WEBVTT

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David, um do you know of any podcasts that um well actually I'll just leave it

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at that.

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Do you know of any podcasts?

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Uh I I know of one of them that is my personal favorite called Evolutionary Psychology the

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Podcast.

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That is not what I was expecting you to say at all.

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You were expecting me to say some other podcast?

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Well, I don't I mean you're on this one, so I I mean that's great that it's your favorite

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too.

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Is that is that true?

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Is that really your favorite?

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I don't know if I'm an impartial uh I see source.

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Well, we'll we'll we'll talk about this offline.

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So um we'll circle back to that as they say.

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Um but uh what are we doing today?

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Uh well we're actual evolutionary psychologists, and we're talking to actual evolutionary

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psychologists who do actual evolutionary psychology.

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It's a not quite our tagline, but it's close enough.

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Uh isn't that I thought that was our tagline.

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Well, it's actual evolutionary psychology by evolution actual evolutionary psychologist.

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What did you what did you say?

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Should we change the I said something like I changed it slightly I think it was more had

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more than it well we'll check the transcript later.

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Okay anyway I'm sorry to uh keep going on and on uh without further ado here is our episode

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Okay, uh David, today we have a special guest who is uh where is where is David

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said David.

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Uh we should that's um that's we're laying it.

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Safe bet given all the Davids we interact with.

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Uh actually Dan, another another D name.

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It is uh and Dan Dan is uh our first philosopher that we've had on the podcast.

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Um and uh he's a a wonderful and brilliant thinker, uh philosopher at the University of

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Sussex, which I screwed up uh during the beginning of the interview I saw with Sheffield.

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And for those people at Sheffield, um we we really like Sheffield too.

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It's a wonderful institution.

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Yeah, it was it was a uh a complimentary mistake, and that I you know, it was you know It's

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a it's a wonderful institution.

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But also Sussex is a great institution as well, uh, so far as I'm aware.

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Well, at the very least, it has Dan Williams.

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So that it must be it must be a great institution.

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Uh anyway, who is Dan Williams?

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He's a philosopher, he studies um belief, misinformation, delusion,

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epistemology.

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Uh we get into all sorts of things.

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It was a really mind-bending conversation.

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What is the nature of belief?

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Uh what is the evolutionary psychology of belief?

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How do social forces uh and and uh social status how do they affect the

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things that we believe what is a delusion what does it mean to really believe something we

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even get into Jordan Peterson and whether we should think he's full of shit or not.

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Uh it was it was a really fun conversation.

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Yeah I think what people believe and why the science of that gets into sort of some deep

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waters too with people sort of feeling like being attacked too.

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And we talk about that a little bit too.

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So it's it's definitely a very interesting content in that sense too.

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Of you one starts to sort of step on uh political ideas that in the same way you do, David.

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And I think that was an interesting part of the conversation, too.

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Yeah.

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So super fun conversation.

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I think you'll have a good time listening to it.

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Sounds good.

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And uh yeah, listen for the uh everyone's opinion about Jordan Peterson.

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All right.

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All right, we're going.

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uh professor of philosophy at the University of Sheffield and Sussex.

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Sorry, Sussex.

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Oh my god, I'm so sorry.

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No, that's what did I get that where where did I get Sheffield?

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Was that a display?

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It is a place in the US.

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Oh, okay.

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I must have mixed it up with a different place.

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I feel like someone else that's similar to you works there.

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David, you invited Dan on.

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Was there a different Dan Williams that you wanted to invite?

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Is this the case?

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Oh, you know what?

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There are a lot of Dan Williams.

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I think we got the wrong one.

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You know, we'll have to make do with this Dan Williams.

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Anyway, and you're also uh the writer of the popular substack Conspicuous Cognition,

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which is a wonderful substack.

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I recommend everyone subscribe to it.

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Um so Dan, you're our first philosopher on the show.

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Yeah, I know.

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That's a big lift.

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Yeah.

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Yeah.

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So you're gonna have to represent the entire discipline of of philosophy.

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Um I hope you're ready to take on that mantle.

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Yes, defend it on uh first principles.

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We were we were actually both saying how we have all sort of interacted online but never

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met in person.

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Um so I feel like this is sort of like meeting in person.

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Um, although we're we're still not I don't know, is this online or in person?

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It's both.

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Okay.

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That's the philosoph the philosophy.

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That's the definitive answer.

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Great.

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It's both.

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Good.

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Um, so uh so so Dan, really great to have you here.

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Um uh I know a lot of the work that you do um involves I kind of

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think about your work similar to to David's work, um, which is a compliment to

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David.

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Um uh sorry.

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Um, but uh uh but it's sort of in this category of there's a social

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logic to lots of stuff that's maybe hidden and hasn't been appreciated.

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Um, do you think that is a fair characterization of your work?

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And if so, can you maybe for people who haven't come across your work, sort of talk a

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little bit about how you view um, you know, if you're stuck in an elevator with somebody

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and they're they want to know more than a you're a philosopher informed by evolution, um

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How do you think about sort of what's the main line of what you do?

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Hmm, that's a good question.

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Um I suppose the overarching question that I'm interested in is why do people believe what

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they do, especially when they seem to believe things that are strange or irrational, um,

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outright bizarre, delusional.

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Um, that's a sort of overarching question.

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It's not the only question that I'm interested in, but it tends to be connected to many of

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the other things that I'm interested in.

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And there is this sort of view I have, which is very general, that human beings

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are these intensely social animals.

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And most of the features of human psychology and our behavior that

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seem otherwise sort of strange or self-defeating or irrational or

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paradoxical actually make a lot more sense once you situate that psychology within the

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context of the fact that we're social animals.

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competing for prestige, trying to cultivate a good reputation, trying to form

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alliances that would advance our interests, and so on.

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And I think that then is really important when it comes to understanding belief

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specifically.

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So I think that many of the sort of strange things that we believe in domains like

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religion and ideology, and often what's thought of in terms of self-deception, is sort

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of best illuminated by understanding the kinds of social goals that we have.

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And that's also where my sort of interest in evolutionary theory comes from, which I think

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is quite unusual for someone in academic philosophy and uh especially unusual in the sort

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of humanities more generally.

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Because I think evolutionary theory gives you a kind of important toolkit for thinking

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about the ways in which the fact that we're social animals has shaped the kinds of minds

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that we have and the kinds of motivations that we have.

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I guess at the most abstract level, that would be the kind of the kind of idea.

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That's that's fantastic.

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Um, you know, in you mentioned philosophy, and you mentioned belief.

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Um in my understanding, and I'm gonna like qualify everything I say with, you know, I'm

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an amateur philosopher, I'm a happy amateur um uh for philosophy, but uh

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belief, the idea of belief and what it is and how it works has been a longstanding thing in

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philosophy.

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Do you view taking an evolutionary approach in particularly what you just described as

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divert diverging in important and interesting ways?

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Maybe I'm leading by saying interesting.

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But do you think that's a different way of approaching the idea of belief and what it's for

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and its function in philosophy?

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It's difficult to say.

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I think that historically there hasn't been a sharp distinction between philosophy and

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psychology and and social theory.

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And historically, when I think many philosophers, psychologists, um, sociologists and so

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on have tried to understand the ways in which we form beliefs and why we form beliefs

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that we do, I don't think they've been sufficiently sensitive to the fact that we're social

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animals.

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Um, so in that sense, I think pushing this sort of social perspective is at

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odds with lots of theory both in philosophy and elsewhere when it comes to understanding

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belief.

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Um, but but it's difficult.

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I mean, lots of philosophy is often concerned with what you might think of as sort of

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conceptual questions or maybe metaphysical questions, depending on which way you look at

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it.

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Like, what even is it to believe something?

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And that's just this really deep and complex question.

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And I think in many ways we still don't have a particularly good answer to that.

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Because this term belief gets used to refer to lots of different things that are different

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from each other in very complex ways.

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And so, for example, you know, I believe I'm talking to you two.

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Um, I might also believe, let's say, that capitalism is an unjust system.

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You know, I might believe that there's a supernatural agent that monitors my behavior and

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punishes me for bad things.

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You know, we use belief to capture all of these different things.

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And it's not really at all obvious that they are the same thing, um, except insofar as

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there's a sincere commitment to the truth of a proposition.

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Um, but I think even there, I mean, we can we can we can get into this, and this is

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something, David, I know that you're really interested in as well.

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Even there, I think the fact that we're we're social animals competing for status and

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trying to you know boost our reputation and trying to influence other people in

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advantageous ways, that's relevant to understanding a lot of that complexity.

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Um, I think if we weren't social animals to the degree that that we are, then the

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concept of belief would be a lot less complicated and a lot more transparent.

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So I think when it comes to, you know, even chimpanzees and bonobos and gorillas, I mean,

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these are social animals, although not social, I think, in the ways and to the degree that

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human beings are animals, they've got cognitive mechanisms that function to track their

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environment, their material and social environment in ways that help them achieve their

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goals and so on.

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And we've got that as well.

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I think that's the kind of the dominant thing that's going on when it comes to what we

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sometimes think of as belief.

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It's like modeling those aspects of the world which are relevant to our practical goals.

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But once you get into religion, politics, ideology, aspects of culture, there's something

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very different going on when it comes to talking about belief, which you're not going to be

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able to understand in terms of this sort of basic model which applies in almost every other

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case, which is forming beliefs to track how things are.

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Right.

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And so just to summarize, and then I'll let David, who's chomping at the bit here, I think,

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um, but if what I hear you're saying is that um there's almost been sort of this I there's

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this idea sort of philosophy counteracts this naive realist idea that's sort of like things

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just are the way they are or psychology does.

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So the idea of naive realism is that the world is the way it just appears to us and what we

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know from psychology and philosophy is that we have all this machinery mediating the

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relationship between the real world and what we experience.

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So visual illusions being a great example of that, that we see things that aren't

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objectively sort of there.

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It's a function of how our machinery works.

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And what I'm hearing you say is that both people, just every day, all of us sort of

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intuitively, but then also the scientific community has been sort of not maybe naive

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realism, but sort of socially naive in a sense, or we haven't appreciated the social

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complexity of the idea of belief, for example.

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I think that's right.

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Yeah.

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And I think that I think there are interesting questions about why theorists historically

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have not been sufficiently sensitive to the social sort of

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motivations that underpin a lot of what we believe.

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And also they haven't, I think, been sufficiently sensitive to the role of strategic social

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motivations in governing our behavior.

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I know that this is a big part of your work, uh David, thinking about cynicism and so on.

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So it's not as if I think it's just a sort of ordinary theoretical omission, the fact the

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fact that people have uh not been sensitive to the to the importance of things like social

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signaling and things like advocacy and propaganda when it comes to biasing how we view the

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world and giving rise to these sort of complexities when it comes to belief.

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It's not as if I think it's just an ordinary sort of you know gap in the knowledge with

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theoretical omission.

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I think there are probably interesting things to say about why it is that it's often a

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little bit awkward to acknowledge the the role of things like status competition and

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reputation management and propaganda in shaping this domain of belief.

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I couldn't agree more with with that.

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I think given that we are so uh fixated on signaling various things to one another

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about our identities, our loyalties, our traits, um, it is often in our interest to conceal

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the fact that we're signaling those things at all.

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Because signaling those things can itself become a cue of something bad about you, that

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you're narcissistic, you're selfish, um, you are insecure, um and

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and and needy of uh attention, for example, there are all sorts of inferences that we draw

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about each other.

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Um and the inferences that we draw about status seekers, about signalers, about attention

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seekers, those are often bad.

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Uh and so often the social games we play have to be played in the cover of darkness, or at

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least without becoming common knowledge among the players.

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And I think that might explain why it has taken so long for us to

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to realize the the social games we're playing is because one of the moves in those social

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games is trying to hide the fact that it's a game.

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In order to effectively compete for political power, you have to conceal the fact that your

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primary motive is, you raw power seeking.

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In order to compete for status, you have to conceal the fact that you're you're merely

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interested in status.

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So I think that that might be what's going on here, why uh it has taken us so long to

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explain our beliefs in in terms of uh of social motives.

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Um, because it it is often in our interest to conceal those motives, uh which often serves

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a deeper social motive.

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Yeah, I I think that's a massive part of what's going on.

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Um, but it but it's interesting.

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I mean, if you think about the sort of so so just to be concrete with an example, I mean,

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if you think about something like self-deception, you know, human beings often seem to be

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motivated to believe things.

00:15:02.210 --> 00:15:07.650
And, you know, we we we can get into this maybe in in more depth, but I think, you know, in

00:15:07.650 --> 00:15:11.570
in many cases that's boiling down to sort of one of two social motivations.

00:15:11.810 --> 00:15:13.650
Either it's sort of propaganda or advocacy.

00:15:13.730 --> 00:15:17.920
So we're sort of motivated to push particular claims and narratives, and then we end up

00:15:17.920 --> 00:15:19.360
kind of internalizing them.

00:15:19.680 --> 00:15:22.400
Or it's to do with social signaling and sort of reputation management.

00:15:22.480 --> 00:15:26.000
So we want to advertise certain kinds of qualities and allegiances that we've got.

00:15:26.880 --> 00:15:32.400
And then that bias is in the direction of certain kinds of beliefs, which are conducive to

00:15:32.400 --> 00:15:32.800
doing that.

00:15:32.960 --> 00:15:38.560
But what's interesting is, you know, throughout so much of uh the history of philosophy and

00:15:38.560 --> 00:15:42.400
also psychology, and then once you even when you get sort of Freudian psychoanalysis, which

00:15:42.400 --> 00:15:46.330
takes seriously this idea that there are these kind of hidden motives, So much of it is

00:15:46.330 --> 00:15:50.010
this sort of you can't handle the truth model of self-deception, right?

00:15:50.730 --> 00:15:54.330
It acknowledges the idea that we're sort of motivated to believe things for reasons

00:15:54.330 --> 00:15:59.290
independent of their truth, that there are these practical motivations and interests which

00:15:59.290 --> 00:16:02.090
shape and distort and bias what we believe.

00:16:02.410 --> 00:16:08.090
But there's even with sort of Freudianism and the sort of psychoanalytic tradition,

00:16:08.420 --> 00:16:12.420
even when there's this willingness to sort of you know dig deeper and look at these hidden

00:16:12.420 --> 00:16:17.700
motivations, it's all this sort of you know inward facing, intrapsychic, emotion

00:16:17.700 --> 00:16:21.220
regulation, um, the defense mechanisms of the ego and so on.

00:16:21.380 --> 00:16:24.980
So even when you've got what looks kind of ostensibly like a kind of a willingness to be

00:16:24.980 --> 00:16:30.180
quite cynical, there's not the willingness to be as cynical as I think is needed, which is

00:16:30.180 --> 00:16:31.300
to go one step further.

00:16:31.380 --> 00:16:35.270
And it's not about you know protecting your ego, and it's not about believing things that

00:16:35.270 --> 00:16:37.750
make you feel good and protect your self-esteem and so on.

00:16:37.830 --> 00:16:41.830
It's winning these, you know, social games, it's propaganda, it's it's it's advocacy.

00:16:41.990 --> 00:16:46.390
So I think there's definitely something to that, to that idea, David, that um, you know,

00:16:46.710 --> 00:16:49.990
that that there's something awkward about drawing attention to these things.

00:16:50.070 --> 00:16:54.550
So that even when you get these intellectual traditions, which uh on on the surface, you

00:16:54.550 --> 00:16:58.310
know, they they look like they're very cynical, they don't actually go the kind of whole

00:16:58.310 --> 00:17:04.160
way to draw attention to strategic social motivations as as a means of sort of biasing the

00:17:04.160 --> 00:17:05.440
way in which we think about the world.

00:17:05.920 --> 00:17:06.240
Yes.

00:17:06.400 --> 00:17:12.160
I I I love that distinction uh uh where the instead of saying that the goal is to impress

00:17:12.160 --> 00:17:16.640
you, the goal is inwardly focused, it's to feel good about myself.

00:17:17.360 --> 00:17:22.400
And what's interesting about that is we all we all we somehow for some reason view that as

00:17:22.400 --> 00:17:28.010
less problematic than to be concerned with impressing you or or being

00:17:28.010 --> 00:17:28.810
superior to you.

00:17:29.210 --> 00:17:33.290
If I'm doing it for me to feel good about myself, then it's like we can relate to that.

00:17:33.370 --> 00:17:34.250
It's it's not that bad.

00:17:34.330 --> 00:17:38.410
But if I'm doing it just to gain status or just to impress you, or just to look good in

00:17:38.410 --> 00:17:41.450
your eyes, then it becomes like even ickier.

00:17:41.690 --> 00:17:46.650
And so I I love that that point that, like, yes, we we are somewhat cynical and that we

00:17:46.650 --> 00:17:52.320
acknowledge that you know um we care about um, you know, advertising various

00:17:52.320 --> 00:17:56.880
features of ourselves, but we're not cynical enough because the uh the target of those

00:17:56.880 --> 00:18:01.840
signals is often ourselves, when really the the target should be other people, because that

00:18:01.920 --> 00:18:04.720
that is the adaptive target if we're thinking in evolutionary terms.

00:18:04.800 --> 00:18:08.000
That those are the things that that matter for our fitness, what you know, what other

00:18:08.000 --> 00:18:12.610
people think of us was a huge um selection pressure for our ancestors.

00:18:12.770 --> 00:18:15.730
What we thought of ourselves was not necessarily a selection pressure.

00:18:15.970 --> 00:18:17.730
It's hard to imagine how it would be.

00:18:18.210 --> 00:18:20.290
So I really, I really love that distinction.

00:18:21.170 --> 00:18:25.410
You mentioned um self-deception.

00:18:25.890 --> 00:18:30.290
Um that is a huge topic both in in philosophy and psychology.

00:18:30.450 --> 00:18:33.680
Um I'm still struggling to wrap my head around it myself.

00:18:33.840 --> 00:18:37.920
I think I've I'm I'm starting to see how it works, but how are you thinking about

00:18:37.920 --> 00:18:39.520
self-deception these days?

00:18:39.680 --> 00:18:41.440
Are you are you skeptical of the term?

00:18:41.600 --> 00:18:43.280
Do you think it's a useful term?

00:18:44.480 --> 00:18:50.400
So I tend not to use the term, um, except for the fact that uh in the

00:18:50.400 --> 00:18:53.680
sort of ordinary discourse, uh, I think it captures something that people are quite

00:18:53.680 --> 00:18:55.440
familiar with, so it can be helpful in that way.

00:18:55.520 --> 00:18:58.970
You know, oh yeah, of course, self-deception, you know, you believe things for reasons

00:18:58.970 --> 00:19:02.890
independent of their truth, or you're sort of biased in how you view the world by practical

00:19:02.890 --> 00:19:04.490
interests and emotions and so on.

00:19:04.650 --> 00:19:09.450
But I think it does, you know, raises all of these, you know, traditional paradoxes.

00:19:09.530 --> 00:19:11.530
You know, how can you deceive yourself?

00:19:12.010 --> 00:19:14.650
What's playing the role of the deceiver, what's playing the role of the deceived?

00:19:14.810 --> 00:19:19.450
And often it comes with quite, you know, implausible psychological models as well.

00:19:19.690 --> 00:19:23.610
I mean, the the way that I prefer to think about it, as I mentioned, is we've got these

00:19:23.610 --> 00:19:29.340
sort of two uh motivations or or goals, which I think are uh highly

00:19:29.340 --> 00:19:34.700
relevant to understanding uh what's going on when we form these biased beliefs, when we

00:19:34.700 --> 00:19:37.580
form these strange uh belief systems and narratives and so on.

00:19:37.820 --> 00:19:41.900
One of these is, you know, you can call it propaganda or you can call it advocacy, but it's

00:19:41.900 --> 00:19:47.820
just the idea that we're motivated to spread ideas, claims, narratives

00:19:47.980 --> 00:19:51.310
such that if other people accept them, it will promote our interests.

00:19:51.390 --> 00:19:51.550
Right.

00:19:51.630 --> 00:19:55.710
So if I can convince you two that I'm this generous, you know, pro-social, kind,

00:19:55.790 --> 00:20:00.750
fair-minded person, I've got a sort of standing motivation to advocate for my interests in

00:20:00.750 --> 00:20:02.430
that way, to propagate that kind of message.

00:20:02.670 --> 00:20:06.350
And I think for reasons that that we can get into, and I think it's really fucking

00:20:06.350 --> 00:20:09.790
complicated exactly what's going on, we tend to internalize our propaganda.

00:20:09.950 --> 00:20:14.280
Um that's the way that I'd sort of preferred to put it, rather than saying we deceive

00:20:14.280 --> 00:20:17.480
ourselves, because I think that that is more confusing than just the idea that when we've

00:20:17.480 --> 00:20:21.720
got this standing motivation to propagate messages, we tend to internalize those.

00:20:22.120 --> 00:20:24.920
Although, even that I think is sort of subject to various constraints.

00:20:25.080 --> 00:20:29.000
And then similarly, I think we've we've got these motivations to engage in reputation

00:20:29.000 --> 00:20:34.200
management, to signal that we've got attractive qualities and allegiances, and that can

00:20:34.200 --> 00:20:35.480
shape our outward behavior.

00:20:35.960 --> 00:20:41.410
It can shape how we dress, how we talk, uh the the ways in which we conduct

00:20:41.410 --> 00:20:45.010
ourselves, um, what what teams we we cheer for, and so on.

00:20:45.170 --> 00:20:47.890
And I think that can also shape what what what beliefs we form.

00:20:47.970 --> 00:20:51.730
Um so I think these signaling motivations can also bias what beliefs we form.

00:20:51.970 --> 00:20:56.050
That's the way that I tend to talk about it these days, rather than thinking in terms of of

00:20:56.050 --> 00:20:56.930
self-deception.

00:20:57.090 --> 00:21:01.010
But if you're just using self-deception as this sort of catch all term for the idea that

00:21:01.010 --> 00:21:06.370
our practical philosophers might say non-epistemic motivations bias belief, then I'm happy

00:21:06.370 --> 00:21:06.610
with it.

00:21:06.940 --> 00:21:07.180
Yeah.

00:21:07.260 --> 00:21:08.220
There's like that joke.

00:21:08.300 --> 00:21:11.180
Uh, how did you think of something smart, you know, like a smart thing?

00:21:11.260 --> 00:21:15.100
And it was like, well, I thought of somebody smarter than me and I imagined what they would

00:21:15.100 --> 00:21:15.820
do, right?

00:21:15.900 --> 00:21:21.660
And that that has all the paradox of uh, you know, you can't exceed your own intelligence

00:21:21.660 --> 00:21:24.060
by thinking of somebody smarter than you, right?

00:21:24.140 --> 00:21:25.580
You are as smart as you are.

00:21:25.740 --> 00:21:31.270
And so the the criticism, the sophisticated criticism of self-deception, like Rob Kurzman

00:21:31.430 --> 00:21:33.350
paper a while ago, like there is no self, right?

00:21:33.430 --> 00:21:33.750
Like that.

00:21:34.150 --> 00:21:35.990
It's or what are you calling the self, right?

00:21:36.070 --> 00:21:40.950
And and I mean I think the sophisticated argument is there's like the talkie or PR part of

00:21:40.950 --> 00:21:43.430
the phenotype, the the body envelope.

00:21:43.590 --> 00:21:49.190
Um, but yeah, if you kind of exactly if you sort of unpack it or poke on it even a little

00:21:49.190 --> 00:21:55.110
bit, um, it it sort of it it it bears more unpacking than just the idea of

00:21:55.110 --> 00:21:57.110
self-deception, I think, historically.

00:21:57.190 --> 00:22:02.840
But so I think that's um uh people have had that similar sort of

00:22:02.840 --> 00:22:07.160
notion and uh and I think that would what you just said sort of would agree with that idea.

00:22:07.800 --> 00:22:07.960
Yeah.

00:22:08.040 --> 00:22:13.640
No, it's it's a great example of of how um folk psychology or our intuitive, naive

00:22:13.640 --> 00:22:19.240
ideas about the mind are um I think stymieing progress in academic psychology.

00:22:19.320 --> 00:22:23.320
And and Dave has written a lot about this, because we have this intuitive idea that there

00:22:23.320 --> 00:22:28.850
is a singular self in the head that thinks things, attends to things, remembers things, and

00:22:28.850 --> 00:22:30.050
these processes are unitary.

00:22:30.130 --> 00:22:32.930
We we had a whole episode on this uh a while back.

00:22:33.410 --> 00:22:38.370
Um this is what is leading to the to these paradoxes, that there is a singular self that

00:22:38.370 --> 00:22:39.570
can deceive itself.

00:22:39.730 --> 00:22:43.650
But we would never have gotten into this mess if we just stayed at the mechanistic level of

00:22:43.650 --> 00:22:47.810
what are the different mechanisms in the mind, which mechanisms have access to which kinds

00:22:47.810 --> 00:22:48.290
of information.

00:22:48.370 --> 00:22:51.810
Once we stay at that level, there are no paradoxes, uh, and it becomes much more

00:22:51.810 --> 00:22:52.370
intelligible.

00:22:52.620 --> 00:22:57.100
So I think it's a really good example of how we need to uh realize what level of analysis

00:22:57.100 --> 00:23:02.620
we're at when we're thinking about uh these issues and uh uh drop down to the mechanistic

00:23:02.620 --> 00:23:06.220
level to get a better and deeper understanding of what's going on.

00:23:06.460 --> 00:23:08.940
So you mentioned how you don't like the word self-deception.

00:23:09.100 --> 00:23:11.580
I agree, I don't, I'm not a fan of it either.

00:23:11.900 --> 00:23:16.990
But there has been a re-emergence of a different kind of distinction that's sort of related

00:23:16.990 --> 00:23:17.950
to self-deception.

00:23:18.110 --> 00:23:21.630
And it's the idea that there are two kinds of beliefs.

00:23:21.790 --> 00:23:24.110
And they've been referred to in different things in the literature.

00:23:24.190 --> 00:23:28.270
So uh Neil Van Leeuwen has referred to them as credences versus beliefs.

00:23:28.430 --> 00:23:33.310
Uh um Hugo Mercier and Dan Sperber have referred to the distinction between reflective

00:23:33.310 --> 00:23:34.830
beliefs and intuitive beliefs.

00:23:34.990 --> 00:23:40.590
I saw one philosopher refer to uh uh the latter kind as schm beliefs, as opposed to

00:23:40.590 --> 00:23:43.870
beliefs, as you know, they don't they're not real beliefs, they don't matter.

00:23:45.280 --> 00:23:49.760
And so there and we sort of intuitively recognize this.

00:23:49.920 --> 00:23:54.240
We refer to like, you know, he's a true believer, she's a true believer, versus, you know,

00:23:54.320 --> 00:23:56.000
they're just paying lip service.

00:23:56.320 --> 00:24:02.160
Um and uh you know Neil Van Leon gets into the idea that we we often recognize this

00:24:02.160 --> 00:24:07.250
distinction when we talk about um I think X versus I believe X.

00:24:07.570 --> 00:24:11.090
Think sort of implies a genuine belief that it's guiding your behavior.

00:24:11.330 --> 00:24:17.170
Believe X uh is more of a social connotation that maybe, you know, I I believe this uh to

00:24:17.410 --> 00:24:22.290
show what kind of person I am or what my values are or what group I belong to rather than

00:24:22.290 --> 00:24:25.730
it's like actually guiding my behavior in a in a concrete way.

00:24:26.210 --> 00:24:31.000
Um and so this I think is one of the most interesting and important distinctions that has

00:24:31.000 --> 00:24:32.680
come up uh in the in the last decade.

00:24:32.760 --> 00:24:35.640
And I'm still trying to grapple with it and what its implications are.

00:24:35.800 --> 00:24:41.400
Um, but do you buy this distinction that there are uh different kinds of belief and that

00:24:41.400 --> 00:24:45.560
some beliefs, you know, guide our behavior in day to day decisions and in in concrete ways,

00:24:45.640 --> 00:24:48.120
and some of them are kind of inert.

00:24:48.280 --> 00:24:53.550
They just kind of sit there and we we we may you know believe we believe them, we may think

00:24:53.550 --> 00:24:59.470
we believe them, uh, but they're not actually uh driving us in any real concrete way.

00:24:59.710 --> 00:25:01.150
Um do you buy that distinction?

00:25:01.310 --> 00:25:02.030
Do you think it's important?

00:25:02.190 --> 00:25:03.870
How are you uh approaching that topic?

00:25:04.430 --> 00:25:10.270
So what I think is true is that there are these um cases in which we're sincerely committed

00:25:10.270 --> 00:25:11.710
to the truth of a proposition.

00:25:11.870 --> 00:25:13.550
You know, God is always watching.

00:25:13.710 --> 00:25:19.360
Um Socialism will usher in a utopia.

00:25:20.080 --> 00:25:24.000
There's a crocodile spirit that will hunt me down if I don't share my meat with fellow

00:25:24.000 --> 00:25:25.120
members of the group.

00:25:25.440 --> 00:25:28.080
The belief that studied by Man Vir Singh.

00:25:28.480 --> 00:25:30.400
These are cases in which I think people are sincere.

00:25:30.640 --> 00:25:33.920
As you say, the belief is often very strangely compartmentalized.

00:25:34.000 --> 00:25:38.720
I mean, my favorite example of this is from Dan Dennett, where he points out that you know

00:25:38.800 --> 00:25:42.450
nobody would ever masturbate in front of their parents, right?

00:25:42.770 --> 00:25:46.610
But but but they'll say they think God is always watching, and they think God is this

00:25:46.610 --> 00:25:52.290
omnipotent, all seeing um agent who will send them to hell if they

00:25:52.290 --> 00:25:57.410
masturbate, and yet they'll happily you know masturbate when they think this uh uh God is

00:25:57.410 --> 00:26:01.250
always watching, which suggests that you know that that commitment that they've got is not

00:26:01.250 --> 00:26:03.490
really functioning as an ordinary world modeling belief.

00:26:03.570 --> 00:26:05.170
And I think there are so many examples of that.

00:26:05.330 --> 00:26:09.900
If you look at you know, conspiracy theories, when somebody sort of intuitively thinks that

00:26:09.900 --> 00:26:13.900
there's a conspiracy going on, you know, if you live in North Korea and the the elites in

00:26:13.900 --> 00:26:18.940
your society are just actually conspiring in really horrific ways against your interests,

00:26:19.100 --> 00:26:23.020
as Hugo Mercier points out, like under those conditions, you you typically don't want to go

00:26:23.020 --> 00:26:27.340
out and just advertise your commitment to this conspiracy theory because it's going to be

00:26:27.340 --> 00:26:29.020
incredibly detrimental to your interests.

00:26:29.100 --> 00:26:33.990
But in a country like the United States, you've got these sort of proponents of QAnon who

00:26:33.990 --> 00:26:38.070
who claim to believe that there's this sort of all-powerful deep state that will crush them

00:26:38.070 --> 00:26:43.030
if they um speak out against the regime, and yet they feel no sort of strangeness in the

00:26:43.030 --> 00:26:46.310
fact that they're advertising their commitment to the belief in that way.

00:26:46.470 --> 00:26:50.870
So these are these are so many cases like that where you've got a kind of sincere

00:26:50.870 --> 00:26:52.710
commitment to the truth of some idea.

00:26:52.870 --> 00:26:55.670
It's not as if I think people are lying in these cases for the most part.

00:26:56.070 --> 00:27:01.880
Um and yet it is just strangely compartmentalized from their sort of uh world

00:27:01.880 --> 00:27:05.960
model in general and and from the kinds of behaviors that that that they're undertaking.

00:27:06.200 --> 00:27:08.760
The question then is how do you make sense of that psychologically?

00:27:08.840 --> 00:27:13.320
And and you're right, different theorists have proposed different ways of of trying to to

00:27:13.320 --> 00:27:14.040
to understand that.

00:27:14.200 --> 00:27:19.000
So there's the kind of uh Sperber idea of uh I think it was at first sort of factual

00:27:19.000 --> 00:27:21.800
beliefs and symbolic beliefs and then it's intuitive and reflective beliefs.

00:27:21.960 --> 00:27:26.600
You've got Neil van Leeuwen's idea where he thinks this difference is between sort of

00:27:26.670 --> 00:27:30.750
factual beliefs and what I think he calls religious credences, and he thinks that's closer

00:27:30.750 --> 00:27:34.270
to imagining than a sort of ordinary world modeling belief.

00:27:34.430 --> 00:27:38.430
Um, my sense is we still don't fully understand exactly what's going on there.

00:27:38.590 --> 00:27:40.830
We know that there's something that needs to be explained.

00:27:40.990 --> 00:27:46.910
Um, but in terms of having a kind of really satisfactory mechanistic understanding of the

00:27:46.910 --> 00:27:51.310
actual psychological processes that drive that, I think it's just it's just really

00:27:51.310 --> 00:27:52.030
complicated.

00:27:52.190 --> 00:27:56.030
And another thing that complicates it is you know, it seems like with many of these

00:27:56.040 --> 00:28:00.920
beliefs, which you might call merely reflective beliefs, or what Lewin calls, um Van Luwen

00:28:01.000 --> 00:28:06.440
calls religious credences, it seems like internalization sort of comes in degrees in a way,

00:28:06.520 --> 00:28:07.320
which is also strange.

00:28:07.560 --> 00:28:13.400
So if you've got someone who's got a kind of identity-defining conviction, um, and you

00:28:13.400 --> 00:28:16.920
know, they're let's say that that they're a Christian, you know, they go to church every

00:28:16.920 --> 00:28:20.290
other week or something when they can remember, and They're going to hold these religious

00:28:20.290 --> 00:28:21.490
beliefs in a way that's kind of light.

00:28:21.570 --> 00:28:24.850
It's not going to make much of a difference to their behavior and their decision making in

00:28:24.850 --> 00:28:25.170
general.

00:28:25.330 --> 00:28:30.770
But if you take someone who's in a really kind of close-knit, intense, hyper-cooperative

00:28:31.010 --> 00:28:36.450
cult where they're constantly monitoring signals of cult loyalty, coalitional allegiance,

00:28:36.530 --> 00:28:40.690
and so on, often you will find the beliefs much more internalized in terms of their

00:28:40.690 --> 00:28:41.170
behavior.

00:28:41.330 --> 00:28:45.010
You know, in some contexts, you get these cases of collective suicide in the cult where

00:28:45.010 --> 00:28:49.180
you've got these really what seem like incredibly internalized beliefs and narratives.

00:28:49.340 --> 00:28:53.580
And if you just have this idea that there are just two different kinds of mental states,

00:28:53.660 --> 00:28:58.140
you know, factual beliefs and religious credences, I wonder whether you can explain that

00:28:58.140 --> 00:28:59.820
kind of variability.

00:28:59.980 --> 00:29:01.180
I genuinely don't know.

00:29:01.340 --> 00:29:03.180
Um it's interesting.

00:29:03.340 --> 00:29:08.610
And even I think like, and this is getting to I think taking an evolutionary approach and a

00:29:08.610 --> 00:29:12.370
psychological approach is that we don't even know.

00:29:12.530 --> 00:29:15.090
Like, if I know, like David is bleeding, right?

00:29:15.250 --> 00:29:20.930
Like just that representation, even a mundane one, a lot of the psychology of the

00:29:20.930 --> 00:29:24.610
inferences that follow still aren't very well studied.

00:29:24.770 --> 00:29:30.210
So, like, you know, the fact that in us there's a representation of our

00:29:30.210 --> 00:29:35.000
relationship, the physical fact of the matter of I one of us should probably go do

00:29:35.000 --> 00:29:36.760
something to get to help David.

00:29:36.840 --> 00:29:37.960
He's bleeding.

00:29:38.120 --> 00:29:43.640
Um, there's representations of sort of like, you know, the schedule will be put on hold for

00:29:43.640 --> 00:29:46.120
what we're doing and what will the social consequences be?

00:29:46.280 --> 00:29:48.440
What if we don't intervene upon David?

00:29:48.680 --> 00:29:53.080
There's all these sort of what cognitive science call or scientists call inference engines,

00:29:53.160 --> 00:29:57.960
or computer scientists or AI researchers call these, like, um, or what Marvin Minsky called

00:29:57.960 --> 00:30:01.750
frames, where it's just sort of like an event representation.

00:30:02.070 --> 00:30:06.790
It almost sounds stilted to talk about it, but in order to actually build a computer,

00:30:06.950 --> 00:30:11.350
whether it's squishy or hard, to actually represent the current state of the world and

00:30:11.350 --> 00:30:16.150
future states of the world or what follows from a representation, we still don't know that

00:30:16.230 --> 00:30:22.150
even for something as normal and mundane as David's bleeding, let alone something like,

00:30:22.230 --> 00:30:26.790
you know, God is a spaghetti monster or we should all kill ourselves because, you know, the

00:30:26.960 --> 00:30:31.760
the space saucer is coming, and you know, we we're gonna have a better life elsewhere.

00:30:32.000 --> 00:30:36.080
So I don't think it's surprising that we still don't know a lot.

00:30:36.160 --> 00:30:41.040
Because I mean, as I read the literature, a lot of the point that you're making, Daniel,

00:30:41.280 --> 00:30:45.920
Dan, and and that I think we're all making, is that we just have to move from a you don't

00:30:46.080 --> 00:30:50.640
there's not enough structure in the world to tell these things apart, and we have to appeal

00:30:50.640 --> 00:30:52.720
to what is the underlying psychology.

00:30:52.800 --> 00:30:54.560
That's kind of what I'm hearing you say.

00:30:55.040 --> 00:30:56.390
Yeah, I think that's right.

00:30:56.470 --> 00:30:59.110
And I I think um I completely agree with that.

00:30:59.350 --> 00:31:05.190
I would just add that you know you can you can get far in some ways

00:31:05.350 --> 00:31:10.630
in thinking about you know high-level human behavior, thinking about broad uh

00:31:11.110 --> 00:31:15.990
patterns in behavior, how people interact, the sorts of things they do, the the narratives

00:31:15.990 --> 00:31:21.520
that they endorse, without having to um settle those questions about

00:31:21.520 --> 00:31:24.560
underlying mechanisms and how everything actually works.

00:31:24.800 --> 00:31:24.960
Right.

00:31:25.120 --> 00:31:29.520
So I think, you know, that I think there's very good reason to believe that that people um

00:31:30.080 --> 00:31:33.520
to some significant degree often internalise their propaganda.

00:31:33.600 --> 00:31:37.680
You know, they're motivated to advocate for a claim and that tends to to shift their their

00:31:37.680 --> 00:31:39.600
private beliefs in the direction of that claim.

00:31:39.760 --> 00:31:43.520
And similarly, you know, as we're saying, I think there are these cases where there's good

00:31:43.520 --> 00:31:48.310
reason to believe that that somebody's uh ideology, a narrative that they're committed to

00:31:48.470 --> 00:31:51.990
performs these social signaling functions and is sort of strangely compartmentalized in

00:31:51.990 --> 00:31:52.790
their mental life.

00:31:52.950 --> 00:31:56.630
We can say that, and I think that can be true and that can be important at the same time as

00:31:56.630 --> 00:32:00.070
we just put our hands up and say we don't fully understand exactly how that works in terms

00:32:00.070 --> 00:32:01.910
of the underlying psychology.

00:32:02.070 --> 00:32:06.150
And you're right, I mean, even when it comes to sort of ordinary inference, in and we're

00:32:06.150 --> 00:32:10.520
setting aside all of these complex social dynamics, so complicated to figure out exactly

00:32:10.520 --> 00:32:11.320
what's going on.

00:32:11.480 --> 00:32:15.880
But one of the things that makes it even more complicated in these social cases is, you

00:32:15.880 --> 00:32:20.680
know, even when these beliefs are sort of compartmentalized, because I think their function

00:32:20.680 --> 00:32:26.040
is very often social, you know, I believe this, I endorse this uh set of religious

00:32:26.040 --> 00:32:30.200
convictions because I want to signal that I'm a committed member of my group.

00:32:30.360 --> 00:32:36.230
There's some sense in which that comes about, and out of motivations to convince you that I

00:32:36.230 --> 00:32:37.030
really believe it.

00:32:37.110 --> 00:32:41.910
Um, which creates all of these extra additional worries when it comes to and and and and

00:32:41.910 --> 00:32:44.310
puzzles when it when it comes to explaining what's going on.

00:32:44.470 --> 00:32:48.550
Because there's some sense in which you know, you don't want to be transparent as the

00:32:48.550 --> 00:32:49.830
individual who's got that kind of belief.

00:32:50.070 --> 00:32:53.910
You're precisely acting in ways to convince other people that you really believe it.

00:32:54.070 --> 00:32:56.380
So it's just yeah so complicated, I think.

00:32:56.700 --> 00:33:01.980
Yeah, natural selection designed you to not to foil future psychologists, basically

00:33:02.140 --> 00:33:03.660
designed the mind in this respect.

00:33:03.740 --> 00:33:07.500
You you're taking on you're biting off a really hard part of human phenotype here.

00:33:07.980 --> 00:33:08.220
Yeah.

00:33:08.380 --> 00:33:14.060
How do you tell the difference between fake belief and real belief when often the agent is

00:33:14.060 --> 00:33:17.340
trying as hard as they can to convince you that it's real belief?

00:33:17.580 --> 00:33:22.470
And what what is the difference between trying really hard to convince you that I believe X

00:33:22.790 --> 00:33:28.710
and believing that you're going to scrutinize me uh for for that and truly believing

00:33:28.710 --> 00:33:28.870
X.

00:33:29.110 --> 00:33:33.270
They they seem to be pretty hard to empirically distinguish because both would lead to the

00:33:33.270 --> 00:33:38.630
same types of behavior that would be that would lend evidence to to the idea that I believe

00:33:38.630 --> 00:33:38.870
X.

00:33:39.190 --> 00:33:42.390
So it's a really thorny and difficult problem.

00:33:43.190 --> 00:33:49.000
Um the way I think of it is um in terms of uh

00:33:49.320 --> 00:33:54.440
cues and signals and how unstable the former are and how they can slide into the latter.

00:33:54.680 --> 00:33:59.480
So um for those who aren't familiar with the distinction, a cue is something that we use uh

00:33:59.640 --> 00:34:01.320
to to guide our behavior.

00:34:01.480 --> 00:34:03.640
Um it's you know X is correlated with Y.

00:34:03.720 --> 00:34:06.840
People who comb their hair are more organized and conscientious.

00:34:07.000 --> 00:34:10.630
So I'm going to hire the people who, you know, neatly comb their hair.

00:34:10.790 --> 00:34:11.910
Um so that's a cue.

00:34:11.990 --> 00:34:16.310
A signal is you're intending to convey information to to someone else.

00:34:16.470 --> 00:34:21.750
Or in in the case of biology, uh the organism is evolving to convey information.

00:34:21.910 --> 00:34:27.910
So one is uh the the information was not intended to to to be conveyed um and or or

00:34:27.910 --> 00:34:30.070
was not evolved to to be conveyed.

00:34:30.310 --> 00:34:34.310
And then the other uh the information uh is evolved or intended to be conveyed.

00:34:34.390 --> 00:34:35.270
That's a signal.

00:34:35.520 --> 00:34:40.640
Um, and so what's weird about our species is because we're so obsessed with getting inside

00:34:40.640 --> 00:34:46.240
each other's heads um and anticipating what other people are going to think we think, that

00:34:46.480 --> 00:34:48.080
cues are really unstable.

00:34:48.320 --> 00:34:53.200
As soon as I pick up on the cue that people with neatly combed hair are organized and

00:34:53.200 --> 00:34:58.290
conscientious, I now have a social strategic incentive to comb my hair because I think that

00:34:58.290 --> 00:35:00.850
you're going to think that I'm conscientious and organized.

00:35:01.250 --> 00:35:05.570
And all of a sudden, once I start doing that, then it the cue may no longer be valid.

00:35:05.650 --> 00:35:10.930
It may be that people who are really sloppy and dish and disorganized comb their hair to

00:35:11.650 --> 00:35:12.450
dupe people.

00:35:12.850 --> 00:35:17.890
And that can lead to a lot of dynamism and arms races between deceivers and deceived.

00:35:18.450 --> 00:35:23.650
It can lead to status games collapsing and re-emerging in antithetical forms.

00:35:24.160 --> 00:35:29.600
And so what I think might be going on with this distinction between belief and schmeleaf or

00:35:29.600 --> 00:35:35.600
whatever is that beliefs are really powerful cues that we try to

00:35:35.600 --> 00:35:41.040
use to anticipate others' behaviors, to anticipate others' allegiances and loyalties and

00:35:41.040 --> 00:35:41.680
traits.

00:35:42.560 --> 00:35:47.280
And because they're such powerful cues, there is thus a powerful incentive to transform

00:35:47.280 --> 00:35:52.910
them into signals, to imitate uh the The superficial

00:35:52.910 --> 00:35:58.910
features of belief, to convince others that we truly believe something, as you put it.

00:35:59.790 --> 00:36:05.630
And once I am motivated enough to really convince you that I believe

00:36:05.630 --> 00:36:11.230
something, the harder it becomes to tell the difference between true belief and what I

00:36:11.230 --> 00:36:12.590
might call pseudo belief.

00:36:12.750 --> 00:36:18.190
I think a lot of our beliefs are pseudo beliefs, and that the goal is to make it difficult

00:36:18.270 --> 00:36:21.620
to tell the difference between real belief and fake belief.

00:36:21.940 --> 00:36:25.860
And that is why it's so hard for psychologists to tell the difference, because that

00:36:25.860 --> 00:36:27.460
difficulty is by design.

00:36:28.500 --> 00:36:34.020
It's tantamount to other kinds of mimicry we see in the biological world, where um a uh a

00:36:34.020 --> 00:36:39.620
non-poisonous uh butterfly will will mimic the features of a poisonous butterfly to avoid

00:36:39.670 --> 00:36:40.310
predation.

00:36:40.550 --> 00:36:45.510
And just as it is very difficult for predators to tell the difference, um, it is often

00:36:45.510 --> 00:36:47.350
difficult for biologists to tell the difference.

00:36:47.430 --> 00:36:51.830
I think a similar phenomenon is happening with us where we have a kind of belief mimicry.

00:36:51.990 --> 00:36:56.950
Uh and that makes it really hard to tell the difference between true belief and and fake

00:36:56.950 --> 00:36:57.430
belief.

00:36:57.750 --> 00:37:00.550
What do you w and that's sort of sort how I how I've been thinking of it lately.

00:37:00.630 --> 00:37:01.750
I'm curious what you think about that.

00:37:01.990 --> 00:37:02.070
Yeah.

00:37:02.310 --> 00:37:02.710
That's great.

00:37:02.790 --> 00:37:02.950
Yeah.

00:37:03.030 --> 00:37:04.550
I love this term pseudo belief.

00:37:04.630 --> 00:37:05.430
Um I'm gonna steal that.

00:37:05.510 --> 00:37:06.020
Uh that's great.

00:37:06.260 --> 00:37:06.580
Oh, cool.

00:37:06.740 --> 00:37:09.700
Actually that's that's but that's better than the other ones in the literature, I think.

00:37:09.860 --> 00:37:10.980
Just just thinking out loud.

00:37:11.060 --> 00:37:16.100
I mean I guess so as you said there's going to be this this sort of puzzle of of what

00:37:16.100 --> 00:37:19.060
distinguishes you know someone who's just let's say just lying.

00:37:19.140 --> 00:37:22.820
You know they know what they privately think and they're just saying that they believe

00:37:22.820 --> 00:37:23.380
something.

00:37:24.660 --> 00:37:28.900
And you know maybe they don't even feel bad about the the discrepancy because they're in a

00:37:28.900 --> 00:37:32.020
social context where it's not like anyone's gonna like hold them accountable.

00:37:33.510 --> 00:37:37.990
so what what distinguishes that kind of case from my understanding of what you said is in

00:37:37.990 --> 00:37:40.150
the case of pseudo-beliefs, it's not quite that.

00:37:40.230 --> 00:37:43.590
It's not that someone is just deliberately misrepresenting what they think.

00:37:43.750 --> 00:37:49.270
There is a kind of psychological state there, um, which which is not just about um

00:37:49.910 --> 00:37:53.350
uh misrepresenting deliberately the state of one's own mind.

00:37:53.510 --> 00:37:58.420
And it does seem important to think that something like that is going on, not just because

00:37:58.500 --> 00:38:01.620
you know it often seems like people are sincere, because you might say, well, they could be

00:38:01.620 --> 00:38:02.260
faking that.

00:38:02.420 --> 00:38:07.220
But it does seem like in many of these contexts people are willing to act on these beliefs,

00:38:07.380 --> 00:38:09.220
at least in some ways, in some contexts.

00:38:09.380 --> 00:38:14.180
In some cases, they're willing to sort of incur costs as a consequence of acting upon them.

00:38:14.420 --> 00:38:14.740
Yeah.

00:38:14.900 --> 00:38:20.900
Um, and so th that that's why I think we need this sort of this construct, which

00:38:20.900 --> 00:38:26.180
is not quite a ordinary world-modelling belief, and it's not quite a mere

00:38:26.590 --> 00:38:28.110
performance or deception.

00:38:28.190 --> 00:38:30.350
It's sort of something in between.

00:38:30.510 --> 00:38:34.590
Um is is is is that what you're meaning by by pseudo-belief, something that kind of exists

00:38:34.590 --> 00:38:38.910
in between those two things or no, I I think so

00:38:40.510 --> 00:38:45.710
So even if I do something that's really costly to to demonstrate that I believe something,

00:38:45.870 --> 00:38:48.830
that could still be part of the signal.

00:38:49.040 --> 00:38:49.360
Right.

00:38:50.400 --> 00:38:53.040
In order to convince you that I truly believe something, I have to incur a cost.

00:38:53.280 --> 00:38:54.080
It could be an honest signal.

00:38:54.160 --> 00:38:55.520
I mean, I that's the thing though.

00:38:55.600 --> 00:38:58.080
It's not an honest signal because I don't truly believe it.

00:38:58.240 --> 00:39:03.360
But I think that those kinds of signal signals can still be stable if they are if if what

00:39:03.360 --> 00:39:09.280
I'm signaling to you uh is correlated with something that um uh is beneficial to you.

00:39:09.520 --> 00:39:14.400
So let's say I don't truly believe that the the spider god is is going to smite me if I

00:39:14.400 --> 00:39:16.000
steal from the group or whatever.

00:39:16.160 --> 00:39:21.310
Um, but my belief in that uh is correlated with my loyalty to the group.

00:39:21.950 --> 00:39:27.870
So in that case, deceiving you that I believe in the spider god, um,

00:39:28.110 --> 00:39:31.230
that is still going to benefit you, even though it's a deceptive signal.

00:39:31.470 --> 00:39:33.870
Because you're going to that's going to endear me to you.

00:39:33.950 --> 00:39:37.070
You're going to welcome me into the group, and and you'll be you'll be right to do so

00:39:37.150 --> 00:39:38.670
because I truly am more loyal.

00:39:38.830 --> 00:39:44.030
And so this the deceptive signal can survive uh because it is correlated with something

00:39:44.030 --> 00:39:47.800
else that makes the signaling system uh mutually beneficial.

00:39:47.960 --> 00:39:53.160
So I that's another piece to this that I'm continuing to think about is that a lot of the

00:39:53.160 --> 00:39:58.440
times a lot of the time deceptive signals uh don't necessarily need to fall apart if if

00:39:58.440 --> 00:40:01.000
they're correlated with something else that's true that's valuable.

00:40:02.600 --> 00:40:06.120
But but do you not think that there is a psychological difference?

00:40:06.600 --> 00:40:09.160
I mean just just think of sort of two cases.

00:40:09.240 --> 00:40:15.190
You know if I uh you know let's say I'm a spy, you know, trying to infiltrate some

00:40:15.190 --> 00:40:16.470
ideological community.

00:40:16.710 --> 00:40:20.870
And as part of that, I really need to convince other people in that community that I hold

00:40:20.870 --> 00:40:21.270
their beliefs.

00:40:21.590 --> 00:40:23.750
So it's like a group of neo Nazis or something like that.

00:40:23.990 --> 00:40:29.670
Um you're right that you know I might need to like pay costs uh to to to credibly signal to

00:40:29.670 --> 00:40:33.560
these other people in the community that that I hold the ideological convictions.

00:40:34.280 --> 00:40:37.880
But nevertheless, this is a case in which you know I'm I'm consciously aware of the fact

00:40:37.880 --> 00:40:39.160
that I don't that I don't really believe it.

00:40:39.480 --> 00:40:43.080
It's a kind of pretense, it's this kind of like active fiction which I'm maintaining.

00:40:43.240 --> 00:40:46.600
That seems very different from the psychology of someone who's actually in the community

00:40:46.600 --> 00:40:48.840
and is actually committed and loyal to the community.

00:40:49.000 --> 00:40:53.000
There, there seems to be a sense in which, even though I think these social incentives are

00:40:53.000 --> 00:40:58.200
playing an important role in regulating what they believe and and how they think about the

00:40:58.200 --> 00:41:04.170
world and the evidence that they seek out and so on, um It's not a self-conscious deception

00:41:04.250 --> 00:41:05.850
in a way that it would be if I if I were.

00:41:06.330 --> 00:41:09.610
I'm thinking out loud here, but that seems like an distinction that we want to capture.

00:41:10.090 --> 00:41:11.530
Yeah, definitely.

00:41:11.850 --> 00:41:17.770
I think what's going on there is that the spy is aware that they don't believe the

00:41:17.770 --> 00:41:18.570
beliefs.

00:41:18.810 --> 00:41:24.650
Um but I think often in our quest to convince others that we believe our

00:41:24.650 --> 00:41:27.180
beliefs, we convince ourselves as well.

00:41:27.420 --> 00:41:33.260
And so often we put ourselves in a state where we um believe that we believe X,

00:41:33.420 --> 00:41:38.700
but we don't actually believe X, because we're so zealous about convincing others that we

00:41:38.700 --> 00:41:40.220
believe that we believe X.

00:41:40.620 --> 00:41:44.380
Or sorry, that that we're we're zealous about convincing others that we believe X.

00:41:44.780 --> 00:41:48.460
Um, that we that we convince ourselves as as part of that process.

00:41:48.860 --> 00:41:53.180
Um, I think that is what that is what what might be going on.

00:41:53.340 --> 00:41:54.790
Um I don't know.

00:41:54.870 --> 00:41:57.990
Do you but I'm still this is obviously a very complicated topic.

00:41:58.070 --> 00:42:01.030
Uh um and you know I'm still kind of figuring it out.

00:42:01.190 --> 00:42:04.310
Um but yeah, what what do you think of of of that idea?

00:42:04.710 --> 00:42:08.630
So I I think that that's Dennett's idea about religion, that that in many of these cases

00:42:08.710 --> 00:42:10.870
you've got, as you say, you've got a kind of belief in belief.

00:42:10.950 --> 00:42:14.070
So it's like you don't believe it, but you sort of become convinced that you believe it.

00:42:14.150 --> 00:42:15.830
So there's this weird second order thing going on.

00:42:15.990 --> 00:42:16.070
Yeah.

00:42:16.230 --> 00:42:20.480
Yeah, I think that's that's that's one of the candidate explanations in this area, which

00:42:20.480 --> 00:42:22.640
really needs to be explored and tested.

00:42:22.880 --> 00:42:27.200
Just as I think the kind of Van Leuen picture also needs to be be tested, and the spurber

00:42:27.360 --> 00:42:28.320
like Mercier one.

00:42:28.480 --> 00:42:33.360
This is what I mean when I say that there's something going on here, which I think lots of

00:42:33.360 --> 00:42:35.120
people are getting at in lots of different ways.

00:42:35.280 --> 00:42:39.520
And each of the different stories I think has their own kind of advantages, and there are

00:42:39.520 --> 00:42:40.880
certain kinds of puzzles they run into.

00:42:40.960 --> 00:42:45.440
And I think it's just gonna require more research to really definitively figure out what's

00:42:45.440 --> 00:42:45.840
going on.

00:42:46.080 --> 00:42:50.430
But I will add, I mean, I think another thing that really complic complicates this is

00:42:51.950 --> 00:42:56.590
in some cases, I think, you know, these pseudo-beliefs, let's call them, these things which

00:42:56.590 --> 00:43:02.270
we're forming for for social reasons, as part of that, we we bias how we we

00:43:02.270 --> 00:43:05.230
seek out and recall evidence, right?

00:43:05.470 --> 00:43:10.110
And as a consequence, we can end up becoming sincerely persuaded of that of that thing,

00:43:10.270 --> 00:43:10.510
right?

00:43:10.670 --> 00:43:15.880
So I think this is a lot of what happens when it comes to um Advocacy

00:43:16.120 --> 00:43:18.760
biasing what people actually take to be the case.

00:43:18.920 --> 00:43:24.680
You know, if I said to you, look, you've got five minutes, I'm going to give you $1,000 if

00:43:24.840 --> 00:43:29.800
you can make an incredibly persuasive case that Obama was the best president in US history,

00:43:29.880 --> 00:43:30.120
right?

00:43:30.360 --> 00:43:34.040
Well, in that time, you're going to be searching through memory, recalling all of this

00:43:34.040 --> 00:43:36.600
information you have, which is in line with that conclusion.

00:43:36.680 --> 00:43:39.000
You're going to be thinking up good arguments and so on.

00:43:39.270 --> 00:43:43.350
And after that process, even though you're sort of self-consciously, you know that you're

00:43:43.350 --> 00:43:48.950
advocating for something, you end up with all of this evidence which is in line with this

00:43:48.950 --> 00:43:52.390
conclusion, which can end up sincerely persuading you of that thing.

00:43:52.630 --> 00:43:58.630
And I think that's often what happens in these cases of uh internalizing our propaganda.

00:43:58.790 --> 00:44:03.670
It's not so much as like Trivers, Robert Trivers famously argued that we're sort of

00:44:03.670 --> 00:44:06.760
deceiving ourselves so that we can deceive others.

00:44:06.920 --> 00:44:08.680
That might be what's going on in some cases.

00:44:08.840 --> 00:44:13.720
But I think often in the process of trying to be a propagandist and advocate for something,

00:44:13.880 --> 00:44:18.600
we just end up almost accidentally becoming convinced of it because we're so biased in

00:44:18.600 --> 00:44:24.360
terms of the evidence and the arguments we recruit to argue for that for that case.

00:44:24.520 --> 00:44:29.970
So I think this is why in in in sort of um the case of lawyers, when they're that they know

00:44:29.970 --> 00:44:34.130
that they're being paid to advocate, let's say, for their client, or they know that it's

00:44:34.130 --> 00:44:36.850
their job to argue that the accused is guilty.

00:44:37.010 --> 00:44:42.210
But I think there's some evidence that they actually end up becoming sincerely convinced in

00:44:42.210 --> 00:44:44.370
the direction that they're incentivized to advocate.

00:44:44.530 --> 00:44:48.370
And the reason for that is just that, or I think at least one potential reason for that,

00:44:48.620 --> 00:44:53.420
which complicates this whole discussion, is even though it like in the first instance

00:44:53.500 --> 00:44:58.700
they've got this this purely practical, non-epistemic motivation, because it's going to

00:44:58.700 --> 00:45:03.340
bias the evidence that they end up with, they're going to end up becoming sort of

00:45:03.340 --> 00:45:07.500
intuitively convinced of a certain kind of view in a way that wouldn't have happened unless

00:45:07.500 --> 00:45:08.940
they had that practical motivation.

00:45:09.180 --> 00:45:11.020
Apologies if that wasn't particularly clear.

00:45:11.100 --> 00:45:11.820
That's me sort of thinking.

00:45:11.980 --> 00:45:13.580
No, no, that was that was perfectly clear.

00:45:13.660 --> 00:45:16.290
Um I I I get that story.

00:45:16.530 --> 00:45:22.530
I I still don't I don't quite buy it because it's kind of puzzling to me

00:45:22.850 --> 00:45:28.770
that if I have a strategic reason to convince you of X, um it's kind of

00:45:28.770 --> 00:45:33.490
puzzling to me that so that some part of the mind wouldn't recognize that and recognize

00:45:33.490 --> 00:45:39.400
that that uh my search for evidence is biased and take that into account when uh updating

00:45:39.400 --> 00:45:40.200
my actual beliefs.

00:45:40.520 --> 00:45:46.120
It seems like a well-designed system would uh when trying to convince others of X, uh

00:45:46.280 --> 00:45:51.000
recognize that fact and correct for that when updating its own internal beliefs.

00:45:51.240 --> 00:45:54.840
Or at least that's if if we're thinking like good ad adaptationists, I would expect there

00:45:54.840 --> 00:45:59.250
to be uh a design uh uh uh for for that end.

00:45:59.330 --> 00:46:03.650
Um so that you know in the same way that if you're if you're trying to fight someone else,

00:46:03.730 --> 00:46:06.530
um you don't want to accidentally hit yourself.

00:46:06.690 --> 00:46:10.370
Um if you're trying to persuade and deceive others, you don't want to accidentally persuade

00:46:10.370 --> 00:46:12.450
and deceive yourself as part of that objective.

00:46:12.610 --> 00:46:17.010
Or at least so that's why I find it a bit implausible that we because it sounds like what

00:46:17.010 --> 00:46:21.410
you're saying is, you know, when we're we're we're we're trying to fight other people, we

00:46:21.490 --> 00:46:26.140
we sometimes hit ourselves and hurt ourselves accidentally uh it seems like we should be we

00:46:26.140 --> 00:46:30.300
should have evolved to avoid doing that as much as possible right can i can i actually push

00:46:30.300 --> 00:46:35.660
on this a little bit i mean just uh and and um but i think to be good adaptationists too we

00:46:35.660 --> 00:46:41.340
have to include the what is the function of our own internalization of the belief and

00:46:41.500 --> 00:46:46.940
yes it might not be that it's just this propositional of what is true if the if the

00:46:46.940 --> 00:46:52.670
underlying design of the system is accept as a belief though uh

00:46:52.750 --> 00:46:58.670
when when there's a good argument available than uh if that's the underlying

00:46:58.670 --> 00:46:59.950
reason for it, right?

00:47:00.110 --> 00:47:05.550
So it's not that I'm I've punched myself, it's that the

00:47:05.550 --> 00:47:09.150
underlying structure is different than believe what's true, quote unquote.

00:47:09.230 --> 00:47:15.230
It's a much more operationalized thing of what's the logic for why I'm accepting

00:47:15.230 --> 00:47:15.870
a belief.

00:47:16.030 --> 00:47:21.480
And if the design of that system is when a good argument and a lot of evidence is

00:47:21.480 --> 00:47:27.400
provided uh represent that into quote unquote your beliefs, then you would

00:47:27.400 --> 00:47:28.680
get that as part of the design.

00:47:28.760 --> 00:47:31.800
And you I mean we one would have to be functionalist about why that would be.

00:47:31.960 --> 00:47:36.520
It could be true, you know, but I but I think that would be I think that's the part to push

00:47:36.520 --> 00:47:38.680
on that doesn't make it punching yourself.

00:47:38.760 --> 00:47:39.320
Dan, yeah.

00:47:39.480 --> 00:47:39.640
Sorry.

00:47:40.200 --> 00:47:40.440
I get that.

00:47:40.520 --> 00:47:40.840
I get that.

00:47:40.920 --> 00:47:46.280
But but wouldn't a better design be believe X when there are good arguments and evidence

00:47:46.570 --> 00:47:51.370
unless you have strategic reasons to present one-sided arguments and evidence for X, in

00:47:51.370 --> 00:47:53.610
which case don't believe X, or at least discount it.

00:47:53.770 --> 00:47:57.210
That that would be a better design system than than the former system.

00:47:57.690 --> 00:47:57.930
Yeah.

00:47:58.170 --> 00:47:59.210
I think it's complicated.

00:47:59.370 --> 00:48:04.090
I mean I think somewhere in Hugo Mercier's book Not Born Yesterday, you you know, he pushes

00:48:04.090 --> 00:48:07.290
back on that line of reasoning a little bit precisely for this sort of reason.

00:48:07.450 --> 00:48:11.300
Like if you actually come across a really good argument for something, even if your search

00:48:11.300 --> 00:48:15.460
has been biased by non-epistemic considerations, you're gonna take it into consideration.

00:48:15.700 --> 00:48:19.780
But I totally see the force of your point, David, which is that, well, you know, you should

00:48:19.780 --> 00:48:23.060
correct for the fact that the search is biased.

00:48:23.220 --> 00:48:27.460
Um so what what I'd say is I think you're right, there's a sort of maybe let's say like a

00:48:27.460 --> 00:48:33.250
prima facie um Adaptationist presumption against this being the case,

00:48:33.330 --> 00:48:36.850
maybe, although for the reasons we've talked about, it's complicated and I still don't know

00:48:36.850 --> 00:48:37.970
entirely what to think about that.

00:48:38.370 --> 00:48:41.090
But it could be that this is just a kind of clue-y aspect of the mind.

00:48:41.170 --> 00:48:42.290
I think you have to be open to that.

00:48:42.450 --> 00:48:47.810
And then it could be as well that um, you know, as people like as people like Trivers have

00:48:47.810 --> 00:48:52.300
have argued, there is in addition some sort of like positive uh value that that can

00:48:52.300 --> 00:48:54.140
sometimes come from internalizing it.

00:48:54.300 --> 00:48:58.780
So even though it can come with costs, it comes with benefits, and that complicates it.

00:48:58.860 --> 00:49:03.500
Like, for example, if you do sincerely internalize it, you become a more effective advocate

00:49:03.500 --> 00:49:05.660
for the position, um, etc.

00:49:06.300 --> 00:49:12.140
So, yeah, I I I totally take take the point that if it it seems like you wouldn't

00:49:12.140 --> 00:49:15.500
expect this to be the case if you've got this kind of adaptationist assumption, which I

00:49:15.500 --> 00:49:16.780
think is a really important point.

00:49:17.020 --> 00:49:21.110
Um, But again, it's what it's one of those, it's one of those, I've been thinking about

00:49:21.110 --> 00:49:23.910
this for a while now and I still I still don't know exactly what to think.

00:49:23.990 --> 00:49:27.910
Um because I think another thing that really complicates this is you know, my sense in so

00:49:28.070 --> 00:49:32.390
is that at least in some cases, people do kind of incur costs.

00:49:32.550 --> 00:49:37.670
Like it is somewhat maladaptive to internalize the views that they're advocating for, and

00:49:37.670 --> 00:49:38.550
yet they still do it.

00:49:38.630 --> 00:49:44.600
Um which makes me a little bit more receptive to the to the sort of this is a uh a klugy

00:49:44.760 --> 00:49:48.280
aspect of our psychology or a byproduct of other things or or something like that.

00:49:49.000 --> 00:49:53.800
Could it be that just argument is a service for coalitional entrepreneurship?

00:49:53.960 --> 00:49:59.320
So I mean just baked in intrinsically to a mental representation is if I've come up with a

00:49:59.320 --> 00:50:05.000
good argument um that's just sort of probabilistically this is

00:50:05.160 --> 00:50:10.850
a a social item that's gonna be a coalitional um

00:50:11.090 --> 00:50:11.650
opportunity.

00:50:11.810 --> 00:50:17.810
It might not go, but I mean that would be one explanation for it is kluge, but it's sort of

00:50:17.890 --> 00:50:19.330
it's intrinsically social.

00:50:19.650 --> 00:50:25.090
Um yeah so the uh the idea there is that is that truly

00:50:25.090 --> 00:50:30.610
believing something serves a useful uh coalitional purpose and that it

00:50:30.610 --> 00:50:36.280
helps coordinate the group and and uh or around say a shared goal is is that the idea

00:50:36.520 --> 00:50:42.040
it's a more of a David Pinsoth idea which is that um if I have come up if I have arranged

00:50:42.040 --> 00:50:47.480
arguments yeah that uh that I think are good and I model that will convince other people

00:50:48.040 --> 00:50:53.640
um that that whenever that is tripped that I have that representation I have that I've come

00:50:53.640 --> 00:50:59.240
up with it or I have access to that that is part of the

00:50:59.690 --> 00:51:05.210
um this is a status acquisition opportunity because there's such an

00:51:05.210 --> 00:51:10.970
interest in arguments as coordination devices um

00:51:11.610 --> 00:51:12.970
for social coordination.

00:51:13.050 --> 00:51:15.130
So this is a David Pins off idea.

00:51:15.210 --> 00:51:16.410
Um David.

00:51:16.730 --> 00:51:19.530
I think I understand what you're getting at.

00:51:19.690 --> 00:51:24.410
Uh let me see if I can repeat to you what I think you're getting at, which is that um

00:51:24.570 --> 00:51:30.360
there's one way to uh design a mind to believe things, which is just believe

00:51:30.360 --> 00:51:35.240
things that have the most evidence, uh, the best arguments, and if there are biases in in

00:51:35.240 --> 00:51:38.520
in the uh production of evidence and arguments, take that into account.

00:51:38.600 --> 00:51:41.320
Uh, and and that's like a one way to form beliefs.

00:51:41.560 --> 00:51:47.560
But another way to form beliefs is to think about what are the arguments

00:51:47.560 --> 00:51:52.280
and evidence that other people in your culture will find plausible and will be likely to be

00:51:52.280 --> 00:51:53.560
uh convinced of.

00:51:54.050 --> 00:51:59.810
Yeah, that's that's a way of believe whatever your social and cultural group will likely

00:51:59.810 --> 00:52:01.330
join you in believing.

00:52:01.970 --> 00:52:05.170
Um regardless of whether it has good evidence or good arguments for it.

00:52:05.250 --> 00:52:09.490
And the argument there would be there are adaptive benefits to coordination.

00:52:09.650 --> 00:52:13.970
And often it is more important to coordinate with other members of your group than it is to

00:52:13.970 --> 00:52:15.570
coordinate with reality.

00:52:15.810 --> 00:52:21.520
So if you see a belief that um it has strong intuitive appeal to other

00:52:21.520 --> 00:52:25.200
members of your cultural group, believe that because that's going to help you coordinate

00:52:25.200 --> 00:52:28.560
with other members of your group and perhaps give you status for having come up with that

00:52:28.560 --> 00:52:30.640
belief uh, you know, as the originator of it.

00:52:30.800 --> 00:52:31.920
Is that is that basically what I'm saying?

00:52:32.080 --> 00:52:32.400
Yeah, yeah.

00:52:32.480 --> 00:52:35.920
I mean, I think it includes other things, but I think like the existence of logical

00:52:35.920 --> 00:52:41.920
fallacies and arguments and what those are are descriptions of exactly when

00:52:42.560 --> 00:52:43.710
th those exist.

00:52:44.510 --> 00:52:50.350
The existence of an ad hominem attack, the existence of uh appealing to common

00:52:50.350 --> 00:52:55.870
knowledge or to the group, um, I think exit it precisely exists because this happens all

00:52:55.870 --> 00:52:56.190
the time.

00:52:56.350 --> 00:52:56.830
Yeah.

00:52:58.590 --> 00:52:59.230
Yeah.

00:52:59.470 --> 00:53:04.750
I I believe something if there are social benefits to believing it or social costs for

00:53:04.750 --> 00:53:05.470
disbelieving it.

00:53:05.790 --> 00:53:06.110
Right.

00:53:06.340 --> 00:53:09.540
It's like what Bacon called like the idols of the tribe, right?

00:53:09.620 --> 00:53:11.700
Or like, you know, he had like these idols, right?

00:53:11.780 --> 00:53:16.500
Where it was sort of like Francis Bacon had, you know, what why do people believe why do

00:53:16.500 --> 00:53:20.100
scientists or philosophers at the time or natural philosophers hold the beliefs that they

00:53:20.100 --> 00:53:20.500
hold?

00:53:20.660 --> 00:53:24.580
And he's like, it's stupid because like they're just going around like it's a status

00:53:24.580 --> 00:53:25.060
scheme, right?

00:53:25.140 --> 00:53:28.260
Or like it's because everybody believes it and they're just sort of like who's high status.

00:53:28.340 --> 00:53:34.210
And so there's this r beautiful like literature in the history of sort of people arguing

00:53:34.210 --> 00:53:39.810
for science above and beyond these status games, like logical fallacies, like Bacon's

00:53:39.810 --> 00:53:42.130
Idols of the Tribe or The Species or the Cave.

00:53:42.210 --> 00:53:45.650
I mean, there's like, you know, they're they're all different ones, but I think they all

00:53:45.650 --> 00:53:45.970
exist.

00:53:46.050 --> 00:53:51.010
They're they're a documentation informally of like the presence of this, of these

00:53:51.010 --> 00:53:52.210
adaptations, right?

00:53:53.840 --> 00:53:54.240
Yeah.

00:53:54.480 --> 00:54:00.320
It's almost like um an example is like um so I think Jordan Peterson is full of

00:54:00.320 --> 00:54:00.960
shit, right?

00:54:01.200 --> 00:54:02.320
But I haven't done my own.

00:54:03.040 --> 00:54:05.040
We're not gonna uh we're not gonna edit that out.

00:54:05.280 --> 00:54:06.080
We're not gonna edit that out.

00:54:06.480 --> 00:54:09.280
Uh so but but like it's a totally unjustified belief.

00:54:09.360 --> 00:54:10.640
I haven't actually read the guy.

00:54:10.800 --> 00:54:15.040
I haven't like, you know, done my homework in terms of figuring out if he's actually like

00:54:15.120 --> 00:54:17.360
saying interesting or legitimate things or not.

00:54:17.600 --> 00:54:23.250
It's just kind of I know um Can I say can I say yeah can I say everybody

00:54:23.250 --> 00:54:29.090
should find somebody to marry them who thinks about them like Jordan Peterson

00:54:29.250 --> 00:54:30.770
thinks about himself.

00:54:31.650 --> 00:54:33.570
That's what I'll say about Jordan Peterson.

00:54:33.650 --> 00:54:33.810
Okay.

00:54:34.130 --> 00:54:34.370
Yeah.

00:54:34.450 --> 00:54:40.290
So like that get like it's so deeply uncool in our in my cultural social group to be into

00:54:40.290 --> 00:54:41.650
Jordan Peterson, right?

00:54:41.940 --> 00:54:46.660
Um and that uncoolness has sort of inf infected my my epistemology.

00:54:47.060 --> 00:54:51.060
Like I I truly believe that he's he's full of shit, but I have no I don't think I have like

00:54:51.060 --> 00:54:55.940
legitimate reasons other than that I just feel that he's so deeply uncool uh in my in my

00:54:55.940 --> 00:54:56.260
group.

00:54:56.500 --> 00:54:56.740
Right.

00:54:56.900 --> 00:55:00.340
Um I think I think you're being I think you're being hard on yourself.

00:55:00.820 --> 00:55:05.380
Yeah I find that I find I think I think this is a case where you've got sufficient

00:55:05.700 --> 00:55:07.140
epistemic justification.

00:55:07.220 --> 00:55:10.980
I mean I'm assuming that you've you've read some things you've seen some things that he

00:55:10.980 --> 00:55:11.140
said.

00:55:11.300 --> 00:55:15.470
I'm assuming it's not one of those cases where like you've never come across any of his

00:55:15.470 --> 00:55:16.350
intellectual output.

00:55:16.430 --> 00:55:18.830
Um and you're probably seen like sure.

00:55:18.910 --> 00:55:22.830
I've maybe seen like one or two clips of his, but like that's not really sufficient

00:55:22.830 --> 00:55:25.470
evidence to judge an entire person's work and output.

00:55:26.510 --> 00:55:28.990
You know, like that's that might not be a representative sample.

00:55:29.310 --> 00:55:32.830
Surely it was shaped by people's, you know, a desire to make him look bad.

00:55:32.910 --> 00:55:34.670
You know, take maybe it was taken out of context.

00:55:34.750 --> 00:55:35.390
Like, I don't know.

00:55:35.470 --> 00:55:40.030
I I really I feel like I don't have enough evidence to be confident one way or another, and

00:55:40.030 --> 00:55:40.910
yet I'm confident.

00:55:41.120 --> 00:55:41.440
I don't know.

00:55:41.520 --> 00:55:43.760
It's a weird schizophrenia in my in myself.

00:55:44.000 --> 00:55:44.240
Yeah.

00:55:46.720 --> 00:55:48.160
Just just really quickly on that.

00:55:48.720 --> 00:55:53.680
I mean, you might say you've got kind of higher order evidence, in as much as the people

00:55:53.680 --> 00:55:54.960
who you trust who think that.

00:55:56.000 --> 00:55:57.760
And often that's how we form beliefs.

00:55:57.840 --> 00:56:02.480
You know, even if you take it take away these sort of uh impression management concerns and

00:56:02.480 --> 00:56:07.070
status competition, You know, we we don't have first hand experience of of most of the

00:56:07.070 --> 00:56:08.270
things that we form beliefs about.

00:56:08.350 --> 00:56:11.790
And so we just rely upon people that that we trust to be good information sources.

00:56:12.030 --> 00:56:15.550
And if you're in a I'm I'm not saying this is necessarily what's going on in your case.

00:56:15.630 --> 00:56:19.790
It could just be pure, you know, this guy's uncool within your kind of prestige economy,

00:56:19.870 --> 00:56:22.590
but but it could also be the case that, you know, you're surrounded by people that you

00:56:22.590 --> 00:56:28.430
think are smart and generally sort of thoughtful when it comes to evaluating whether

00:56:28.430 --> 00:56:32.140
people are intellectually worthwhile you trust those people.

00:56:32.300 --> 00:56:36.380
And I think those sorts of explanations are often quite difficult to tease apart.

00:56:36.460 --> 00:56:40.780
You know, the the case in which you form a belief for its social benefits because it's

00:56:40.780 --> 00:56:45.100
going to make you look good, because that's the kind of the socially enforced orthodoxy

00:56:45.100 --> 00:56:46.540
within your reference network.

00:56:46.780 --> 00:56:50.540
Distinguishing that from cases in which, no, you are trying to get at the truth, but you're

00:56:50.540 --> 00:56:54.380
just forced to rely upon kind of the higher order evidence of what people in your social

00:56:54.380 --> 00:56:55.900
network take to be the case.

00:56:56.060 --> 00:56:59.740
Um, I think disentangling those two things is quite difficult in in some cases.

00:56:59.990 --> 00:57:00.150
Yeah.

00:57:00.390 --> 00:57:00.710
Yeah.

00:57:01.350 --> 00:57:01.670
Totally.

00:57:02.710 --> 00:57:07.670
Dan, one question we've asked people and to sort of maybe move things in a slightly

00:57:07.670 --> 00:57:13.670
different direction, just for a little bit at least, is how did you get interested in this?

00:57:14.870 --> 00:57:20.470
Many people we've talked to have sort of had an origin story, either with taking an

00:57:20.470 --> 00:57:25.030
evolutionary approach, but then also sort of a reason for why they study what they study.

00:57:25.190 --> 00:57:30.620
And I'm imagining people sort of wondering you know, you're interested in belief and its

00:57:30.620 --> 00:57:36.460
social strategic function, um, and you know, not to psychoanalyze you or yourself,

00:57:36.540 --> 00:57:40.620
but I mean, have you thought about sort of what when you're thinking about the these

00:57:40.620 --> 00:57:46.460
phenomena, is there do you either have like a life experience or was there something about,

00:57:46.540 --> 00:57:51.730
you know, you looked out in the world and you're like, this is weird or unjust or just

00:57:51.730 --> 00:57:52.370
strange?

00:57:52.610 --> 00:57:53.890
Like what what do you know?

00:57:53.970 --> 00:57:59.970
Do you have some notion of sort of why this particular thing and not study some something

00:57:59.970 --> 00:58:00.610
else?

00:58:01.650 --> 00:58:02.210
Hmm.

00:58:02.450 --> 00:58:08.370
Um so I mean I guess one part of that is why am I interested in

00:58:08.370 --> 00:58:13.650
the application of evolutionary ideas to psychology and behavior, which I think is quite um

00:58:13.890 --> 00:58:17.250
let's say unusual for a humanities academic.

00:58:18.260 --> 00:58:22.980
And and there, I mean, I mean who knows what the actual causes are, but the the kind of the

00:58:23.140 --> 00:58:29.060
the boring story which strikes me as uh plausible is just that when I was a teenager, I

00:58:29.060 --> 00:58:33.860
read books by you know Richard Dawkins, Stephen Pinker, a little bit later on, Dan Dennett.

00:58:34.340 --> 00:58:39.300
And since the the the minute I came across these ideas, the moment I came across these

00:58:39.300 --> 00:58:44.990
ideas, I just found them incredibly almost obviously compelling in a way that's never

00:58:44.990 --> 00:58:47.710
really been replicated in other areas of intellectual inquiry.

00:58:47.870 --> 00:58:53.230
Um, learning about evolution by natural selection, uh, just this sort of profound

00:58:53.230 --> 00:58:55.630
transformation in how I understood the world.

00:58:55.790 --> 00:59:01.070
And then also, more specifically, the idea that you know, applying uh uh

00:59:01.120 --> 00:59:05.200
evolutionary theory to understanding our minds and our behavior and our societies, that

00:59:05.200 --> 00:59:06.320
that would be fruitful.

00:59:06.480 --> 00:59:11.040
Um, again, just struck me as obvious from the the moment I came across this.

00:59:11.120 --> 00:59:12.480
Um, but that was young.

00:59:12.640 --> 00:59:18.480
And then I went into sort of university and eventually did a PhD and went into academia in

00:59:18.480 --> 00:59:19.200
the humanities.

00:59:19.280 --> 00:59:23.200
And there's this strange thing where you know I assumed learning this stuff as a teenager,

00:59:23.520 --> 00:59:29.280
that this is just like what our you know, uncontroversial picture of what human beings

00:59:29.280 --> 00:59:34.130
um uh Alike, inasmuch as we're products of evolution by natural selection, and that fact is

00:59:34.210 --> 00:59:36.050
relevant understanding of behavior.

00:59:36.210 --> 00:59:40.850
I assume that was just the kind of consensus view among all smart people for the most part,

00:59:40.930 --> 00:59:42.370
with some exceptions here and there.

00:59:42.530 --> 00:59:47.890
And then when I went into academia as someone in the humanities, I mean you'll both know

00:59:47.890 --> 00:59:53.650
this very well, it was this shock to me that evolutionary psychology, even understood in a

00:59:53.650 --> 00:59:57.580
really broad sense, is incredibly stigmatized.

00:59:57.660 --> 01:00:03.580
People are actively hostile to it, which I found

01:00:03.580 --> 01:00:06.860
just baffling and continue to find uh really baffling.

01:00:07.260 --> 01:00:12.300
Um, and so so that's sort of the origin story of how I got into evolutionary psychology in

01:00:12.300 --> 01:00:15.260
a way that I think is kind of unusual for a humanities academic.

01:00:15.340 --> 01:00:19.930
I just came across these ideas really early on, and before I could have been up

01:00:19.930 --> 01:00:24.730
indoctrinated, I think, by the kind of you know humanities style view of evolutionary

01:00:24.730 --> 01:00:25.530
psychology.

01:00:26.010 --> 01:00:30.010
Um and then in terms of my like specific research interests, I don't know.

01:00:30.090 --> 01:00:34.090
I feel like the the truth there is just really boring and mundane, which is that certain

01:00:34.090 --> 01:00:35.290
things I found interesting.

01:00:35.450 --> 01:00:37.930
I read certain people, I found their arguments persuasive.

01:00:38.090 --> 01:00:38.250
Yeah.

01:00:38.490 --> 01:00:44.140
Um and also, you know, yeah, yeah With within academia, it's this you know, sort of status

01:00:44.140 --> 01:00:47.820
game to come up with kind of interesting and engaging ideas.

01:00:47.980 --> 01:00:51.500
And so you you try to find those aspects of the literature that you think are most

01:00:51.500 --> 01:00:56.300
promising for generating new ideas, and especially if you've got a kind of rich theoretical

01:00:56.300 --> 01:00:58.940
framework that you can use to generate a few different ideas.

01:00:59.180 --> 01:01:03.630
Um, and and again, in that context, I've found you know, kind of evolutionary cognitive

01:01:03.630 --> 01:01:07.550
science, social science in the broadest possible sense of those terms, just incredibly

01:01:07.550 --> 01:01:08.190
fruitful.

01:01:08.510 --> 01:01:08.750
Yeah.

01:01:08.910 --> 01:01:09.070
Yeah.

01:01:09.310 --> 01:01:10.110
So that's the story.

01:01:10.350 --> 01:01:11.150
Yeah, no, thanks.

01:01:11.230 --> 01:01:11.550
That's great.

01:01:11.630 --> 01:01:16.350
And I mean, I think one of the other things that people might be listening, especially

01:01:16.350 --> 01:01:21.070
people who aren't familiar with your work, you know, we've talked about evolution not being

01:01:21.230 --> 01:01:26.700
just so story, and we have talked about examples of taking an approach and generating, have

01:01:26.700 --> 01:01:31.340
an idea of like the underlying function of this phenomenon is X, that makes additional

01:01:31.340 --> 01:01:31.820
predictions.

01:01:31.980 --> 01:01:33.100
We can test that.

01:01:33.580 --> 01:01:39.500
Um, do you have an example of when you talk about this to people or of your work

01:01:40.060 --> 01:01:45.740
where that functionalist approach that's saying that the underlying function of this weird

01:01:45.740 --> 01:01:48.220
thing is this other thing?

01:01:48.470 --> 01:01:53.830
And when we think about that and understand that, um, it makes predictions or gives us

01:01:53.830 --> 01:01:54.150
insight.

01:01:54.230 --> 01:01:58.710
Do you have an example of that for people who might not know your work that well?

01:01:59.270 --> 01:02:03.910
So I think what we've been talking about in terms of um you know motivated reasoning, what

01:02:03.910 --> 01:02:09.350
gets called self-deception and so on, with with within philosophy, um philosophy of mind,

01:02:09.510 --> 01:02:13.030
there's still this, I think, quite strong commitment to the, you know, you can't handle the

01:02:13.030 --> 01:02:18.380
truth model of Of these sorts of beliefs, that we believe things that

01:02:18.940 --> 01:02:23.340
we want to be true, that protect our self-esteem, that help us regulate our emotions and so

01:02:23.340 --> 01:02:23.660
on.

01:02:24.060 --> 01:02:27.980
And, you know, I've been pushing for a long time, you know, this is not really original,

01:02:28.060 --> 01:02:31.980
this is drawing on the work of, you know, David and Robert Trivers and Robert Wright and

01:02:31.980 --> 01:02:33.740
Richard Alexander and so on.

01:02:34.460 --> 01:02:38.300
Firstly, the idea that, as we've already talked about, that's just very implausible from an

01:02:38.300 --> 01:02:39.340
evolutionary perspective.

01:02:39.500 --> 01:02:40.940
And that I think should count against it.

01:02:41.020 --> 01:02:46.090
It doesn't rule it out definitively, um, because we do do things to regulate our emotions

01:02:46.090 --> 01:02:48.330
and sort of hedonic self-manipulation and so on.

01:02:48.490 --> 01:02:52.330
But at the very least, in terms of thinking about things in a careful, sort of rigorous

01:02:52.330 --> 01:02:57.450
way, theoretically, it's sort of mark against it, in as much as this is very bizarre as a

01:02:57.450 --> 01:02:59.610
view from an evolutionary perspective.

01:03:00.250 --> 01:03:06.250
But then also if you take a a kind of a a a a goal which makes a lot more evolutionary

01:03:06.250 --> 01:03:12.160
sense, as we've been talking about something like advocacy or propaganda, where the goal

01:03:12.160 --> 01:03:16.320
is not to adjust your own psychological state, but to influence other agents and their

01:03:16.320 --> 01:03:18.320
mental states in advantageous ways.

01:03:18.880 --> 01:03:24.880
I think if you then understand lots of these biased beliefs as being wrapped up with

01:03:24.880 --> 01:03:28.800
these motivations towards advocacy, that can then not only does it have this sort of

01:03:28.800 --> 01:03:33.760
evolutionary plausibility, I think it explains a whole suite of patterns that we see that

01:03:33.760 --> 01:03:38.710
you don't get from the I can't handle the truth model of self-deception.

01:03:38.950 --> 01:03:42.470
Um, one of them, and you've written about this, I can't remember exactly where, David, but

01:03:42.550 --> 01:03:46.790
but it's the fact that you know often we we're biased to believe things that we don't want

01:03:46.790 --> 01:03:48.790
to be true in a way that's very confusing.

01:03:48.870 --> 01:03:52.310
If you've got this, you know, you can't handle the truth model of self-deception, like

01:03:52.390 --> 01:03:56.950
believing that there are witches engaging in these like audiastic gatherings, you know,

01:03:57.030 --> 01:03:59.110
under cover of night against the community.

01:03:59.270 --> 01:04:02.230
That's not something people believe for reasons of emotional comfort.

01:04:02.310 --> 01:04:05.900
Um, believing in hell, you know, it's not the kind of thing people believe, so it makes

01:04:05.900 --> 01:04:07.020
them feel good about the world.

01:04:07.260 --> 01:04:11.820
Believing that the rival group is this incredibly threatening, malevolent force, it's not

01:04:11.820 --> 01:04:13.340
gonna, you know, make you sleep better at night.

01:04:13.500 --> 01:04:15.260
These are often quite distressing beliefs.

01:04:15.340 --> 01:04:15.420
Yeah.

01:04:15.660 --> 01:04:19.100
But in each of those cases, they serve these sort of propagandistic purposes, right?

01:04:19.180 --> 01:04:23.180
If you can demonize someone as a witch, you send a signal about your intentions towards

01:04:23.180 --> 01:04:25.260
them, you you you denigrate their reputation.

01:04:25.490 --> 01:04:29.250
If you can portray a rival group as being incredibly threatening and dangerous, well,

01:04:29.330 --> 01:04:30.450
that's useful propaganda.

01:04:30.610 --> 01:04:34.530
So it makes sense that we'll be biased towards those kinds of beliefs, even if it's not

01:04:34.530 --> 01:04:36.290
something that would like to be true.

01:04:36.530 --> 01:04:41.970
And I also think it explains why we sort of touched on this a little bit already, but why

01:04:42.050 --> 01:04:47.010
when it comes to sort of motivated cognition, these cases where our practical motivations

01:04:47.010 --> 01:04:52.530
bias our beliefs, there seems to be this sort of rationalization constraint where, you

01:04:52.530 --> 01:04:57.060
know, generally we're only going to internalize something in as much as we can find sort of

01:04:57.060 --> 01:05:02.180
epistemic justifications for it, if we can find evidence and arguments that that that uh

01:05:02.260 --> 01:05:06.820
are consistent with that with that idea, even if they're not good, judge objectively.

01:05:06.980 --> 01:05:10.820
And again, I think that kind of makes sense on a sort of propagandistic, you know, uh uh

01:05:11.060 --> 01:05:11.940
rationale.

01:05:12.100 --> 01:05:16.900
Um, if the goal of these beliefs is to be spread and to persuade and to propagandise, then

01:05:16.900 --> 01:05:20.660
it makes sense that you would try to recruit selectively evidence and arguments in favor of

01:05:20.660 --> 01:05:20.820
them.

01:05:20.980 --> 01:05:25.650
Whereas if the goal is merely to indulge in this sort of you know masturbatory wishful

01:05:25.650 --> 01:05:29.650
thinking, it's very unclear why you would need to recruit these these forms of evidence and

01:05:29.650 --> 01:05:30.210
arguments.

01:05:30.450 --> 01:05:34.050
So off the top of my head, I mean that that sort of those arguments in different places

01:05:34.050 --> 01:05:38.690
have been made before, but I think it's a really clear case where um, you know, taking a

01:05:38.690 --> 01:05:42.210
kind of evolutionary perspective that says, look, here's this striking thing about human

01:05:42.210 --> 01:05:46.690
psychology, let's try to explain it in terms of the goals that would actually make sense

01:05:46.690 --> 01:05:50.530
from an evolutionary perspective, including the perspective of what are the actual

01:05:50.530 --> 01:05:54.200
selection pressures that we confronted ancestrally, which had to do with playing these

01:05:54.200 --> 01:05:55.320
complex social games.

01:05:55.560 --> 01:05:59.800
So start with that as your kind of your guiding set of priors.

01:06:00.200 --> 01:06:05.320
And then building on that, show how it illuminates many aspects of this phenomenon that

01:06:05.320 --> 01:06:07.000
would otherwise be be quite puzzling.

01:06:07.240 --> 01:06:11.400
That's something that sort of jumps to mind as a really good case.

01:06:11.560 --> 01:06:17.550
Um where I think, you know, taking this broad evolutionary perspective really helps to

01:06:17.550 --> 01:06:22.030
eliminate something which is sort of central to the human condition and I think widely

01:06:22.030 --> 01:06:25.470
misunderstood by people who don't bother with the evolutionary perspective at all.

01:06:25.790 --> 01:06:26.110
Yeah.

01:06:26.990 --> 01:06:30.910
For and you know, when you think about beliefs, right, you know, I think we've talked,

01:06:31.390 --> 01:06:37.150
David and I have talked a bit about cynical approaches to ourselves.

01:06:37.310 --> 01:06:41.640
And in some sense, it's sort of humbling because it applies to ourselves, right?

01:06:41.720 --> 01:06:44.360
And it's sort of being like, well, what am I?

01:06:44.760 --> 01:06:46.040
What do I believe?

01:06:46.280 --> 01:06:51.320
And you know, I think all of us who take an evolutionary approach as professionals, I mean,

01:06:51.400 --> 01:06:55.080
to varying degrees, we sort of have our work hat and life hat.

01:06:55.240 --> 01:07:00.120
But I'm wondering, like, for you, and I'm sort of for for people listening, and and David,

01:07:00.200 --> 01:07:04.280
this question is for you too, because I think you you guys both are sort of the world um

01:07:04.280 --> 01:07:05.800
experts on this.

01:07:06.120 --> 01:07:11.130
Um, When you're thinking about social biases or propagandistic biases, or even if we get

01:07:11.130 --> 01:07:15.210
rid of the word bias, and just say, like, you know, the reason why we do these things is

01:07:15.210 --> 01:07:16.570
for these reasons.

01:07:16.970 --> 01:07:22.650
Um, do you find yourself like in a day-to-day way, sort of like, is it helpful?

01:07:22.810 --> 01:07:26.410
Like I think some people might think it's sort of oppressive and cynical.

01:07:26.570 --> 01:07:31.360
Do you actually find it liberating or a nice check on sort of just double checking your

01:07:31.360 --> 01:07:31.760
assumptions?

01:07:31.920 --> 01:07:37.760
Like David is gonna go and read two hours worth of Jordan Peterson after this, I'm sure.

01:07:38.240 --> 01:07:43.520
Um you know, like that kind of like, you know, are there for people listening who might

01:07:43.520 --> 01:07:47.680
just think it's all cynical and and sort of you're just trying to say people are stupid?

01:07:47.840 --> 01:07:51.200
Like what I'm not saying you're saying that, or either of you, you know, and I I know you

01:07:51.200 --> 01:07:53.920
guys both are very explicit about the opposite point.

01:07:54.080 --> 01:07:55.760
Um, but yeah, do you know what I'm getting at?

01:07:55.840 --> 01:08:01.770
Like, do you how do you think about, you know what's the what tools does this give you in

01:08:01.770 --> 01:08:05.610
your day-to-day existence that people might want to pick up?

01:08:06.650 --> 01:08:10.010
Yeah, I mean I'd really interested in in David's view on this as well, because obviously

01:08:10.090 --> 01:08:12.890
it's something he's he's thought a massive amount uh about.

01:08:13.050 --> 01:08:18.170
So I guess there's a question of um what do we gain from this sort of perspective on belief

01:08:18.250 --> 01:08:22.250
specifically, and then what might we gain from a sort of more cynical view of human

01:08:22.250 --> 01:08:23.850
motivation in general?

01:08:24.090 --> 01:08:29.820
Um What I would say is, I mean, this is a framework for thinking about our psychology and

01:08:29.820 --> 01:08:34.700
our behavior that is, you know, part of a the the scientific project.

01:08:35.580 --> 01:08:40.140
So, you know, it needn't be the case that the things we learn in science would benefit us

01:08:40.140 --> 01:08:43.020
in the ordinary interactions we're we're having with each other.

01:08:43.100 --> 01:08:46.140
There's no a priori reason why why that should be the case.

01:08:46.370 --> 01:08:51.570
Um, and it's not obvious to me that that you know, you do kind of benefit from having these

01:08:51.570 --> 01:08:56.690
sorts of like understanding of the the the deeper causes of your beliefs and and and the

01:08:56.690 --> 01:08:59.810
way in which you think and reason in terms of just ordinary social life.

01:08:59.890 --> 01:09:04.850
You know, if I think about like would would my mum benefit from having uh uh an

01:09:04.850 --> 01:09:06.690
understanding of socially adaptive beliefs?

01:09:06.900 --> 01:09:07.780
Almost certainly not.

01:09:08.100 --> 01:09:11.540
I don't think she'd like positively benefit in her practical life.

01:09:11.940 --> 01:09:14.420
It might even be disadvantageous in various ways.

01:09:14.660 --> 01:09:18.500
But in the scientific project, we're trying to understand the way that the world really is.

01:09:18.660 --> 01:09:22.820
And that's important because sometimes it really matters to understand the way that the

01:09:22.820 --> 01:09:23.700
world really is.

01:09:24.020 --> 01:09:26.180
And this is something maybe, maybe we can get into.

01:09:26.260 --> 01:09:30.500
But you know, the reason I think it's important is when it comes to stepping back and

01:09:30.500 --> 01:09:35.410
thinking about society, thinking about social organization, thinking about the kinds of

01:09:35.410 --> 01:09:39.170
political projects that are likely to work, thinking more reflectively about the human

01:09:39.170 --> 01:09:39.650
condition.

01:09:39.890 --> 01:09:43.090
Those are cases in which I think it's really important to have an accurate understanding of

01:09:43.570 --> 01:09:44.530
what's going on.

01:09:44.770 --> 01:09:48.370
And that's where I would place the value of this kind of perspective.

01:09:48.610 --> 01:09:53.410
It might have value in terms of making us more reflective about our own biases and so on,

01:09:53.490 --> 01:09:55.940
but um, I think that's a slightly more complex case.

01:09:56.020 --> 01:10:00.580
And I, you know, I wouldn't assume that there there must be a practical value in knowing

01:10:00.580 --> 01:10:04.900
the truth, given that the whole point is actually we often advance our interests by not

01:10:04.900 --> 01:10:06.660
following the truth in a disinterested way.

01:10:06.820 --> 01:10:08.020
So that's the first thing that comes to mind.

01:10:08.100 --> 01:10:09.940
But I'm interested in your views, David, as well.

01:10:10.420 --> 01:10:12.420
Yeah, that was really well put, Dan.

01:10:12.580 --> 01:10:14.740
Um I agree with 100% of it.

01:10:14.820 --> 01:10:18.260
Um, and I'm inclined to say um the exact same things.

01:10:18.580 --> 01:10:24.490
Um yeah, I I I love the point that we shouldn't automatically assume that knowledge of

01:10:24.490 --> 01:10:30.170
the truth is going to be personally advantageous to us, especially if concealing the truth

01:10:30.170 --> 01:10:34.810
is often advantageous to us, as as we've been talking about pretty much this whole time.

01:10:35.130 --> 01:10:40.330
Um so yeah, has it been advantageous to me?

01:10:40.570 --> 01:10:46.500
Um I don't know that it has like leaked into my personal life enough for me to

01:10:46.500 --> 01:10:49.060
really say because I there are sort of two hats you can put on.

01:10:49.140 --> 01:10:53.780
You can put on your scientist hat, your philosopher hat and think about the human condition

01:10:53.780 --> 01:10:58.020
on an abstract level, and then you can just do your day day-to-day chores and live your

01:10:58.020 --> 01:11:03.860
day-to-day life and you know uh do the dishes or whatever and and um and and

01:11:03.940 --> 01:11:06.420
and then and that part of your brain is just turned off.

01:11:06.660 --> 01:11:10.770
Um so I don't know that it has affected my day-to-day life that much.

01:11:10.930 --> 01:11:16.450
Occasionally it like it gives me more insight into why people do things.

01:11:16.610 --> 01:11:22.050
Um, it helps me avoid bullshit, I think, better uh and and to better understand where it

01:11:22.050 --> 01:11:23.970
comes from and and how to avoid it.

01:11:24.130 --> 01:11:29.920
Um one thing I've noticed is that it makes me less surprised by

01:11:29.920 --> 01:11:34.560
things happening in the world, I think that's often a good way of checking whether your

01:11:34.560 --> 01:11:39.600
world model is accurate, is that if you're less surprised by things, because that that's a

01:11:39.600 --> 01:11:43.840
sign that your that your predictions are are uh are coming true a lot and you have good you

01:11:43.840 --> 01:11:44.720
have a good predictive model.

01:11:44.880 --> 01:11:48.080
If you're constantly surprised and taken aback by everything, that's a sign that you have a

01:11:48.080 --> 01:11:50.400
pretty crappy predictive model of how the world works.

01:11:51.280 --> 01:11:51.680
Yeah, exactly.

01:11:52.160 --> 01:11:53.200
Yeah, you're like a baby.

01:11:53.570 --> 01:11:58.850
Um so I f you know, I with with the political chaos surrounding uh the Trump stuff

01:11:58.850 --> 01:12:03.410
recently, you know, uh with the the uh the whipsawing between different views on the

01:12:03.410 --> 01:12:07.090
tariffs and different justifications that that the Republicans are are launching into.

01:12:07.170 --> 01:12:11.490
Like first the tariffs are are uh are great and you know, you don't have to worry about

01:12:11.490 --> 01:12:12.370
prices increasing.

01:12:12.450 --> 01:12:16.370
We should well consumerism is really just uh a bad thing, you know.

01:12:16.930 --> 01:12:22.260
These these crazy about faces that we're seeing um politically right now, people have come

01:12:22.260 --> 01:12:24.580
to me like, Wow, I can't believe this is happening.

01:12:24.740 --> 01:12:27.540
Like, isn't this such amazing evidence for alliance theory?

01:12:27.700 --> 01:12:30.020
I'm like, Oh yeah, I I I barely noticed it on it.

01:12:30.100 --> 01:12:31.700
Like it it it didn't surprise me at all.

01:12:31.860 --> 01:12:36.580
Like it just kind of w was part of the background radiation of my life because I it was

01:12:36.580 --> 01:12:41.380
just so expected to me that that that these kinds of propagandistic responses would uh

01:12:41.540 --> 01:12:42.420
would pop up.

01:12:42.820 --> 01:12:45.770
Uh and um so maybe that's a bad thing.

01:12:45.850 --> 01:12:47.850
Like maybe I should be more surprised by this.

01:12:48.010 --> 01:12:52.650
Um and you know maybe you know maybe that surprises doing something for people and like

01:12:52.650 --> 01:12:55.690
motivating them to uh engage in more political activism.

01:12:55.770 --> 01:12:56.730
I don't know.

01:12:56.890 --> 01:13:01.210
Um but that's one way in which it has affected me.

01:13:01.690 --> 01:13:04.410
Um yeah there's lots more to say on this topic.

01:13:04.490 --> 01:13:08.540
I don't know that I've said everything, but that's yeah that's what comes to the top of my

01:13:08.540 --> 01:13:08.700
head.

01:13:08.780 --> 01:13:08.860
Yeah.

01:13:09.100 --> 01:13:09.260
Yeah.

01:13:09.340 --> 01:13:13.660
And a real related question is sort of how, and Dan, this is more for you because you're

01:13:13.660 --> 01:13:18.220
the guest, but I am also interested in what David has to say, is how do people react to

01:13:18.220 --> 01:13:24.140
this, whether professionally, um, the people that you're you know arguing with um

01:13:24.300 --> 01:13:29.900
professionally or also just sort of day-to-day, um, you know, because you're telling them

01:13:29.900 --> 01:13:34.540
something that we're talking about is sort of intrinsically revealing, it's pulling the

01:13:34.540 --> 01:13:37.630
curtain back on on our on on us.

01:13:38.030 --> 01:13:42.270
And you know, as we've already talked about and alluded to, there there's probably good

01:13:42.270 --> 01:13:48.270
reasons uh for our evolved psychology to not like that revelation.

01:13:48.430 --> 01:13:54.350
So and again, you're kind of working you're basically on this theory, the

01:13:54.350 --> 01:13:57.870
science of doing this should be sort of aversive to people.

01:13:58.030 --> 01:14:00.510
Is that uh is that prediction borne out?

01:14:00.670 --> 01:14:05.860
Or are there enough people, maybe at least in your professional day-to-day, you know, that

01:14:05.940 --> 01:14:09.540
that they sort of they've trained themselves enough to sort of appreciate what you're

01:14:09.540 --> 01:14:09.780
doing?

01:14:09.860 --> 01:14:14.180
How what's the temperature on the street in terms of the reception to the work?

01:14:14.260 --> 01:14:17.300
Um I don't know.

01:14:17.380 --> 01:14:18.660
It's good good question.

01:14:18.900 --> 01:14:24.570
Um I think that um so you know my view is

01:14:24.650 --> 01:14:29.210
everyone is biased um when it comes to thinking about the world for for you know many of

01:14:29.210 --> 01:14:34.810
the reasons that we've talked about and um for me that's a kind of insight of modern

01:14:34.810 --> 01:14:40.330
science and um i mean that sounds like grandiose like but but I think on a certain

01:14:40.330 --> 01:14:45.260
interpretation of what it is to be biased um I think we we've got enough evidence now that

01:14:45.740 --> 01:14:48.380
scientists should sign on to that being the case.

01:14:49.020 --> 01:14:53.420
And yeah, there are whole parts of the sciences where if you suggest the possibility that

01:14:53.420 --> 01:14:57.820
like research might be subject to certain kinds of biases, there's this explosive reaction.

01:14:57.980 --> 01:15:01.980
So we haven't really talked about this today, but one of the areas I'm kind of interested

01:15:01.980 --> 01:15:07.910
in as a philosopher of science is modern misinformation research, where people

01:15:07.910 --> 01:15:13.830
try to study the nature, the causes, the sort of prevalence, the consequences of something

01:15:13.830 --> 01:15:17.350
called misinformation, and also things like disinformation and so on.

01:15:17.590 --> 01:15:21.750
And that's interesting because I think it kind of exists at two levels.

01:15:21.830 --> 01:15:25.750
You know, at one level there's the question of what we've been talking about, which is why

01:15:25.750 --> 01:15:29.110
do people believe what they believe, and why do people sometimes believe false things and

01:15:29.110 --> 01:15:30.710
things that aren't supported by the evidence?

01:15:30.870 --> 01:15:35.510
But you can also ask those questions about the people who are studying misinformation.

01:15:35.740 --> 01:15:40.700
Um and so I've pointed out various ways in which I think this field is often kind of biased

01:15:40.780 --> 01:15:45.580
in terms of the examples of misinformation it focuses on, how it focuses on the topic.

01:15:45.820 --> 01:15:51.820
And you know, there's been a pretty um negative reaction to some of that among people

01:15:51.980 --> 01:15:53.180
within that field.

01:15:53.340 --> 01:15:57.660
And I think that generalizes more broadly, I think lots of people in the social sciences,

01:15:57.820 --> 01:16:03.730
even though they're happy to um uh when they're describing, you know, the Hoi Paloi,

01:16:03.810 --> 01:16:08.050
the great unwash, the kind of ordinary people, to point at these various biases that sort

01:16:08.050 --> 01:16:11.330
of corrupt their cognitive processes and interfere with how they view the world.

01:16:11.570 --> 01:16:15.490
If there's the suggestion that they as researchers might also be human beings who are

01:16:15.490 --> 01:16:19.650
subject to these sorts of biases, there's often this incredibly kind of explosive reaction.

01:16:19.890 --> 01:16:24.680
So that's maybe one area where it has resulted in backlash.

01:16:24.840 --> 01:16:30.760
Um but I think there are also just people who um for whatever reason find these

01:16:30.760 --> 01:16:34.280
ideas interesting and um compelling.

01:16:34.360 --> 01:16:38.920
And and after all, like within the the social sciences, within intellectual inquiry, we are

01:16:38.920 --> 01:16:42.520
ostensibly playing this status game where we care about the truth and we care about you

01:16:42.520 --> 01:16:44.600
know what's supported by evidence and arguments.

01:16:44.840 --> 01:16:48.920
And like within that context I think it can often be you know quite alluring to come across

01:16:48.920 --> 01:16:52.670
these sorts of ideas which will better help illuminate certain kinds of phenomena.

01:16:52.830 --> 01:16:56.270
So those are the things kind of kind of that immediately jump jump to mind.

01:16:56.350 --> 01:16:59.950
But I mean you've you both also, I guess, must have encountered similar things.

01:17:00.110 --> 01:17:03.790
David, because you're an outright self-described cynic, and Dave because you're an

01:17:03.790 --> 01:17:07.230
evolutionary psychologist, which people often think of as as being cynical.

01:17:07.470 --> 01:17:09.310
So I'd be interested what what you two think as well.

01:17:09.470 --> 01:17:10.110
Yeah.

01:17:10.910 --> 01:17:15.680
For me, I think um the fact that I almost kind of play a character on everything is

01:17:15.680 --> 01:17:16.160
bullshit.

01:17:16.240 --> 01:17:20.160
I think that gives me some cover that like people know that it's kind of tongue in cheek

01:17:20.240 --> 01:17:23.520
and they and I and I get less backlash because of that.

01:17:23.680 --> 01:17:29.120
So I I found that that's a pretty good strategy uh in terms of avoiding backlash, just to

01:17:29.120 --> 01:17:31.040
sort of be playful about it.

01:17:31.200 --> 01:17:34.800
Um and and try to you know find the humor in it.

01:17:34.880 --> 01:17:40.000
I think that uh has been very helpful for me in sort of helping the medicine of this

01:17:40.000 --> 01:17:41.200
message go down.

01:17:41.680 --> 01:17:47.450
Um but um and also just writing versus saying it out loud is

01:17:47.450 --> 01:17:48.090
often helpful.

01:17:48.170 --> 01:17:52.010
Like if I say some of these things out loud, I often you know get you know dirty looks or

01:17:52.010 --> 01:17:52.250
whatever.

01:17:52.330 --> 01:17:56.410
But if I write them, you know, it's it's all of a sudden a different medium and I don't

01:17:56.410 --> 01:17:59.610
have to deal with people's facial expressions because I don't see them.

01:17:59.850 --> 01:18:01.130
Um yeah, I don't know.

01:18:01.290 --> 01:18:05.850
Um I mean, certainly, I mean, uh, you know, hostility against evolutionary approaches is is

01:18:05.850 --> 01:18:06.490
ubiquitous.

01:18:06.650 --> 01:18:10.090
It's had it's certainly gotten better in the past few decades, but it's still there.

01:18:10.250 --> 01:18:16.160
Um and uh and you know the hostility against evolution, hostility against cynicism, and

01:18:16.160 --> 01:18:18.400
when you combine them, you get double hostility.

01:18:18.640 --> 01:18:23.680
Um but um I don't know, par part of me kinda likes it though, like if if if everyone

01:18:23.680 --> 01:18:27.680
perfectly agrees with everything I say and and there's no disagreement and I'm not like

01:18:27.760 --> 01:18:29.360
challenging anything like it's just boring.

01:18:29.520 --> 01:18:33.680
So part of me kinda likes the thrill of of pushing back against the conventional wisdom.

01:18:33.760 --> 01:18:36.080
So you know, it's it's a it's a mixed bag, I'd say.

01:18:36.370 --> 01:18:36.690
don't know.

01:18:36.770 --> 01:18:37.490
What do you think, Dave?

01:18:37.810 --> 01:18:39.570
I I think I like that last part.

01:18:39.650 --> 01:18:43.730
And I think, you know, I I often I talk about this story of like, you know, I one of my

01:18:43.730 --> 01:18:47.810
good friends at the Mox Plunk when I first met him, he's like, I hate evolutionary

01:18:47.810 --> 01:18:48.370
psychology.

01:18:48.450 --> 01:18:49.410
And I was like, great.

01:18:49.570 --> 01:18:53.570
I sat down eagerly and was like, I pulled up a chair for him and I was like, tell me why

01:18:53.570 --> 01:18:54.210
you hate it.

01:18:54.370 --> 01:18:57.730
You know, because like I thought I hated it when I first encountered it too.

01:18:57.890 --> 01:19:02.180
And and and like it turns out that he he hated what I hated.

01:19:02.340 --> 01:19:04.500
And actually we agreed essentially.

01:19:04.580 --> 01:19:06.500
Like he had a misrepresentation.

01:19:06.660 --> 01:19:12.340
Um, and so for me, I sort of I maybe it's sort of like David's not surprised, where it's so

01:19:12.340 --> 01:19:13.300
much in the water.

01:19:13.540 --> 01:19:16.740
The default is it's gonna be misunderstood.

01:19:16.980 --> 01:19:22.890
Um, and so for me, it's sort of like I'm an anthropologist of sort of like, oh, do

01:19:22.890 --> 01:19:26.730
I understand this particular instance of the misunderstanding?

01:19:26.890 --> 01:19:32.730
And it's not that I'm sort of like um uh trying to

01:19:32.730 --> 01:19:37.690
convert everybody, but it's just sort of like trying to map, like, you know, like, does

01:19:37.690 --> 01:19:41.450
this person have a good faith effort trying to understand something and they're

01:19:41.450 --> 01:19:42.170
misinformed?

01:19:42.330 --> 01:19:46.420
Is it just that it's a status game and they just don't like the people.

01:19:46.580 --> 01:19:48.020
Do they have a good reason for that or not?

01:19:48.180 --> 01:19:50.580
You know, and that informs sort of like, do I try?

01:19:50.740 --> 01:19:55.300
Um, but for me, I just sort of view it as an interesting scientific enterprise, but I still

01:19:55.300 --> 01:19:56.580
do get like worked up.

01:19:56.660 --> 01:20:00.820
Um, although, as like we had a Deb Lieberman on, and she said, you know, as you get older

01:20:00.980 --> 01:20:04.500
and not everything is life or death, not every paper that's get rejected, you know, the

01:20:04.500 --> 01:20:08.100
beginning when you're a grad student and you're like, you think, okay, I have a really good

01:20:08.100 --> 01:20:08.580
argument.

01:20:08.740 --> 01:20:11.140
You know, it still hurts to get a paper rejected, you know.

01:20:11.220 --> 01:20:15.750
Like I know David and I just had, you know, we both had like really big important papers

01:20:15.750 --> 01:20:19.350
that we think are really important, get rejected for I think really dumb reasons.

01:20:19.510 --> 01:20:21.510
That always hurts no matter what your approach is.

01:20:21.590 --> 01:20:23.350
And so, you know, I think that always hurts.

01:20:23.590 --> 01:20:29.510
But, you know, as each one is less important than I think, you know, I just

01:20:29.510 --> 01:20:35.430
sort of it's just again, as David said, it's just sort of part of the expectation for me

01:20:35.510 --> 01:20:35.990
at least.

01:20:36.150 --> 01:20:36.550
Yeah.

01:20:36.870 --> 01:20:42.620
For the misinformation one, Dan, Do you think that it's because people think you are

01:20:42.780 --> 01:20:43.980
have an agenda?

01:20:44.540 --> 01:20:49.340
Um, and that like, you know, what do you have you thought about sort of why people are

01:20:49.340 --> 01:20:50.940
pushing back against it?

01:20:51.660 --> 01:20:52.860
Maybe I do have an agenda.

01:20:52.940 --> 01:20:58.060
I mean, maybe there is a set of motivations which I'm not motivated to acknowledge.

01:20:58.300 --> 01:21:00.220
Um it's it's complicated.

01:21:00.300 --> 01:21:05.980
I mean, a lot of it is it's yeah, I mean, that's such a complicated sort of can of worms to

01:21:05.980 --> 01:21:06.380
open.

01:21:06.460 --> 01:21:11.350
Um I mean, just just to focus on one part of it psychology and the social sciences

01:21:11.590 --> 01:21:17.270
overwhelmingly skewed towards the left, um, sort of liberal left

01:21:17.270 --> 01:21:17.990
politics.

01:21:18.310 --> 01:21:22.790
And um, you know, I think your your prior should be that if you've got an entire field

01:21:22.790 --> 01:21:28.070
where people share political allegiances, that's going to influence the ways in which they

01:21:28.070 --> 01:21:32.800
seek out, interpret, evaluate, process information and so on, conduct studies,

01:21:33.040 --> 01:21:35.760
operationalize things, how they measure things, etc.

01:21:36.080 --> 01:21:40.880
And then I think that should be your prior based on general models of human psychology.

01:21:41.040 --> 01:21:47.040
And then I think when you look at misinformation research, um just as you look at many

01:21:47.040 --> 01:21:51.360
aspects of the modern social sciences where they're studying sort of politically relevant

01:21:51.360 --> 01:21:55.920
things, I think you find lots of cases where these sorts of, you know, progressive ideas,

01:21:56.080 --> 01:22:00.910
values, partisan allegiances influence the kind of research that they're doing.

01:22:01.150 --> 01:22:06.510
And, you know, there's this sort of familiar set of coalitional dynamics where if you point

01:22:06.510 --> 01:22:10.510
that out, the inference people are going to draw on is you're not on the right team.

01:22:10.670 --> 01:22:16.110
Um so there there was an article in a uh Time magazine published recently um

01:22:16.590 --> 01:22:22.510
which links one of my my articles as an example of someone defending the authoritarian

01:22:22.510 --> 01:22:28.260
agenda, i.e., defending um Donald Trump and MAGA and so on and his attacks

01:22:28.260 --> 01:22:33.380
on institutions, which, you know, for anyone who knows anything about my political views, I

01:22:33.380 --> 01:22:35.300
find absolutely absurd.

01:22:35.460 --> 01:22:40.020
It's not at all a political coalition that I've got any sympathy for.

01:22:40.260 --> 01:22:44.500
Um, but but nevertheless, the idea is if you're criticizing, or or at least if you're even

01:22:44.500 --> 01:22:48.500
just pointing out that there is a kind of liberal bias in this research in such a heated,

01:22:48.750 --> 01:22:54.190
polarized political context, then familiar coalitional dynamics are going to kick in and

01:22:54.190 --> 01:22:57.150
it's going to be well, like you're either with us or you're against us, right?

01:22:57.230 --> 01:23:00.110
If you're criticizing us in this way, you must be trying to support the other team.

01:23:00.270 --> 01:23:00.750
Right, right.

01:23:00.910 --> 01:23:05.150
And I think that makes sense in the context of ordinary kind of partisan debate.

01:23:05.230 --> 01:23:08.430
I think it's unfortunate that even there for various reasons.

01:23:08.590 --> 01:23:13.790
But I think it's so destructive to science because science, you know, its esteem within

01:23:13.790 --> 01:23:18.260
society, which I think is, you know, deserved for the most part, is wrapped up with the

01:23:18.260 --> 01:23:22.020
fact that it's our best way of escaping these kinds of partisan biases.

01:23:22.180 --> 01:23:27.380
We try to institutionalize various procedures and we try to enforce various sorts of norms,

01:23:27.540 --> 01:23:32.660
which are gonna enable us to overcome these sorts of familiar forms of coalitional politics

01:23:32.740 --> 01:23:34.180
to try to get at the truth.

01:23:34.420 --> 01:23:39.940
And I think it's a real big problem for science, both in terms of its capacity to generate

01:23:39.940 --> 01:23:45.150
knowledge, but also in terms of its public reputation, if it's seen as being subject to the

01:23:45.150 --> 01:23:49.390
same forces that that apply when it comes to ordinary partisan politics.

01:23:49.630 --> 01:23:52.670
Um I've forgotten what the question is now, but that that's one case.

01:23:53.150 --> 01:23:53.550
Yeah, yeah, yeah.

01:23:53.630 --> 01:23:58.110
Just no, it was like sort of why or what yeah, why people do push put push back against it.

01:23:58.190 --> 01:24:03.040
And I mean, just to sort of follow up on that, I think like um if you're c if you're saying

01:24:03.040 --> 01:24:09.040
that like misinformation research is skewing in a particular way, one inference

01:24:09.040 --> 01:24:10.880
is like, well, you're for the other side.

01:24:11.040 --> 01:24:16.560
It's interesting that the the inference isn't, well, what are the ways in which our

01:24:16.560 --> 01:24:18.400
values we're not living up to?

01:24:18.480 --> 01:24:18.720
Right.

01:24:18.800 --> 01:24:22.640
Like, I mean, it would be nice if that was sort of the way people approach things.

01:24:22.720 --> 01:24:26.590
I mean, for reasons like David's studies, that that's typically not.

01:24:26.750 --> 01:24:30.670
It's rare, but I mean, you know, I think that would be the ideal, would be to sort of say,

01:24:30.750 --> 01:24:36.590
you know, if we really think if we really do hold these values, what would we predict

01:24:36.990 --> 01:24:42.270
in pointing out ways in which we're um we're not being consistent

01:24:42.830 --> 01:24:44.350
as David has documented?

01:24:44.430 --> 01:24:47.470
Well, it's sort of uh it's being coalitional.

01:24:47.550 --> 01:24:49.070
I think that's a good adjective, right?

01:24:49.150 --> 01:24:53.310
Is to sort of, and this is for me actually, for me, this is actually gets back to this

01:24:53.310 --> 01:24:56.840
question of like what what do I use my work for?

01:24:57.400 --> 01:25:01.080
And I often check myself just being, am I being coalitional about this?

01:25:01.160 --> 01:25:01.320
Right.

01:25:01.480 --> 01:25:07.160
Like it feels good to sort of defend my side, but then I'm like, but is this a

01:25:07.160 --> 01:25:11.560
situation where I'm taking sides as opposed to taking a principle?

01:25:11.720 --> 01:25:11.960
Right.

01:25:12.120 --> 01:25:17.960
And there's many times throughout, especially like if I look on social media or

01:25:18.280 --> 01:25:23.370
these things that are not just sort of dispassionate, like quote unquote boring scientific

01:25:23.370 --> 01:25:26.490
issues, but these charged issues, they're very coalitional, of course.

01:25:26.570 --> 01:25:28.410
That's why they're charged.

01:25:28.570 --> 01:25:32.090
Um, that's where I often find myself sort of checking myself.

01:25:32.170 --> 01:25:36.250
And I do this thing of like, I almost flip the coalitional side where it's like, you know,

01:25:36.330 --> 01:25:40.090
if if the other political party that I support said this, what would I think?

01:25:40.250 --> 01:25:45.540
You know, or if it's something my political party says, I flip it into like try to simulate

01:25:45.540 --> 01:25:46.340
as best I can.

01:25:46.500 --> 01:25:48.740
If this was coming from the other side, what would I think?

01:25:48.980 --> 01:25:51.380
I think like that's a useful heuristic.

01:25:51.700 --> 01:25:57.380
Um, and so it's not surprising that when you're presenting

01:25:57.380 --> 01:26:01.700
something that is you're saying it's skewed, that there's a concern.

01:26:01.860 --> 01:26:03.140
I mean, you would predict it, right?

01:26:03.220 --> 01:26:07.060
That there's a concern about like whose side are you on and what's your agenda.

01:26:07.220 --> 01:26:10.260
But it's but it's interesting that that it plays out that way.

01:26:12.470 --> 01:26:13.830
I'm curious, Dan.

01:26:13.990 --> 01:26:19.830
I feel like one stop on this train of examining our biases is

01:26:19.830 --> 01:26:22.070
uh a kind of epistemic nihilism.

01:26:22.470 --> 01:26:27.830
Uh and I don't mean epistemic nihilism in the sense that truth is impossible to

01:26:28.070 --> 01:26:28.950
achieve.

01:26:29.190 --> 01:26:34.710
Um, I don't mean epistemic nihilism in in that you know there aren't institutions that can

01:26:34.710 --> 01:26:37.910
more or less reliably produce true information.

01:26:38.220 --> 01:26:44.220
I mean epistemic nihilism in the sense that me personally, I, David Pinsov, have no hope of

01:26:44.220 --> 01:26:45.260
knowing what's true.

01:26:45.500 --> 01:26:45.900
Right.

01:26:46.300 --> 01:26:50.780
I I can wrap my head around the idea that as a society, if there are cultural evolutionary

01:26:50.780 --> 01:26:55.580
processes or incentives, that that will societally push us toward true beliefs, or maybe

01:26:55.580 --> 01:26:57.820
it'll push the institution of science toward true beliefs.

01:26:57.900 --> 01:26:59.020
I can get behind that.

01:26:59.260 --> 01:27:04.780
But everything we know about our own psychology and our epistemology suggests that truth,

01:27:04.940 --> 01:27:07.930
if it exists, is an emergent phenomenon.

01:27:08.330 --> 01:27:12.730
It emerges from uh cooperative groups and institutions that are well designed.

01:27:12.890 --> 01:27:15.290
It is not a product of any individual human.

01:27:15.450 --> 01:27:18.330
No individual human is likely to have all the answers.

01:27:18.650 --> 01:27:23.530
Most individual humans have their own biases, their own agendas, their own uh limitations.

01:27:23.850 --> 01:27:29.770
Um so when I reflect on that, the ultimate conclusion is that me, I, David Pinsoff,

01:27:30.120 --> 01:27:34.520
have no hope of achieving the thing that I want most, which is to know what's true.

01:27:35.160 --> 01:27:37.560
And that to me is really distressing.

01:27:38.280 --> 01:27:41.320
Um what do you think about that?

01:27:41.480 --> 01:27:42.840
Has that occurred to you?

01:27:43.000 --> 01:27:45.160
Uh how do you how do you deal with that?

01:27:45.480 --> 01:27:46.040
Soothe me.

01:27:46.360 --> 01:27:46.840
Yeah.

01:27:47.160 --> 01:27:48.600
I I can't soothe you, unfortunately.

01:27:48.680 --> 01:27:49.480
It's a great question.

01:27:49.640 --> 01:27:51.400
Watch some Jordan Peterson, David.

01:27:51.800 --> 01:27:53.720
Yeah, maybe he'll he's the answer to the robot.

01:27:54.360 --> 01:27:57.800
He'll disabuse you of this uh humility.

01:27:58.070 --> 01:28:00.150
Jordan Pearson knows what's true, yeah.

01:28:01.110 --> 01:28:04.790
Yeah, I I've yeah, I've I've written a few pieces sort of grappling with that, and I don't

01:28:04.790 --> 01:28:06.470
have a particularly satisfactory answer.

01:28:06.630 --> 01:28:09.750
Although interestingly, I'm not I'm not really bothered by it in the way that you seem to

01:28:09.750 --> 01:28:10.390
be bothered by it.

01:28:10.470 --> 01:28:15.350
So I think if I if I step back, I think yeah, I'm I'm biased in ways that you know some

01:28:15.350 --> 01:28:19.510
ways I'm probably uh vaguely aware of and some ways I'm less aware of.

01:28:19.670 --> 01:28:24.900
Um and it's almost certainly true that I've got a very selective and partial picture of the

01:28:24.900 --> 01:28:26.900
world and I'm fallible in all these different ways.

01:28:27.060 --> 01:28:30.500
So I do think a certain kind of skepticism is correct.

01:28:30.660 --> 01:28:36.340
You know, I do think we tend to be absurdly overconfident about our capacity to know the

01:28:36.340 --> 01:28:42.020
world, especially when it comes to these sort of heated social and political um phenomena.

01:28:42.580 --> 01:28:45.140
Um and I I think that's just that's just true.

01:28:45.220 --> 01:28:47.780
I think it's something you have to sort of face up to.

01:28:48.330 --> 01:28:51.770
In a way, the fact that you're facing up to it, I think, is a, you know, it's a it's a good

01:28:51.770 --> 01:28:55.450
signal of the fact that you're more reflective about these sorts of things than the average

01:28:55.450 --> 01:28:55.770
person.

01:28:56.810 --> 01:29:02.330
And you know, one maybe small area where I disagree is you said that sort of knowledge is a

01:29:02.330 --> 01:29:06.730
is a consequence of not sort of individual level cognition, but these broader norms and

01:29:06.730 --> 01:29:07.290
institutions.

01:29:07.450 --> 01:29:08.570
And I think that's exactly right.

01:29:08.730 --> 01:29:12.650
But but I'll just add that I do think there are individual differences in in cognition.

01:29:12.810 --> 01:29:16.760
Often I think they're downstream of the social norms that get enforced in particular

01:29:16.760 --> 01:29:17.320
communities.

01:29:17.560 --> 01:29:21.640
Like if you're in a community where it's expected of you that you're going to provide

01:29:21.640 --> 01:29:25.880
evidence and arguments, at least of some kind, when you state a view, it's expected of you

01:29:25.880 --> 01:29:29.080
that you're going to acknowledge uncertainty if you want to win a good reputation and so

01:29:29.080 --> 01:29:29.320
on.

01:29:29.400 --> 01:29:33.880
You know, you're gonna end up with a I think more accurate understanding of topics than

01:29:33.880 --> 01:29:37.080
somebody who belongs to a community where those sorts of norms aren't enforced.

01:29:37.240 --> 01:29:41.370
So even though I think you're right that the the social is kind of primary, given that you

01:29:41.370 --> 01:29:45.530
inhabit a certain kind of social and institutional context, I think it can have sort of

01:29:45.530 --> 01:29:48.330
consequences in terms of your individual cognition.

01:29:48.570 --> 01:29:53.450
Um, but but but but I agree with the the basic point, which is yeah, if if you step back

01:29:53.450 --> 01:29:58.410
and you reflect on your epistemic situation to use the kind of pretentious philosophical

01:29:58.410 --> 01:30:02.650
term, but your you know your situation with respect to your ability to acquire knowledge

01:30:02.650 --> 01:30:05.530
about the world, you should embrace a kind of skepticism.

01:30:05.660 --> 01:30:08.700
Um, but you know what are you going to do with that?

01:30:08.780 --> 01:30:12.620
Um, you have to participate in this game of life, right?

01:30:12.700 --> 01:30:17.820
You have to make the best case you can in accordance with the the norms that that are in

01:30:17.820 --> 01:30:20.700
your environment, uh, for the kinds of views that you take to be true.

01:30:20.860 --> 01:30:25.900
You have to try to live up to the ideals that that are going to be relevant to seeming like

01:30:25.900 --> 01:30:28.860
a good member of your epistemic community, and so on.

01:30:29.020 --> 01:30:34.870
Um, and I think you can do those things even as you acknowledge that you're biased and

01:30:34.870 --> 01:30:38.710
probably wrong in various respects, and you don't exactly know what respects they're going

01:30:38.710 --> 01:30:38.950
to be.

01:30:39.110 --> 01:30:44.230
I mean, certainly when I write a blog post, I mean, I could write a

01:30:44.230 --> 01:30:48.710
50,000-word blog post, you know, adding all these qualifications about how I'm not, you

01:30:48.710 --> 01:30:50.550
know, maybe I'm biased here, you know.

01:30:50.950 --> 01:30:55.590
Of course, all of these different ways, I think, what I'm arguing for is going to be a

01:30:55.590 --> 01:31:00.020
selective and somewhat biased understanding of the world that I'm trying to present, But it

01:31:00.020 --> 01:31:03.780
doesn't really have much value in terms of injecting that into the conversation in many

01:31:03.780 --> 01:31:04.020
cases.

01:31:04.180 --> 01:31:08.500
You just sort of do your best in a relatively humble way to argue for certain kinds of

01:31:08.500 --> 01:31:10.340
viewpoints and see what the response is.

01:31:10.500 --> 01:31:14.580
That's not a very satisfying response to your question, but that's I guess currently how

01:31:14.580 --> 01:31:15.940
I'm thinking of things.

01:31:16.900 --> 01:31:18.740
Yeah, no, I I like that response.

01:31:18.900 --> 01:31:24.180
Um just remembering, I mean, you you had a wonderful, wonderful uh post uh called uh the

01:31:24.180 --> 01:31:30.110
everyone is biased bias about how it's it's possible to take these ideas about

01:31:30.110 --> 01:31:35.950
human bias too far, uh to a point where you're uh flattening human variation as you put it.

01:31:36.110 --> 01:31:41.070
Um it's often easy to lose sight of the fact that human variation is large and significant

01:31:41.070 --> 01:31:46.510
and important and that there are pretty large differences in epistemic character,

01:31:46.750 --> 01:31:51.870
differences in moral character, and um those differences matter and we should attend to

01:31:51.870 --> 01:31:52.190
them.

01:31:52.820 --> 01:31:56.900
And I think it's it's easy to lose sight of that when your focus is on human nature.

01:31:57.620 --> 01:32:00.180
It's easy to forget about human variation.

01:32:00.420 --> 01:32:02.980
Um, just because that's just not the thing that you're focusing.

01:32:03.140 --> 01:32:05.460
You're thinking about the stuff that we all share as humans.

01:32:05.700 --> 01:32:10.580
You necessarily will uh forget about the stuff that you know differs between people when

01:32:10.580 --> 01:32:12.100
you embark on that project.

01:32:12.260 --> 01:32:16.110
Um so I thought that was that was a really uh beautiful point.

01:32:16.190 --> 01:32:19.950
Uh and so I guess I can comfort myself with the knowledge that maybe, maybe I'm one of the

01:32:19.950 --> 01:32:24.110
better humans epistemically, and maybe, maybe I'm in one of the better cultures, which uh

01:32:24.110 --> 01:32:26.110
unfortunately sounds just as self serving.

01:32:26.910 --> 01:32:32.910
Well, or or maybe, maybe David, the the you're you're trying to be less uh you're doing

01:32:33.070 --> 01:32:35.950
you're in the path dependency that as we all are.

01:32:36.030 --> 01:32:38.750
You're just sort of like, What what looks to be the best?

01:32:38.990 --> 01:32:39.870
What looks better?

01:32:40.030 --> 01:32:41.230
What's what's less wrong?

01:32:41.390 --> 01:32:41.630
Right.

01:32:41.710 --> 01:32:42.590
Um That's true.

01:32:42.670 --> 01:32:42.910
Yeah.

01:32:43.150 --> 01:32:47.840
Taking the the you know the the marginal perspective and the relative looking at things uh

01:32:47.840 --> 01:32:51.120
relative to their alternatives rather rather than relative to perfection.

01:32:51.280 --> 01:32:51.520
Yeah.

01:32:51.680 --> 01:32:53.360
Is also a healthy way of looking at things.

01:32:53.600 --> 01:32:53.760
Yeah.

01:32:53.920 --> 01:32:58.240
At the risk of poking the mindfield, I do want to turn back one more time to the

01:32:58.240 --> 01:33:00.080
disinformation concern though, too.

01:33:00.240 --> 01:33:05.040
And this is again sort of for both of you, is uh Dan, I was reflecting on what you had said

01:33:05.040 --> 01:33:10.490
earlier in you talking about why people, people sort of thinking you might have an

01:33:10.490 --> 01:33:15.290
agenda for for pointing the these this thing out about the disinformation literature.

01:33:15.610 --> 01:33:21.530
Um the the idea that and you even mentioned some people did use what

01:33:21.530 --> 01:33:26.410
you said to argue for something you weren't espousing, um, right?

01:33:26.570 --> 01:33:32.040
Like that that people sort of picked up on it to s to make other uh to make arguments like

01:33:32.120 --> 01:33:36.040
this is an example of like support for these ideas that you don't hold, right?

01:33:36.120 --> 01:33:36.840
Um incorrectly.

01:33:37.080 --> 01:33:41.400
Uh that that was that that was the accusation that that I was uh publishing these works,

01:33:41.480 --> 01:33:41.800
defending.

01:33:42.120 --> 01:33:42.360
I don't know.

01:33:42.520 --> 01:33:44.760
I can't I mean no no evidence was provided.

01:33:44.920 --> 01:33:48.840
I mean, in a way, it's absurd the idea that you know you know Trump would be or anyone

01:33:48.840 --> 01:33:53.800
that's sort of in a faction would be looking at you know the obscure substack posts of an

01:33:53.880 --> 01:33:54.600
editing philosophy.

01:33:54.920 --> 01:33:58.280
Um so but I'm wondering, like, is that is that sort of like just to look at it as a

01:33:58.280 --> 01:34:03.250
scientific perspective, like do you think that that's do you think that's like the the

01:34:03.250 --> 01:34:05.410
rational concern, right?

01:34:05.650 --> 01:34:10.930
Is that um like if we're just scientists about this phenomenon, that like their evolved

01:34:10.930 --> 01:34:16.770
psychology is concerned that is like, what does this afford me in my interests,

01:34:17.010 --> 01:34:17.250
right?

01:34:17.410 --> 01:34:21.890
In and it could this be used against us, right?

01:34:21.970 --> 01:34:27.740
Like I did you think that that's um I mean, in some sense, that's almost, you know,

01:34:27.900 --> 01:34:33.340
the the the idea that at least, you know, you or David are sort of, you know, it's that

01:34:33.340 --> 01:34:37.980
there's a social, it's really being looked at in this social coalitional instrument

01:34:38.140 --> 01:34:39.500
instrumental way.

01:34:41.020 --> 01:34:44.620
Yeah, I'd I'd be really interested to hear what you two think about this as well, because

01:34:44.700 --> 01:34:47.980
I've been I've been thinking about this a lot recently, this idea of um

01:34:49.590 --> 01:34:55.590
objecting to a claim or an argument not on its merits, but on the

01:34:55.590 --> 01:35:00.070
basis that it might be weaponized in a in a way that people object to.

01:35:00.550 --> 01:35:00.870
Right.

01:35:01.430 --> 01:35:02.710
So which is a very common thing.

01:35:02.790 --> 01:35:07.590
You know, so at the moment that there are these, you know, in in the in the US, these

01:35:07.590 --> 01:35:13.430
attacks from uh the Trump administration on these uh elite universities like like

01:35:13.430 --> 01:35:14.150
Harvard.

01:35:14.310 --> 01:35:18.920
And you know, there are some people who have come out, or they've said this in the past,

01:35:19.000 --> 01:35:23.480
um, with arguments to the effect that look there are real problems with these institutions.

01:35:23.720 --> 01:35:27.720
Um, they do have certain kinds of political biases, um, there is certain forms of

01:35:27.720 --> 01:35:30.040
groupthink, etc., these sorts of arguments.

01:35:30.200 --> 01:35:34.200
And and one response to those arguments is to say, here's why they're wrong, right?

01:35:34.360 --> 01:35:40.040
Another response to those arguments is to say those criticisms of these institutions are

01:35:40.040 --> 01:35:45.830
being weaponized by this administration, which is engaging in these sorts of bad

01:35:45.830 --> 01:35:46.470
behaviors.

01:35:46.870 --> 01:35:48.950
And that's a reason not to make those arguments.

01:35:49.110 --> 01:35:50.310
Like I've seen loads of that.

01:35:50.710 --> 01:35:55.830
Stephen Pinker recently published an article in the New York Times and um where he sort of

01:35:55.830 --> 01:35:57.510
says, look, there are real problems with Harvard.

01:35:57.590 --> 01:36:00.070
He sort of talks about things that he's mentioned in the past.

01:36:00.550 --> 01:36:04.470
But nevertheless, he explicitly says he thinks what the Trump administration is doing is

01:36:04.710 --> 01:36:05.270
really bad.

01:36:05.430 --> 01:36:09.540
And lots of the criticisms I saw were it's like, well, you're kind of responsible for, or

01:36:09.700 --> 01:36:14.180
at least you've played a role in defending, or your arguments have been instrumentalized

01:36:14.180 --> 01:36:15.140
for this bad thing.

01:36:15.460 --> 01:36:19.860
Ergo, you know, that's something that you should be held accountable for.

01:36:20.180 --> 01:36:25.700
And, you know, I guess what you can say is if you step back, there is at least something to

01:36:25.700 --> 01:36:31.470
the idea that when you advance claims or arguments, you know, you probably

01:36:31.470 --> 01:36:35.550
should be, at least in some contexts, sensitive to the possibility that they're going to

01:36:35.550 --> 01:36:37.390
get weaponized in nefarious ways.

01:36:37.870 --> 01:36:41.150
In some contexts it would be reasonable to hold you accountable to that.

01:36:41.310 --> 01:36:47.230
Like if if if you set up a social media account and all it is is videos of like racial

01:36:47.230 --> 01:36:48.590
minorities committing crimes.

01:36:48.670 --> 01:36:48.830
Right.

01:36:48.990 --> 01:36:54.740
Even if every video is real, I think it would be reasonable to say you haven't

01:36:54.820 --> 01:36:58.340
gotted every eye on that line of inferences, but yeah, we know what you're saying.

01:36:58.500 --> 01:36:58.980
Yeah, exactly.

01:36:59.220 --> 01:36:59.300
Yeah.

01:36:59.540 --> 01:37:04.900
Um so I think in some context it's reasonable, but I also think the norm that says you

01:37:04.900 --> 01:37:09.860
shouldn't assert something that you take to be true or you shouldn't make an argument, lest

01:37:09.860 --> 01:37:15.700
it be used by the wrong side, lest it be uh instrumentalized in a nefarious way

01:37:15.780 --> 01:37:20.250
by people that you might disagree with and you might explicitly disagree with, is so

01:37:20.250 --> 01:37:25.770
corrosive in general to knowledge generation, to the pursuit of truth.

01:37:25.850 --> 01:37:28.170
It's such a recipe for groupthink.

01:37:28.330 --> 01:37:34.170
If whenever somebody criticizes your group, you can say you're just defending

01:37:34.170 --> 01:37:36.570
or supporting the other side.

01:37:36.730 --> 01:37:39.850
So I think it's I don't quite know what to think about it because I think if you really

01:37:39.850 --> 01:37:44.540
steel man these these arguments about weaponization, you can think of cases where they

01:37:44.540 --> 01:37:45.340
might have a point.

01:37:45.420 --> 01:37:49.260
But as a general norm, this idea that you should be able to criticize a claim or an

01:37:49.260 --> 01:37:54.140
argument not on its merits, but merely because you think it might be instrumentalized by

01:37:54.140 --> 01:37:58.860
the other side, seems to me it's like totally corrosive to the pursuit of truth and and the

01:37:58.860 --> 01:38:03.580
sorts of norms and procedures that we should care about in truth seeking institutions.

01:38:03.740 --> 01:38:06.530
That's my current thought, but I'll be interested what you two think about.

01:38:06.770 --> 01:38:10.130
I mean, just as a quick follow-up, I mean, do you think because I uh this sounds also very

01:38:10.130 --> 01:38:12.770
familiar in terms of like a conversation, right?

01:38:12.850 --> 01:38:18.690
Where like a lot of times a claim is made and what is implied, you know, is is

01:38:18.850 --> 01:38:22.930
it's almost it's it comes back to this thing of like inferences.

01:38:23.250 --> 01:38:28.280
There's a lot of inferences, but but based on any one thing we say, you know, like we still

01:38:28.280 --> 01:38:32.760
don't have an AI system that if you just if it actually represents a statement is like

01:38:32.920 --> 01:38:34.920
actually percolates all the correct inferences.

01:38:35.000 --> 01:38:39.720
It doesn't have the semantic common sense knowledge to to draw these inferences.

01:38:39.880 --> 01:38:45.640
And so in a conversation, if I say something often, so like Dan, you might be like, Well,

01:38:45.720 --> 01:38:46.840
did you mean this or this?

01:38:47.000 --> 01:38:49.800
And I'll be like, No, no, no, no, I don't actually agree with this thing.

01:38:49.960 --> 01:38:51.720
I'm just pointing out this other problem.

01:38:52.040 --> 01:38:57.970
And I wonder sometimes if like what you're describing is sort of the scaled up version

01:38:57.970 --> 01:39:02.050
of what ordinarily for our Valve psychology would be the right thing to do, which is sort

01:39:02.050 --> 01:39:07.330
of it's sort of like a conversation of like, okay, Dan, I hear you that I'm just gonna take

01:39:07.330 --> 01:39:12.050
the other side, the, the, the, the devil's advocate side of sort of, I hear you that, you

01:39:12.050 --> 01:39:17.650
know, there is there there is a objective skew in terms of like representation

01:39:17.650 --> 01:39:18.610
politically.

01:39:18.850 --> 01:39:24.640
Um, But you know, there's there's a concern that the this could be used for

01:39:24.640 --> 01:39:29.040
other other reasons that that are not advancing science at all.

01:39:29.280 --> 01:39:34.160
Are you are you backing that or are you making a point that advances science?

01:39:34.560 --> 01:39:39.520
And to the extent that, you know, the representation that should advance science, which m

01:39:39.840 --> 01:39:42.000
which I might even disagree with, is that the thing?

01:39:42.080 --> 01:39:45.920
Like, is your North Star science, or is it this other status game?

01:39:46.090 --> 01:39:50.010
in an interpersonal conversation, we can do that really quick.

01:39:50.330 --> 01:39:55.610
Um, and I sometimes wonder if things like social media or things where we can have a

01:39:55.610 --> 01:40:00.810
conversation back and forth, it perpetuates a thing where you you sort of feel like you're

01:40:00.810 --> 01:40:05.210
a bad guy because they don't understand where you're coming from and they haven't

01:40:05.210 --> 01:40:06.490
understood where you're coming from.

01:40:06.570 --> 01:40:10.320
And you may not understand that maybe this is some of their people, some people's

01:40:10.320 --> 01:40:12.000
motivation, and maybe some people's not.

01:40:12.080 --> 01:40:17.600
You know, I mean, we all know that there are people, even within our community, that

01:40:17.760 --> 01:40:21.920
they're like science, my personal status, like hold my beer.

01:40:22.000 --> 01:40:23.760
I'm gonna go with personal status, right?

01:40:23.840 --> 01:40:29.760
Like the people who are sort of trolls and like sort of advance their status on the backs

01:40:29.760 --> 01:40:33.470
of a correct understanding of even what we do.

01:40:33.550 --> 01:40:37.390
And we're like that, you know, we all know, like, we're like, oh, we hate those people, or

01:40:37.470 --> 01:40:41.470
like well, we like them interpersonally, but wish they wouldn't do that.

01:40:41.710 --> 01:40:47.710
Um and so I just, yeah, so that's my long-winded way of saying, like, I wonder sometimes if

01:40:47.710 --> 01:40:53.310
this is almost an example of almost a mismatch in terms of the communicative

01:40:53.950 --> 01:40:59.620
back and forth that in under more maybe sort of ecologically

01:40:59.620 --> 01:41:05.540
valid, sort of Grician, uh communicative, pragmatic ways would sort

01:41:05.540 --> 01:41:08.580
of quickly eliminate, like, what is your status game?

01:41:08.740 --> 01:41:12.180
You know, I think a lot of communication is sort of like figuring out like what's what's

01:41:12.180 --> 01:41:13.300
your game here, buddy?

01:41:13.460 --> 01:41:13.700
Right.

01:41:14.020 --> 01:41:15.540
And then it's sort of like, are you cool?

01:41:15.620 --> 01:41:16.020
I'm cool.

01:41:16.100 --> 01:41:16.500
You're cool.

01:41:16.580 --> 01:41:19.540
You know, like that's kind of what I did with the person who was like, I hate Ep Psych.

01:41:19.700 --> 01:41:21.690
I was like, okay, what's your game?

01:41:21.850 --> 01:41:23.610
You know, are you actually interested in what's true?

01:41:23.690 --> 01:41:27.770
Or are you just like interested in like shooting down something and making yourself feel

01:41:27.770 --> 01:41:28.090
better?

01:41:28.330 --> 01:41:33.050
And then the second that we both realized that we were both interested in just like a good

01:41:33.050 --> 01:41:34.890
faith effort, then we were cool.

01:41:34.970 --> 01:41:39.450
And it was like, you know, so I just I wonder sometimes if that's what goes on.

01:41:41.940 --> 01:41:45.780
Yeah, um I I think it's probably a large part of it.

01:41:45.940 --> 01:41:51.300
Um, but I think in these cases that I'm thinking of here, there's also this fact that it

01:41:51.300 --> 01:41:54.900
occurs in a highly polarized partisan conflict.

01:41:55.220 --> 01:42:00.500
Um and I I think you're right, you know, when you when you communicate anything, people are

01:42:00.500 --> 01:42:02.900
going to draw inferences about your motivations.

01:42:03.130 --> 01:42:08.970
Um and and for for me then the question should be, you know, what are the norms that

01:42:08.970 --> 01:42:11.930
we want in institutions like universities?

01:42:12.410 --> 01:42:18.090
What are going to be conducive to those universities performing their

01:42:18.090 --> 01:42:18.490
function?

01:42:18.650 --> 01:42:22.970
And I take the the sort of T los, the function of universities to be basically kind of

01:42:22.970 --> 01:42:26.940
epistemic, like to produce knowledge, understanding, truth and so on.

01:42:27.820 --> 01:42:32.460
And I think, and even when it comes to mainstream media, I think similarly, they also have

01:42:32.460 --> 01:42:34.940
kind of epistemic functions.

01:42:35.180 --> 01:42:40.860
And I think you know, you that there should be a strong presumption against

01:42:42.380 --> 01:42:48.380
criticizing claims or arguments, not based on the kind

01:42:48.380 --> 01:42:53.900
of merits of those claims or arguments, but because they might be used as

01:42:53.900 --> 01:42:57.470
ammunition by another political faction.

01:42:58.510 --> 01:43:04.510
It seems to me that's first of all, um I think there are going to be

01:43:04.510 --> 01:43:10.350
such strong motivations to uh uh criticize claims and arguments

01:43:10.670 --> 01:43:16.110
for mundane partisan reasons which should be frowned upon within the context of

01:43:16.110 --> 01:43:20.910
science um and mainstream media and and these other sort of epistemic institutions.

01:43:22.280 --> 01:43:27.640
And secondly, it just strikes me as a kind of recipe for

01:43:28.120 --> 01:43:30.360
groupthink and institutional decay.

01:43:30.440 --> 01:43:35.960
If people can't criticize these institutions without that being criticized because it might

01:43:35.960 --> 01:43:40.680
give ammunition to the wrong side in a political conflict, that seems like it's not going

01:43:40.680 --> 01:43:44.680
to be good for those institutions in terms of their function of seeking knowledge and so

01:43:44.680 --> 01:43:44.840
on.

01:43:45.000 --> 01:43:47.080
So I haven't fully thought things through.

01:43:47.240 --> 01:43:51.230
That's my kind of current intuition about these these cases, but but yeah.

01:43:51.470 --> 01:43:51.630
Yeah.

01:43:51.870 --> 01:43:57.150
It's it seems to me like what you're saying, Dan, is that the argument that we shouldn't

01:43:57.150 --> 01:44:02.510
promote ideas that can be weaponized, um, is itself a good argument.

01:44:02.830 --> 01:44:07.310
It's it's just that when you apply it to itself, it destroys itself.

01:44:08.110 --> 01:44:13.860
So the idea that um we shouldn't promote i ideas that can be weaponized,

01:44:14.020 --> 01:44:16.260
uh can itself be weaponized.

01:44:16.580 --> 01:44:21.700
And that when we should uh count on it to be weaponized because we're coalitional primates

01:44:21.700 --> 01:44:27.460
who have agendas, and if uh you know if we can defend our coalitions by criticizing any

01:44:27.460 --> 01:44:33.170
idea that could be conceivably construed as a as a weapon, then we can just dismiss

01:44:33.170 --> 01:44:35.970
anything that that challenges our coalitional narratives.

01:44:36.210 --> 01:44:39.330
Uh it's just it it's it's an unsustainable norm.

01:44:39.650 --> 01:44:45.570
Uh that it can be exploited in the same way that um allowing anyone to censor speech

01:44:45.650 --> 01:44:50.290
uh can be exploited by bad actors who will inevitably censor ideas that interfere with with

01:44:50.290 --> 01:44:51.170
their agendas.

01:44:51.410 --> 01:44:56.840
Um this idea that um we we should only promote ideas that have good consequences and avoid

01:44:56.840 --> 01:45:01.480
bad consequences or or that cannot be weaponized, like that itself can be weaponized and

01:45:01.480 --> 01:45:05.560
can be exploited by by bad actors to protect cherished narratives.

01:45:06.040 --> 01:45:11.480
So I think it's another example of how cynicism can be a good thing.

01:45:11.960 --> 01:45:17.800
When you start thinking uh at a broader level of what kinds of norms are sustainable

01:45:17.880 --> 01:45:23.610
given our cynical motives, given that we can count on you coalitional primates like us to

01:45:23.610 --> 01:45:29.370
abuse and exploit the power to censor or the power to dismiss ideas on the basis of their

01:45:29.370 --> 01:45:30.090
consequences.

01:45:30.250 --> 01:45:34.250
Given that we know this about us, what are what are the best norms that are sustainable and

01:45:34.250 --> 01:45:37.370
that are conducive to producing knowledge and truth?

01:45:37.530 --> 01:45:42.890
And as soon as we abandon this cynicism or apply it selectively to our rivals but not

01:45:42.890 --> 01:45:45.460
ourselves, then we get into a bad place.

01:45:45.620 --> 01:45:50.260
And so this is one area where I think cynicism can be a good thing when thinking about the

01:45:50.260 --> 01:45:54.980
broader social incentives and institutions and norms that we're designing.

01:45:55.620 --> 01:45:56.980
Yeah, great, great point.

01:45:57.140 --> 01:45:58.180
Can completely agree with that.

01:45:58.340 --> 01:46:04.340
And actually it sort of as you say gets back to this issue of when can a sort of

01:46:04.340 --> 01:46:09.860
sensitivity to the ways in which cognition can be biased, when can that be helpful?

01:46:10.100 --> 01:46:15.950
Well, when we are ostensibly constructing communities and institutions, the

01:46:15.950 --> 01:46:20.590
function of which is to generate knowledge, that's a specific context in which actually

01:46:20.670 --> 01:46:26.430
it's very useful to identify those cases in which certain

01:46:26.430 --> 01:46:31.230
kinds of motivations can bias how people think and reason about the world, so that we can

01:46:31.230 --> 01:46:37.070
flag them and then construct norms and institutional procedures which are designed either

01:46:37.070 --> 01:46:41.340
to sort of harness them in ways which generate collective knowledge, like pitting people's

01:46:41.340 --> 01:46:45.660
biases against each other, or that flag them so that you can develop norms that then sort

01:46:45.660 --> 01:46:47.020
of penalize them.

01:46:47.580 --> 01:46:50.620
And I think also that's that's important because when we're talking about the sort of

01:46:50.620 --> 01:46:56.620
practical advantages of you know socially motivated cognition and belief and so on,

01:46:56.700 --> 01:47:00.610
you know, it's practical advantages for the individual who's engaging in that kind of

01:47:00.610 --> 01:47:01.090
cognition.

01:47:01.250 --> 01:47:05.730
But in as much as we're cooperating on a on a project which is not about advancing the

01:47:05.730 --> 01:47:11.010
interests of specific individuals, but but generating something through intellectual

01:47:11.010 --> 01:47:16.770
collaboration, under those conditions, the the capacity to identify features of human

01:47:16.770 --> 01:47:21.250
psychology that will be threatening to that project, there I think it's really, really

01:47:21.250 --> 01:47:22.050
helpful.

01:47:22.580 --> 01:47:22.820
Yeah.

01:47:22.900 --> 01:47:28.500
And I and I think too, like one norm might be to also sort of, you know, there's a world of

01:47:28.500 --> 01:47:33.380
difference between somebody saying, like, you know, something you're factually saying

01:47:33.380 --> 01:47:38.660
about, you know, the political affiliation of people I don't want you to say that versus

01:47:38.660 --> 01:47:44.500
sort of like, will I accept it if you clarify that your interest is not

01:47:44.740 --> 01:47:47.460
another nefarious agenda, right?

01:47:47.620 --> 01:47:49.940
And I think that's like a good litmus test, right?

01:47:50.070 --> 01:47:52.070
Like what is the actual claim you're making, right?

01:47:52.230 --> 01:47:54.070
And what is the actual thing you're pushing?

01:47:54.230 --> 01:48:00.230
And I think that's where having this kind of conversation back

01:48:00.230 --> 01:48:02.470
and forth is really helpful.

01:48:02.630 --> 01:48:08.630
Um, because I think it kind of will tease apart, I'm gonna completely swat down

01:48:08.630 --> 01:48:14.460
your ability and censor you, versus this this idea that it's

01:48:14.460 --> 01:48:17.820
true is is perfectly fine and I will accept it.

01:48:18.060 --> 01:48:23.180
What are the other implicit or explicit inferences that you want to make or not?

01:48:23.340 --> 01:48:24.940
And let's debate those, right?

01:48:25.260 --> 01:48:30.060
Like I think that that's the kind of healthy conversation to have.

01:48:30.220 --> 01:48:36.170
So for example, if there is a political skew in academia, then what what of it,

01:48:36.250 --> 01:48:36.490
right?

01:48:36.570 --> 01:48:37.690
Like what's the consequence?

01:48:37.850 --> 01:48:40.410
And what, how does it impact science?

01:48:40.890 --> 01:48:44.010
Has the historical skew been the other way for a long time?

01:48:44.170 --> 01:48:46.730
And these are all kind of conversations to have.

01:48:46.810 --> 01:48:48.570
And there are other skews that we're ignoring.

01:48:48.650 --> 01:48:49.690
So that could be another thing.

01:48:49.770 --> 01:48:53.530
Like to say, look, you know, like we've talked about, David and I talked about like social

01:48:53.530 --> 01:48:57.210
classes at one area where like there's not a lot of people from low social classes that are

01:48:57.210 --> 01:48:58.090
in academia.

01:48:58.250 --> 01:49:00.940
That blinds the questions that are asked.

01:49:01.100 --> 01:49:03.020
You know, philosophy is a great example.

01:49:03.180 --> 01:49:09.180
Like I kind of laugh at, like, I look at people who are sort of of the like Quine or

01:49:09.180 --> 01:49:10.780
even Dennett generation.

01:49:11.020 --> 01:49:15.660
Philosophy is way overrepresented as the phenotypes of people who will give people the

01:49:15.660 --> 01:49:17.020
benefit of the doubt.

01:49:17.260 --> 01:49:23.020
It's often like, you know, uh deep voiced, uh, you know, a a posh accent,

01:49:23.420 --> 01:49:24.610
a white male, right?

01:49:24.690 --> 01:49:28.210
Like these are people who are like they stand up in a room and who has like the highest

01:49:28.210 --> 01:49:30.530
social bargaining power historically, right?

01:49:30.770 --> 01:49:35.490
Like that that has clearly influenced philosophy immensely, right?

01:49:35.650 --> 01:49:40.770
From a first principles perspective, there's lots of reasons why that's true, but that

01:49:40.770 --> 01:49:44.210
shouldn't be true to the extent that there's equal access to knowledge.

01:49:44.370 --> 01:49:48.370
Like the fact that, like, a smart brain who can do an analysis, who can come to new

01:49:48.370 --> 01:49:52.680
insights, it's probably going to be pretty orthogonal to like your social bargaining power.

01:49:52.760 --> 01:49:56.920
And it's kind of a problem that like the two sort of go hand in hand, right?

01:49:57.240 --> 01:50:02.840
Um, and so I think um these are all cases where sort of like having

01:50:02.840 --> 01:50:08.040
conversations about what's the representation of what people look like, or these other

01:50:08.040 --> 01:50:13.590
things that like we have these evolved primate brains that we care about, but are they

01:50:13.590 --> 01:50:15.750
getting in the way of good ideas or good science?

01:50:15.910 --> 01:50:17.990
Like that's a really good conversation to have.

01:50:18.150 --> 01:50:23.910
And I do think so much ink is spilled in not doing that.

01:50:24.150 --> 01:50:27.190
I sometimes wonder if people are actually interested in science.

01:50:27.270 --> 01:50:31.990
Like, like we talked about a lot of the internet trolls or for even in F-Psych.

01:50:32.640 --> 01:50:36.480
I sort of get angry at them because they're not arguing for adaptationism.

01:50:36.960 --> 01:50:40.160
They're not arguing for a task analysis.

01:50:40.320 --> 01:50:42.960
They're arguing political things, right?

01:50:43.040 --> 01:50:48.400
And I'm like, you really are using up our social capital that we we earned for like a

01:50:48.400 --> 01:50:49.520
mundane political thing.

01:50:49.600 --> 01:50:51.680
And it's sort of that's not science, right?

01:50:51.760 --> 01:50:55.760
Um, whether or not they have a point politically, which you know is a different issue.

01:50:55.920 --> 01:51:00.720
Um I I often wonder if a lot of this, so especially social media or these political things,

01:51:00.800 --> 01:51:06.110
it's almost like there's are you actually interested in the science or do you actually have

01:51:06.110 --> 01:51:06.590
an agenda?

01:51:06.670 --> 01:51:11.630
And the people's prior implicitly is so high that you have an agenda that you're not

01:51:11.630 --> 01:51:16.830
actually doing science that like it's a wonderful rare thing to find somebody who's a

01:51:16.830 --> 01:51:17.550
scientist.

01:51:17.630 --> 01:51:19.150
Um yeah.

01:51:19.310 --> 01:51:20.030
Yeah, yeah.

01:51:20.110 --> 01:51:20.990
That seems right.

01:51:21.550 --> 01:51:21.870
Yeah.

01:51:21.950 --> 01:51:27.920
I mean, good faith um conversation and debate where people care about

01:51:27.920 --> 01:51:33.840
arriving at the truth collaboratively is a very rare and precious flower that

01:51:33.840 --> 01:51:35.360
is hard to cultivate.

01:51:35.600 --> 01:51:40.560
Um and there are all sorts of forces arrayed against it, and even once you do get it, it

01:51:40.560 --> 01:51:44.320
can be infiltrated by mimics and copycats who try to exploit it.

01:51:44.450 --> 01:51:48.770
It is uh difficult to achieve, but when it happens, it's beautiful.

01:51:48.930 --> 01:51:52.290
I think it has happened in the past couple hours as we've been talking.

01:51:52.610 --> 01:51:58.450
Uh and uh it has happened uh on on our various episodes here, and I hope we can continue

01:51:58.450 --> 01:51:59.810
to nurture this flower.

01:51:59.970 --> 01:52:03.090
So thank you, Dan, for having this uh awesome conversation with us.

01:52:03.170 --> 01:52:06.130
I hope we can have you back to have another one at some point.

01:52:06.540 --> 01:52:07.420
And uh yeah.

01:52:07.900 --> 01:52:08.620
This sounds great.

01:52:08.700 --> 01:52:14.460
And David, I really look forward to hearing from you next time we talk about your deep

01:52:14.460 --> 01:52:15.980
dive into Jordan Peterson.

01:52:16.540 --> 01:52:19.660
I will I will I will give you a full report next time.

01:52:19.740 --> 01:52:24.940
Well, maybe we should just have a uh an entire uh episode devoted to to Jordan Peterson and

01:52:24.940 --> 01:52:26.700
his uh luminous uh insights.

01:52:27.100 --> 01:52:30.780
I I'm sure that there would be many people.

01:52:30.940 --> 01:52:33.550
Uh I actually I'm not I'm not even gonna finish that sentence.

01:52:33.630 --> 01:52:34.190
So yeah.

01:52:34.270 --> 01:52:36.990
Um but yeah, Dan, thank you so much.

01:52:37.150 --> 01:52:39.310
It was it was a fun uh conversation.

01:52:39.390 --> 01:52:44.590
And yeah, thank you for you know good faith effort into sort of uncovering what we all have

01:52:44.590 --> 01:52:47.950
as sort of these these social agendas and what we think and believe.

01:52:48.030 --> 01:52:52.750
So it was a fun and I think a a representation of it even in our conversation.

01:52:52.830 --> 01:52:53.950
So thanks so much.

01:52:54.440 --> 01:52:56.600
Thank you for the for the invitation to come on.

01:52:56.760 --> 01:52:57.720
Big fan of you both.

01:52:57.880 --> 01:52:59.000
Big fan of the podcast.

01:52:59.160 --> 01:53:00.520
Best of success in the future.

01:53:00.920 --> 01:53:01.560
Thank you so much.

01:53:01.640 --> 01:53:04.600
We'll we'll pay you after I turn off the recording.

01:53:08.680 --> 01:53:10.040
Whoa, what a fun conversation.

01:53:10.280 --> 01:53:10.920
I don't have no idea.

01:53:11.400 --> 01:53:11.960
That was great.

01:53:12.040 --> 01:53:12.440
Yeah.

01:53:13.080 --> 01:53:14.120
So we don't know what it what we do.

01:53:14.280 --> 01:53:14.600
We don't know it.

01:53:14.920 --> 01:53:16.600
No, we're breaking the fourth wall again, but that's okay.

01:53:16.680 --> 01:53:17.320
It's fun to do that.

01:53:17.480 --> 01:53:22.750
Um but uh really, David, I did appreciate your uh all of the all the things you said that

01:53:22.750 --> 01:53:24.030
during this episode as well.

01:53:24.430 --> 01:53:27.390
I I really appreciated all the things you said as well, Dave.

01:53:27.470 --> 01:53:30.110
Uh you you were really spot on in all the points you made.

01:53:30.270 --> 01:53:35.870
Um if you agree with my assessment of of Dave and Dave's assessment of me, uh please say so

01:53:35.870 --> 01:53:37.710
on social media, leave us a kind review.

01:53:37.790 --> 01:53:41.710
And if you feel so inclined, you can check out our Patreon page and support us.

01:53:41.870 --> 01:53:46.740
Uh your enthusiasm uh and support uh is the fuel that keeps us going.

01:53:46.980 --> 01:53:47.140
Yeah.

01:53:47.220 --> 01:53:50.340
So a couple of people have already said this is their favorite podcast.

01:53:50.580 --> 01:53:54.420
And even if it's just, you know, a couple people's favorite podcasts, that means a lot to

01:53:54.420 --> 01:53:54.500
us.

01:53:54.580 --> 01:53:55.140
So thank you.

01:53:55.380 --> 01:53:56.420
Yeah, absolutely.

01:53:56.660 --> 01:54:02.340
Uh and without uh further ado, we'll uh we'll end the episode here and then just wait for

01:54:02.340 --> 01:54:02.820
the next one.

01:54:02.900 --> 01:54:06.980
And if you're binge listening, um, you know, it'll be a few seconds and then we'll start

01:54:06.980 --> 01:54:07.620
back up.

01:54:07.950 --> 01:54:09.070
Yeah, cool.

01:54:09.390 --> 01:54:10.270
Thank you.
