Uh everybody have a good week.

02:09:55.260 --> 02:09:57.900
You know, do the usual Patreon um show.

02:09:58.380 --> 02:10:00.940
Patreon, social media, kind review, you know the drill.

02:10:01.100 --> 02:10:01.340
Yep.

02:10:01.420 --> 02:10:02.780
We should get t shirts, David.

02:10:03.100 --> 02:10:04.380
T shirts, fanny packs.

02:10:04.860 --> 02:10:06.220
Can I say our logo?

02:10:06.380 --> 02:10:07.580
I don't love our logo.

02:10:07.740 --> 02:10:12.060
In terms of like I I like our logo for the purposes of a podcast, but I don't know if I

02:10:12.060 --> 02:10:14.220
would want the brain on a shirt for me.

02:10:14.300 --> 02:10:15.340
What do you think?

02:10:15.630 --> 02:10:16.190
Hmm.

02:10:16.910 --> 02:10:18.350
Yeah, I don't know.

02:10:18.430 --> 02:10:23.390
I don't really have any aesthetic taste or fashion sensibility.

02:10:23.870 --> 02:10:25.710
Here's my vision of a t-shirt.

02:10:25.870 --> 02:10:30.510
A black t-shirt that says nothing except the podcast in parentheses.

02:10:30.910 --> 02:10:33.070
Oh, that like kind of a minimalist direction.

02:10:33.470 --> 02:10:34.670
It's like you gotta be on the end.

02:10:34.910 --> 02:10:36.270
It's sort of like you know, bank.

02:10:36.670 --> 02:10:39.790
Ah, sort of small small dino in covert signal.

02:10:40.030 --> 02:10:40.590
Exactly.

02:10:40.830 --> 02:10:41.470
Oh, okay.

02:10:41.550 --> 02:10:42.110
I like that.

02:10:42.350 --> 02:10:42.670
Yeah.

02:10:42.830 --> 02:10:43.230
All right.

02:10:43.390 --> 02:10:44.830
Well, maybe that's what we'll do.

02:10:45.160 --> 02:10:45.560
All right.

02:10:45.640 --> 02:10:45.960
Yeah.

02:10:46.120 --> 02:10:46.440
Cool.

02:10:46.600 --> 02:10:49.960
Well, we can't do it w unless you um support us.

02:10:50.040 --> 02:10:50.280
Yeah.

02:10:50.440 --> 02:10:53.880
And, you know, maybe give us some some money on Patreon for the t shirts.

02:10:54.120 --> 02:11:00.040
If you if you run a a t shirt concern and have the ability to silk screen

02:11:00.200 --> 02:11:03.560
um, you know, however many of those, let us know.

02:11:03.960 --> 02:11:04.600
Yeah.

02:11:04.910 --> 02:11:05.470
Totally.

02:11:05.710 --> 02:11:05.790
Okay.

02:11:06.110 --> 02:11:06.430
All right.

02:11:06.750 --> 02:11:07.390
See you next week.

02:11:07.950 --> 02:11:08.110
Bye.

02:11:08.190 --> 02:11:09.630
Have a good week, everybody.
